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<div>Lucy is originally from the Boston area but has spent the last four years forecasting and living in Colorado! She stayed in the northeast for her education, graduating Summa Cum Laude from SUNY Oswego with a B.S. in Meteorology. Just a few days after graduation, she made the cross country move to Colorado Springs, CO to begin her career at KKTV, the CBS affiliate. Lucy has covered historic blizzards, tornadoes, windstorms, the largest wildfires in Colorado state history and dust storms ... they truly "get it all" in Colorado! Lucy is excited to forecast on a national level and continue her passion of explaining the science behind the weather!</div>
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Lucy Bergemann

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The DFW area is under the risk of flash flooding today with rainfall toping 4-5" in some locations. While this rain is desperately needed, it will cause issues of flash flooding in the cities and Plains. It is all thanks to a surface low-pressure system and upper-level trough that give a shove to the ridge of high pressure that has been sitting over the south. There will be a significant convergence of moisture around the trough and frontal boundary too.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/10/10-03_rsc_pwats-1696379287745.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>Models are indicating upwards of 5"+ of rainfall in parts of the Red River Valley and Ozarks. This rainfall is desperately needed as many locations are under extreme and exceptional drought conditions. However, drought has caused the ground to be hardened and struggle to absorb new moisture. It is likely we see flooding concerns not only in urban areas but also in rural communities too.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/10/10-03_rsc_fcst-1696379495419.png">Activity will be much more widespread this afternoon and evening. In fact, a huge cluster of storms will bring heavy rain into Oklahoma and Arkansas and northern Texas by sundown tonight. By Thursday afternoon, the front will be closer to the Gulf Coast with the opportunity of heavy rain and flooding from Houston to San Antonio.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/10/10-03_rsc_18z rain-1696379384531.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>The other factor of this system is the big cool down on the way - after an extremely hot, and in some cases, record-setting summer we are finally looking at fall settling in. Highs today are in the 80s and 90s for the south, running about 10° above average. The heat continues today before a big cool down arrives by Wednesday and Thursday.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/10/10-03_rsc-1696379568273.png">

Flash Flooding Expected in DFW Today

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In addition to the flash flood threat around the DFW metro today, we also have the opportunity for significant severe weather from OKC to Lubbock. This is part of a <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.weathernationtv.com/news/pattern-change-cooler-air-rain-coming-to-texas">larger pattern change</a> bringing heavy rain and cooler air to the area. <div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1709636913655853234" src="https://twitter.com/WeatherNation/status/1709636913655853234"></div>Damaging winds, destructive hail and a few tornadoes are possible this afternoon and evening. This includes the risk of "significant severe weather" meaning 2" or larger hailstones and 75+ mph wind gusts, that is hurricane force wind! Please use caution and have a plan now, as all severe modes will be possible.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/10/sig severe-1696439388002.png">As a frontal boundary and it's associated low pressure system move through on Wednesday, we can see more showers and storms develop along and ahead of it. The heaviest rain will be in the afternoon and evening timeframe. Heavy rainfall will also be a concern with any storms that develop. 2-3" will be possible as these storms move through and some can even see localized amounts of 4"+.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/10/2023-10-04 07-18-32-1696425879722.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>For the latest updates, tune in to the WeatherNation app and on-air at :30 past the hour, each hour, in the Central Regional Forecast.

Severe Weather Chances in Southern Plains

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Meteorologist Jesse Kelley is excited to join the talented staff at Weather Nation. Jesse spent most of his childhood in Birmingham, Alabama. The state of Alabama is prone to seeing various types of weather from severe thunderstorms, tornadoes, hurricanes, and winter weather. For college, Jesse attended the University of South Alabama where he received his degree in Broadcast Meteorology along with minors in Math and Geography. From Alabama, Jesse started his broadcast television working three years at KAVU-TV in Victoria. Recently, he finished a stint in Shreveport, LA. Jesse and his wife are looking forward to making the Rocky Mountains and Colorado home. If you would like to follow me, you can follow me on Twitter @JesseKelleywx and on Facebook at Meteorologist Jesse Kelley.

Jesse Kelley

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In the Western Pacific hundreds of thousands of miles away, Typhoon Koinu is set to make landfall in southern Taiwan as a powerful CAT 3 hurricane. Typhoon Koinu is forecast to make a landfall across the southern part of Taiwan tonight. Then, the storm will continue its weakening phase as it brushes across Southeast Asia this weekend. Our field correspondent Josh Morgerman is following the storm and you can follow the latest by watching WeatherNation throughout the day.<div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1709595037183725964" src="https://twitter.com/iCyclone/status/1709595037183725964"></div><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/10/2-1696433763171.png">Typhoons and hurricanes are very similar expect the naming can be different depending on where in the world you are. For the Atlantic and Eastern Pacific, we use the term hurricane and once they cross the International Date line they become a typhoon. Now in case you were wondering, the super typhoon classification is given for a storm that reaches winds 150 mph or stronger.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/10/VON_100423_INTL_MANZHOU TOWNSHIP, TAIWAN_BROLL OF HEAVY WAVES_DROPBOX_JOSH MORGERMAN_KW_E100423-1696433837647.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>

Typhoon Koinu to Impact Taiwan

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It is almost time for Katmai National Park &amp; Preserve's "Fat Bear Week" which begins on October 4th and continues through October 10th!<h2>What is fat bear week?</h2>Fat bear week is put on by <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="http://explore.org">explore.org</a> and Katmai N.P.. According to Katmai N.P. &amp; Preserve, fat bear week "is a global tournament-style bracket competition in which the public votes for their favorite fattest bear. The National Park Service launched Fat Bear Week in 2014, when it was simply Fat Bear Tuesday". In 2015, it launched into an entire week.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/10/bracket-for-reveal-1696290871433-1696341008645.png"><h2>Why fat bear week?</h2>Fat bear week is put on by the park &amp; preserve to increase engagement and awareness about Alaska's brown bear population. The goal is to celebrate the "Brooks River brown bears at Katmai and its healthy and remarkable ecosystem"<h2>How do I vote?</h2>To vote you can head over to <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://explore.org/fat-bear-week">Explore.Org's</a> page to cast your official vote. The voting runs each day from 12 - 9 &nbsp;p.m. Eastern (9 a.m. - 6 p.m. Pacific) in a bracket style event. The "final four" is held on October 9th with the final round on October 10th. The winner will be crowned the "Fattest Bear". Share your vote with the hashtag #FatBearWeek on social media!<h2>Who are the fat bears?</h2>This year there are 12 competitors including this year's Jr. Fat Bear champion is deemed "big enough" to compete with the big bears! Some are familiar faces and others are new to the crew. Below are some of the former champions and participants in the 2023 season! The rules of the competition is that the bear has to be present at the beginning and end of summer and documented by Rangers in order to participate. The reigning champion is 747, one of the largest brown bears on Earth, estimated to weigh 1400lbs! He was first discovered at the preserve in 2004 and is now a seasoned bear on the river. He also has won fat bear week in 2020.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/10/747-1696281504448-1696341245594.png">The most decorated Fat Bear is Otis who won the inaugural Fat Bear competition in 2014 and then again in 2016, 2017, and 2021. According to <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="http://explore.org">explore.org</a>, "Otis was four to six years old when he was first identified in 2001, and he’s now one of the older male bears at Brooks River"<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/10/otis-1696341197254.png">Holly was the fat bear champ of 2019 and has returned again in 2023 to try and reclaim her status! It is possible Holly may give birth to another litter of cubs in her den this year, meaning her "bulk up" is essential. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/10/holly-1696340923817.png">To read more about the Fat Bears and the competition for 2023, <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://explore.org/hall-of-champions">click here</a>. WeatherNation will bring you updates on Fat Bear week as they come!

Fat Bear Week 2023: Chunking Up for Competition

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We are keeping an extremely close eye on Tropical Storm Phillipe as it finally pushes north out of the Caribbean and into the open waters of the Atlantic. Not only is Bermuda at risk for impacts from Philippe, but also Maine and northern New England are now in the "cone of uncertainty". A reminder, the cone only accounts for 2/3 of potential solutions of the CENTER of the storm. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/10/philippe fan wide-1696442075964.png">Impacts to Bermuda will be on par with a tropical storm - gusty winds, heavy rainfall and coastal flooding. No alerts have been issued yet. As the storm moves closer to New England we will be watching the influx of moisture to create heavy rainfall and flood concerns in northern New England Friday &amp; Saturday. <video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/10/2023-10-04 11-49-00-1696442510991.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>An incoming cold front will tap into moisture across northern New England to enhance rainfall rates on Saturday morning. We will see heavy rainfall for coastal Maine thanks to Philippe with heavy rainfall around northern New York a result of the cold front. Flash flooding maybe possible, although the caveat is that much of northern New England has been dry in the last month and can handle the excess rainfall. <video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/10/2023-10-04 11-49-17-1696442676253.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>

Tropical Storm Philippe to Impact Maine

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Summer of 1993, New England Dragway. That's when and where Steve knew he wanted to become a meteorologist. More than 20 years later he is extremely fortunate and blessed to be able to live his childhood dream. As a lover of math and science, Steve had a consistent interest in weather in elementary, middle, and high school before discovering you can major in meteorology. He attended Lyndon State College in Vermont where he received a bachelor's in meteorology-broadcasting and associate's in television news. He has worked as a meteorologist and reporter in Winchester, VA, Burlington, VT, and most recently in West Palm Beach, FL. He's recognized by the American Meteorological Society with the Certification of Broadcast Meteorologists.

Steven Glazier

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Set a reminder in your phone and calendar! The next solar eclipse is coming right up on Saturday, October 14th beginning at about 10 a.m. ET. This will be visible to millions of people in the Western Hemisphere, especially here across America.To refresh you on this subject, a solar eclipse occurs when the Earth, Moon, and Sun all align where the moon is in the middle. This essentially blocks our view of the sun. We don't get this all the time, because of the differing elliptical paths of the Moon and Earth's orbits. But once in a while, the eclipse comes around. This time, in mid-October, it will be an "annular" eclipse, meaning the moon is just a tad smaller than the sun (as it appears in our sky). The moon never completely fills out the perimeter of the sun, but rather results in a phenomenon called the "ring of fire."<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/09/Annualr vs Total-1696017313039.jpg"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/09/Solar Eclipse Alignment-1696017318118.jpg">Here is a chart of the locations and times of when the eclipse begins, peaks, and ends. These are cities within the path totality.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/09/2023 Eclilpse Timing-1696017352192.jpg">The path of totality will move from Oregon to Nevada, directly over the Four Corners, and through Texas. The best chances of seeing this eclipse will be in Nevada and the Four Corners, because this region usually has the sunniest sky in mid-October.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/09/2023 Eclipse Path-1696017350676.jpg">Before you run out and look directly in the sun, stop! Make sure you have proper eyewear. Regular sunglasses won't work to keep your eyes safe. You'll need proper, and legitimate, solar sunglasses. If you can't make it to Saturday, October 14th's eclipse you'll have another chance at a TOTAL solar eclipse April 8, 2024. The total solar eclipse can be a greater phenomenon because of the view of the corona!

Get Ready for the Next Solar Eclipse!

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Areas west of I-29 will get in on the cooler, more average weather while those in the Upper Midwest will see one last day of hot air. By Thursday all of us will be significantly cooler in the Upper Midwest. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/10/3 day-1696426185151.png">After a record setting day in the Northeast, more highs in the 80s are expected today. Not that this is all that "hot" but for early October, this is certainly much above average. This will be anywhere from 10-15° above average. The same cool air that sweeps into the High Plains will also arrive in the Northeast by Thursday and Friday.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/10/records-1696426219459.png"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/10/10-03_rne-1696380612432.png">

Powerful Cold Front Drops Temps in the Northern U.S.

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OBSERVED

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<img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-104461" src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2019/02/ca-rain.png" alt="" width="1575" height="865" />

https://youtu.be/aIKbf8T9930

More than a foot of rain has fallen in parts of California with <a href="https://media.weathernationtv.com/news/major-flooding-swamps-northern-california/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">flooding in the northern part of the state</a>. <a href="https://media.weathernationtv.com/news/impressive-snow-totals-for-areas-in-the-pacific-northwest/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Snowfall accumulations have been measured with yard sticks</a> in the mountains this week. Even more moisture is ahead through this weekend and into next week.

<img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-104462" src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2019/02/ca.png" alt="" width="1626" height="886" />

<img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-104463" src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2019/02/wy.png" alt="" width="1583" height="886" />

WATCHES AND WARNINGS

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<img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-104521" src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2019/02/full-wwa.png" alt="" width="1610" height="917" />

<img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-104523" src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2019/02/sierra.png" alt="" width="1649" height="938" />

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Winter weather alerts are in place for the higher elevations in the West as snowfall is looking to be pretty consistent over the next few days.

<img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-104525" src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2019/02/er-1.png" alt="" width="1669" height="942" />

<img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-104524" src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2019/02/er-ss.png" alt="" width="1672" height="945" />

https://twitter.com/NWSLosAngeles/status/1101255465122648064

Heavy rain has diminished in northern California, but rain is ahead for the central and southern areas of the state. An abundant amount of rain over a short period of time might lead to flooding in these areas.

FORECAST

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<img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-104527" src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2019/02/fri-6p.png" alt="" width="1651" height="939" />

<img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-104528" src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2019/02/sat-noon.png" alt="" width="1656" height="929" />

<img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-104526" src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2019/02/6a-sun.png" alt="" width="1672" height="932" />

Widespread snow continues and it is here to stay over the next several days. Heavy rain will also be hanging around the coast of California. Prepare for very slick road conditions from snow and rain, and make sure to plan commutes ahead of time.

FORECAST RAIN AND SNOW

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<img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-104529" src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2019/02/qpf-rain.png" alt="" width="1646" height="917" />

<img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-104530" src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2019/02/snow-7.png" alt="" width="1641" height="937" />

A couple inches of rain is likely in southern California over the next 72 hours. Flooding is possible in areas that see multiple storms.

Snowfall totals up to a foot will be common throughout the higher elevations in the West. Areas in the Sierra Nevada, Wasatch and Rockies may see an additional 2 to 3 FEET of snow!

Heavy Snow and Rain Continues Across the West

Flash Flooding Expected in DFW Today

The DFW area is under the risk of flash flood

Severe Weather Chances in Southern Plains

In addition to the flash flood threat around

Typhoon Koinu to Impact Taiwan

In the Western Pacific hundreds of thousands

Fat Bear Week 2023: Chunking Up for Competition

It is almost time for Katmai National Park &a

Tropical Storm Philippe to Impact Maine

We are keeping an extremely close eye on Trop

Get Ready for the Next Solar Eclipse!

Set a reminder in your phone and calendar! Th

Powerful Cold Front Drops Temps in the Northern U.S.

Areas west of I-29 will get in on the cooler,

It is almost time for Katmai National Park &a