WeatherNation Meteorologists

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<p>There are only a few weeks left in the Hurricane Season and it looks like it will be quiet end to the season. There is no tropical activity in either the Atlantic or the Eastern Pacific basins. </p><h1><strong>ATLANTIC BASIN</strong></h1><p>Not much is happening in the Atlantic Basin and that will continue for at least the next 7 days.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/11/PIC 4-1794617871577.png"></p><h1>Eastern Pacific Basin</h1><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/11/PIC 5-1794618538087.png">Although tropical activity typically decreases as fall progresses, the Atlantic hurricane season officially continues through November 30. The Eastern Pacific hurricane season also runs through November 30. For now, neither disturbance has developed into a tropical cyclone, but the Pacific system has the greater potential for organization this week.</p><p>WeatherNation will continue monitoring both areas of interest and provide updates as new information becomes available from the National Hurricane Center.</p>

Patrick Crawford

Tropics Update: All is Quiet

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<p>The first in a line of several storms systems moved inland across the West on Friday with intense rain and wind impacts, including flash flooding issues around northern California. Hail even fell along the NW coast of the golden state, over the size of golf balls!</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/11/Screenshot 2026-11-14 053024-1794659469278.png">That first dynamic system will move through the Rockies Saturday before the next front moves onshore late Saturday into Sunday. That next wave will push into the Rockies to start the week, with another low moving in toward the mid-week timeframe.</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/11/fsaaaaaassssss-1794363172414.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><p></p><h2><strong>SHORT RANGE FORECAST</strong></h2><p>The first system will continue to bring snow and rain to parts of the Four Corners and Wyoming on Saturday night, with snow and rain tapering off Sunday morning as the low dives into Texas. The next front moves into the Pacific Northwest Saturday night, slowly sliding down the west coast and across the interior through Tuesday. This next system will bring much colder air, with temperatures in some areas dropping more than 10 degrees. This means more rain will turn to snow for lower elevations.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/11/Screenshot 2026-11-14 060025-1794661618050.png"></p><h2>Winter Alerts</h2><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/11/pic6-1794698960044.png">Winter weather advisories are in place over the Sierra for the potential of up to 6 inches of additional snow. Traveling in these areas is not recommended as roads and visibility will be dangerous. </p><p></p><h1>Mid-Range</h1><p>Heading toward the weekend before Thanksgiving, the pattern looks wet still across the SW, while the NW could see drier conditions.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/11/Screenshot 2026-11-14 063035-1794663068015.png"></p>

Snow, Flooding, & Strong Winds Hit California, Active Pacific Pattern Persists

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Meteorologist Jesse Kelley is excited to join the talented staff at Weather Nation. Jesse spent most of his childhood in Birmingham, Alabama. The state of Alabama is prone to seeing various types of weather from severe thunderstorms, tornadoes, hurricanes, and winter weather. For college, Jesse attended the University of South Alabama where he received his degree in Broadcast Meteorology along with minors in Math and Geography. From Alabama, Jesse started his broadcast television working three years at KAVU-TV in Victoria. Recently, he finished a stint in Shreveport, LA. Jesse and his wife are looking forward to making the Rocky Mountains and Colorado home. If you would like to follow me, you can follow me on Twitter @JesseKelleywx and on Facebook at Meteorologist Jesse Kelley.

Jesse Kelley

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<p>For the rest of the weekend, heavy rain and storms will push across Texas. Isolated severe storms are in the forecast into early Monday morning. The big story from this set-up will be all the heavy rain for Texas, and this includes cities like Dallas and Houston.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/11/PIC 4-1794687061366.png"></p><h1>SEVERE THREAT</h1><p>Sunday, a Marginal risk is in effect for parts of South Texas from the Rio Grande up to Interstate-10. The primary threat will likely be damaging winds, but a few isolated tornadoes can't be ruled out. Rain and storms will begin in West Texas on Saturday and push eastward into the Red River Valley during the day. On Sunday, the front sags toward the coast, bringing the severe risk.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/11/Screenshot 2026-11-14 032952-1794652205474.png"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/11/Screenshot 2026-11-14 033017-1794652226926.png"></p><p>The rainfall will started early Saturday morning, and last until Monday. Check out the latest forecast timing.</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/11/FORECAST2-1794686913572.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><p></p>

Weekend Storm Brings Soaking Rain and Severe Threat Across Texas

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<p>Heavy snow is piling up across portions of the Northeast, especially in New York State where over a foot of snow has accumulated! Snow will continue through Friday morning before tapering off. Lake effect snow will continue around the Great Lakes while the southern Appalachians see a northwest flow snow event into Saturday morning.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/11/Screenshot 2026-11-13 063936-1794577352746.png"></p><h2>Forecast Timing</h2><p>Snow will taper off through Friday morning in the Poconos, possibly lingering into the early afternoon. As cold NW flow kicks in, lake effect snow and upslope snow (Appalachians) will kick in, lasting into the weekend for some.</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/11/FORECAST2-1794602135827.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><h2>Snow Totals</h2><p>Additional snow totals could top 3-4 inches in a few areas thanks to lake effect that continues through Saturday, but overall an inch or two will fall still.  Light totals are possible down through the Appalachian Mountains, with areas like Sams Gap on I-26 (NC/TN) likely seeing a few slick spots.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/11/PIC 4-1794602195163.png"></p><h2>Rain Totals</h2><p>The low elevations are expecting rainfall. Isolated few inches will be possible, especially near New York City as a stronger storm threat sets up for Thursday.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/11/Screenshot 2026-11-12 052706-1794486446791.png"></p><p>For the latest update on this forecast, tune into WeatherNation.</p>

More Snow Chances for the Northeast Into the Weekend

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Adrian Hernandez

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<p>We've got a party getting started in the midweek with a strong low building in and heading east. It'll bring some heavy rain and maybe even snow to the Northeast; more on that <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.weathernationtv.com/news/east-coast-snow-what-we-know-about-the-late-week-system">here</a>. Across the Great Lakes, however, we could be talking a different kind of setup.</p><p>It goes without saying, we'll see a pretty big cooldown once this system kicks on out of here.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/11/PIC 4-1794515795154.png"></p><p>If you get far enough north, we could be dealing with some of that lake effect stuff into the midweek. Moisture is expected to linger long enough to get some decent totals across the Upper Peninsula of Michigan!</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/11/FORECAST2-1794515865419.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><p>There are a few <strong>Winter Weather Advisories</strong> for the UP of Michigan. We could see up to 6"!</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/11/PIC 4-1794516150521.png"></p><p>Snowfall totals look highest in the UP with a few bands that could bring decent snowfall to northern Indiana.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/11/Screenshot 2026-11-12 051823-1794485924432.png"></p><p>Lake water temperatures themselves are also cooler to the north. They're warm enough, but the setup itself isn't going to lend itself much to a widespread lake effect event. It'll likely stay more isolated.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/11/Screenshot 2026-11-10 045743-1794312721662.png"></p><p>Stay tuned to the forecast here on WeatherNation. We've got you covered!</p>

Lake Effect Machine May Fire Up Midweek

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Kevin Schneider

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<p>An interesting setup is rolling through the Midwest and Ohio Valleys this week. It's the spark that lights the fuse to the powerful system bringing some snow chances out east.</p><p>RELATED: <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.weathernationtv.com/news/east-coast-snow-what-we-know-about-the-late-week-system"><strong>Latest on the snow chances this week</strong></a></p><p>As it's getting setup, however, severe storms will be possible over the heartland on Wednesday.</p><h1>SETUP</h1><p>A fast-moving disturbance will ripple through the middle of the week. That will be enough to trigger storms by the afternoon on Wednesday. Because it is such a potent disturbance, the storms feel like a relatively safe bet. There are more questions about where storms will fire, with some models liking areas north of the marginal outlook issued by the Storm Prediction Center.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/11/Screenshot 2026-11-11 051307-1794399204727.png"></p><h1>IMPACTS</h1><p>Damaging winds are the biggest concern; There is plenty of wind shear to organize storms, and that wind energy could help spin up a tornado or two.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/11/Screenshot 2026-11-11 051345-1794399243165.png"></p><h1>TIMING</h1><p>With a fairly fast-moving system, these storms will be in and out of here pretty quickly. The severe window looks to shut shortly after sunset on Wednesday.</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/11/2026-11-11 05-17-18-1794399461872.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>

Severe Threat Rolls Returns to the Ohio Valley

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Taban Sharifi grew up in Southern California between Los Angeles and San Diego. She is a Certified Broadcast Meteorologist (CBM) with the American Meteorological Society (AMS). She has a B.S. in Atmospheric, Oceanic, and Environmental Sciences with a minor in Environmental Systems and Society from the University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA). Go Bruins! While in school, Taban was a meteorology intern with NBC LA. There she helped forecast daily weather for the greater Los Angeles region and created a playbook to deploy weather sensors for NBC owned-and-operated stations across the country. Her first on-air job took her to San Angelo, Texas, where she was a morning meteorologist and co-anchor. Working in West Texas gave her knowledge and experience covering severe storms. From there, she moved to Palm Springs, California. People think forecasting in California is sunshine all the time, but with temperatures in the 120’s, wildfires, damaging winds, floodings, and earthquakes, the forecasting kept her very busy! She also worked there as a general assignment reporter and told community stories. Taban is excited for the challenge and opportunity to forecast nationally with WeatherNation. She also looks forward to exploring all that Colorado has to offer!

Taban Sharifi

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<p></p><div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="2119564015060025572" src="https://x.com/WeatherNation/status/2119564015060025572"></div><p>Rain is tapering off after the heavy totals that fell over the Lone Star State the last couple of days. On Sunday, we had several rainfall records fall.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/11/WEB 1-1794231174728.png">Not only were there records, but some of the totals surpassed half a foot of rain.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/11/Screenshot 2026-11-09 155523-1794264949158.png"></p><h1>Rain &amp; Flood Potential</h1><p>Any additional rainfall Monday through Tuesday will be lighter, but because of the significant totals there will still be the possibility of isolated flooding.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/11/Screenshot 2026-11-09 155628-1794265037493.png">The WPC keeps <strong>marginal </strong>to <strong>slight </strong>risk for flooding around overnight.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/11/Screenshot 2026-11-09 155721-1794265052393.png">More on your Central Regional forecast can be found :30 past the hour on WeatherNation.</p><p></p>

Texas Flood Threat To Start The Week

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Intense rainfall late Tuesday night into Wednesday morning proved fatal in southeastern Kansas. According to the Montgomery County Sheriff's Office, two men were killed as their vehicle was swept off the road by rising flood waters. The identities of the father and son were released as Dennis Clark Catron Sr. (72) and Dennis Clark Catron Jr. (39) of rural Elk City.

https://www.facebook.com/permalink.php?story_fbid=2150446061866414&id=1424207464490281

Reports of seven to nine inches of rainfall came in across the Independence, Kansas area. Local authorities responded to multiple stranded motorists, in some cases going door to door to warn residents of high water.

https://twitter.com/NWSWichita/status/1029741075303460864

Reports of a tornado also came into Elk City just after 5:30 pm CDT. Here's a look at just a handful of the local storm reports coming into the NWS Wichita office from the event:

<img class="alignnone wp-image-95520 size-full" src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2018/08/LSR.png" alt="Kansas Flooding Responsible for Two Deaths" width="518" height="841" />

Some of the storms yesterday even turned tornadic. A possible tornado touchdown was seen near Elk City, KS

https://twitter.com/WeatherNation/status/1029869146979201024

For <a href="https://media.weathernationtv.com/">WeatherNation</a>, Meteorologist <a href="https://media.weathernationtv.com/team/karissa-klos-2/">Karissa Klos</a>.