NOAA & CSU Update Their 2022 Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlooks

news image
Special Stories
5 Aug 2022 4:00 AM
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration has released its updated 2022 Atlantic Hurricane Season forecast. The agency is still predicting an ABOVE AVERAGE season, but a decrease from the original forecast numbers with 14-20 named storms and 3-5 major hurricanes. The number of hurricanes, remains the same at 6-10 expected. These numbers do include our 3 named storms already this season: Alex, Bonnie and Colin. https://youtu.be/fFWUed7deSE This is a slight change from the initial forecast back in May of 2022, of 14-21 named storms and 6-10 hurricanes forecast. Earlier this year there was an equal probability of a average, above average or below average season do to a La Nina pattern and warmer than average sea surface temperatures. They attribute the above average season to the La Nina conditions, above average sea surface temperatures and lack of wind shear to tear apart hurricanes. Colorado State University updated its forecast on Thursday August 4th to included 18 named storms, and 8 hurricanes and 4 Major Hurricanes. This is a slight DECREASE from an earlier forecast update in July which called for 20 named storms and 10 hurricanes and 5 Major Hurricanes but is still calling for an ABOVE AVERAGE season. The named storm forecast includes the three named storms already. Since that July update we have had no additional named storms in the Atlantic Basin. Forecasters at Colorado State University will start issuing two week tropical updates for the rest of the season, with the goal of preparedness. https://twitter.com/philklotzbach/status/1554873986537779200 This season is expected to be above average for a couple reasons. According to Matthew Rosencrans, lead seasonal hurricane forecaster at NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, “ENSO-neutral and La Nina support the conditions associated with the ongoing high-activity era.” Warm sea-surface temperatures will also allow for enhanced storm activity. The peak of Atlantic Hurricane Season is typically in mid-September and we are anticipating more activity in the coming weeks and month in the Ocean. 90% of all hurricanes and 95% of all hurricanes have formed AFTER August 1st in the Atlantic Basin. WeatherNation is here to keep you safe before, during and after the storm, so stay with WeatherNation as we bring you the latest on tropical developments!
All Weather News
More
Severe Storms Target the Plains & Midwest This Weekend

Severe Storms Target the Plains & Midwest This Weekend

The peak of spring severe weather season is f

12 Apr 2026 2:30 AM
Severe Storm Threat Continues To Start the Week

Severe Storm Threat Continues To Start the Week

It is April after all. After a week straight

12 Apr 2026 2:30 AM
Stormy Pattern Continues for West Coast

Stormy Pattern Continues for West Coast

A series of storms is lining up to impact the

12 Apr 2026 2:25 AM
Artemis II Splashes Down After Journey Around the Moon

Artemis II Splashes Down After Journey Around the Moon

Click here to WATCH LIVE with WeatherNation!C

12 Apr 2026 1:30 AM
CSU Releases First Hurricane Forecast for 2026

CSU Releases First Hurricane Forecast for 2026

Spring is in full swing which means it's time

12 Apr 2026 1:30 AM
Masters Forecast: No Rain, No Delays, Just Golf

Masters Forecast: No Rain, No Delays, Just Golf

The Masters Tournament in Augusta is expected

11 Apr 2026 8:00 AM
Severe Weather Reloads Today

Severe Weather Reloads Today

Large hail for Kansas last night! Thursday wa

10 Apr 2026 8:40 PM