NOAA's Climate Prediction Center (CPC)
issued their outlook for July
on Thursday. It calls for a warmer than normal month across the West, North, Northeast, and along the East Coast into Florida. In the Northwest, a drier than normal July is expected. Above normal precipitation is in the forecast for the Southeast.
With drought conditions present across most of the West and Northern Plains, and the summer months are prime months when current soil moisture values can impact temperature and precipitation according to the CPC discussion
. Water temperatures in the Pacific Ocean are near average, so La Nina or El Nino is not present with the trends of neutral conditions influencing the forecast. Coastal water temperatures and long term model forecasts were also used for the July forecast.