logo
Half of the World's Annual Precipitation Falls in Just 12 Days
news image
Special Stories
19 Nov 2018 8:53 AM
[Hurricane Harvey flooding in Houston, August 2017, from Shutterstock] [NCAR] According to a new analysis of data collected at weather stations across the globe, half of the world's measured precipitation that falls in a year falls in just 12 days. These results are published in Geophysical Research Letters, a journal of the American Geophysical Union.

"This study shows how those two pieces fit together," said Angeline Pendergrass, a scientist at the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) and the lead author of the new study. "What we found is that the expected increases happen when it's already the wettest — the rainiest days get rainier."

The findings, which suggest that flooding and the damage associated with it could also increase, have implications for water managers, urban planners, and emergency responders. The research results are also a concern for agriculture, which is more productive when rainfall is spread more evenly over the growing season.

Half of the World's Annual Precipitation Falls in Just 12 Days

[An analysis of rainfall measured at weather stations across the globe between 1999 and 2014 found that the median time it took for half of a year’s precipitation to fall was just 12 days. A quarter of annual precipitation fell in just six days, and three-quarters fell in 27 days. Image: Simmi Sinha via NCAR/UCAR]

WHAT IT MEANS TO BE EXTREME

Scientists who study extreme precipitation  have used a variety of metrics to define what qualifies as "extreme." Pendergrass noticed that in some cases the definitions were so broad that extreme precipitation events actually included the bulk of all precipitation. In those instances, "extreme precipitation" and "average precipitation" became essentially the same thing.

Pendergrass wanted to find something even simpler and more intuitive that could be easily understood by both the public and other scientists. In the end, she chose to quantify the number of days it would take for half of a year's precipitation to fall. The results surprised her.

"I would have guessed the number would be larger — perhaps a month," she said. "But when we looked at the median, or midpoint, from all the available observation stations, the number was just 12 days."

Half of the World's Annual Precipitation Falls in Just 12 Days

[Unevenness of precipitation observed at stations. (a) Days per year for half of precipitation, and the fraction of annual precipitation falling on the wettest day each season: (b) December, January, and February (DJF) and (c) June, July, and August (JJA). (d) All‐day percentile for half of precipitation and (e) fraction of precipitation occurring beyond the 95th all‐day percentile. White indicates no data. Note that stations poleward of 50° are included. From NCAR/UCAR]

For the analysis, Pendergrass worked with Reto Knutti, of the Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science in Zurich, Switzerland. They used data from 185 ground stations for the 16 years from 1999 through 2014, a period when measurements could be validated against data from the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) satellite. While the stations were dispersed globally, the majority were in North America, Eurasia, and Australia.

Edited for WeatherNation by Meteorologist Mace Michaels

All Weather News
Another Atmospheric River Slams California with Flooding Rain & Mountain Snowfall
Another Atmospheric River Slams California with Flooding Rain & Mountain Snowfall
The California snowpack statewide is over dou
22 Mar 2023 12:35 AM
Avalanches in Colorado Claim the Lives of Two - Avalanche Alerts Continue this Week
Avalanches in Colorado Claim the Lives of Two - Avalanche Alerts Continue this Week
FOUR CORNERS - Fresh snow is leading to unsta
22 Mar 2023 12:30 AM
Energy Prompts Severe Storms in the Plains Before Heavy Rain in the Northeast
Energy Prompts Severe Storms in the Plains Before Heavy Rain in the Northeast
Our next big storm system will sweep across t
22 Mar 2023 12:30 AM
Winter Storm Warnings in the Northern Plains Tonight
Winter Storm Warnings in the Northern Plains Tonight
Winter weather alerts remain in effect for no
22 Mar 2023 12:30 AM
Severe Storm Chances Return to the Plains & South Late Week
Severe Storm Chances Return to the Plains & South Late Week
An upper-level low-pressure system from the P
22 Mar 2023 12:25 AM
Heavy Rain & Flood Threat for the Ohio Valley Late Week
Heavy Rain & Flood Threat for the Ohio Valley Late Week
In addition to severe storms, heavy rain is e
22 Mar 2023 12:20 AM
Record Cold to Record Heat for the Southeast
Record Cold to Record Heat for the Southeast
Temperatures have been much below average ove
21 Mar 2023 5:55 PM