New Cone of Uncertainty for 2024 Hurricane Season

news image
Special Stories
29 May 2024 1:00 PM

This year the National Hurricane Center is testing a new "Cone of Uncertainty" to display to the public during tropical systems to better communicate the entire hazards of the storm away from the immediate coastline. The current "Cone of Uncertainty" product focuses on the center of the storm, and not the risks outside of the center or eye. The cone of uncertainty can lead to the "containment effect" where people believe areas outside the cone are safe and inside the cone are at risk, according to a study done by researchers at Colorado State University. This product will be experimental and will be tested to see how it is perceived by the public. Deputy Director Jamie Rhome and the team at the National Hurricane Center have been researching and testing this format for the past few years.

So what is the cone of uncertainty? It is a way to display the likely path of the CENTER of the storm and accounts for 2/3 of all possibilities. It is imperative to remember the cone of uncertainty does NOT account for impacts away from the center of the storm like strong winds, storm surge, and flash flooding from rainfall. As meteorologist Steve Glazier tells us, you have to look beyond the cone to get the full story of the storm.

All Weather News
More
Stormy Days Ahead for the Northeast and Mid-Alantic

Stormy Days Ahead for the Northeast and Mid-Alantic

The Northeast and Mid-Atlantic regions will k

9 May 2025 3:15 AM
Severe Thunderstorm Threat from Texas to Florida

Severe Thunderstorm Threat from Texas to Florida

A splitting storm system will bring the threa

9 May 2025 3:05 AM
Late Week Heat Back in the West

Late Week Heat Back in the West

WEST - Hazardous heat is back in the forecast

9 May 2025 3:05 AM
Southeast Soaker This Weekend

Southeast Soaker This Weekend

A large trough of low pressure stalls over th

8 May 2025 1:40 AM
Major Spring Storm Continues With Rain & Snow For the Rockies

Major Spring Storm Continues With Rain & Snow For the Rockies

Looking at the rain from a glass half full le

7 May 2025 12:40 PM
Flooding Threat Takes Aim at the Gulf Coast

Flooding Threat Takes Aim at the Gulf Coast

The forecast remains wet in the southern plai

7 May 2025 2:00 AM
Rainy Forecast Could Disrupt Kentucky Derby

Rainy Forecast Could Disrupt Kentucky Derby

Louisville is gearing up for the 151st Kentuc

3 May 2025 4:30 PM