Brittany Lockley

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A tropical disturbance in the eastern Atlantic has a 70% chance of becoming a tropical depression within the next seven days. The area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms near the Cabo Verde islands is drawing more attention, as conditions become increasingly favorable for storm development. According to the National Hurricane Center (NHC), this broad area of low pressure located just southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands is moving westward at around 15 mph. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/09/Screenshot 2025-09-03 040136-1756893712139.png">If development continues, the system would be classified as&nbsp;Tropical Depression Seven&nbsp;and could be named&nbsp;Tropical Storm Gabrielle by this weekend or early next week. Models are giving a strong indication that the system could gradually strengthen as it moves across warm waters in the central Atlantic.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/09/2025-09-03 04-02-15-1756893766483.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>However, as of now, it is still relatively far out to see where it could be headed. Different models have vastly different paths at this time. One model shows the storm remaining weak and drifting westward toward the Caribbean. Others depict it strengthening more rapidly and curving northward, influenced by a strong dip in the jet stream expected over the eastern United States later this week. The outcome will largely depend on how organized the system becomes in the coming days. Weaker storms are typically less responsive to steering currents, while more developed systems can be more accurately predicted.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/09/2025-09-03 04-04-28-1756893907794.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>Do not let your guard down. September is historically the peak of hurricane season, and ocean conditions remain favorable for additional development. However, the NHC urges residents along the Atlantic basin to monitor updates closely. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/09/Screenshot 2025-09-03 040525-1756893937011.png">As always, preparedness is key. Whether or not this particular system develops into a named storm, it serves as a reminder that the Atlantic remains active and that the window for tropical threats is far from closed. Tune into WeatherNation TV for the latest updates.

A Tropical Depression Could Develop in Atlantic Late Week

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Kevin Schneider

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<h1>EASTERN PACIFIC</h1>Kiko was upgraded to a hurricane Tuesday morning and will continue heading west. Eventually, the National Hurricane Center has Kiko becoming a category 3 hurricane on this journey.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/09/Screenshot 2025-09-02 204919-1756867813243.png">What happens after that is a bit of a mystery, with some eyebrow-raising models within the vicinity of Hawaii sometime beyond a week from now. Nothing that far in advance will ever be set in stone, let alone with a low-end tropical storm. It bears watching throughout the week, as questions become answers.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/09/Screenshot 2025-09-02 205024-1756867831227.png">Tropical Storm Lorena continues to strengthen and according to the National Hurricane Center, Lorena may rapidly intensify in the days to come. There is the potential for a landfall in the Baja of California.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/09/Screenshot 2025-09-02 204931-1756867867943.png">Lorena will track along the Mexican coast. What could become a real possibility, like we saw with Juliette, is that the moisture gets siphoned off and ends up in the desert southwest in some form or fashion.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/09/Screenshot 2025-09-02 101510-1756829729877.png"><h1>Atlantic</h1>While the Pacific has taken over the short-term problems, the Atlantic basin has one wave worth watching. Primarily because it came off the coast of Africa so far south, it's hard to tell where this one will end up, but a tropical depression is possible by the end of the week.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/09/Screenshot 2025-09-02 205131-1756867897971.png">As we near the peak of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, one question on many minds is "Why has it been so quiet?" About two-thirds of all Atlantic hurricane activity typically occurs between August 20th and October 10th. With only a handful of named storms and only one major hurricane through late August, the sluggish pace stands in stark contrast to what many seasonal forecasts had warned would be an active year. So, what's causing the delay?<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/09/Screenshot 2025-09-02 205146-1756867913194.png">Several key factors are at play in this slow start. First, the Main Development Region (MDR) of the tropical Atlantic, where most storms form during peak season, has been cooler than expected. While still slightly above average, it falls short of the record-breaking warmth seen in 2024. Meanwhile, waters in the subtropical Atlantic are significantly warmer, disrupting the usual energy gradient that helps fuel storm formation.Atmospheric conditions have also been unusually hostile to storms. Persistent wind shear across the Gulf and Caribbean has torn apart developing systems before they can organize. On top of that, the upper atmosphere has remained unusually warm and stable, effectively placing a lid on the kind of deep convection hurricanes need to grow. Add in frequent plumes of dry, dusty air from the Sahara, and the result is a storm-suppressing cocktail that’s kept the basin eerily calm.All it takes is one hurricane to make it a memorable season. The tropics in the Atlantic have a chance to stay active through the first week of September, heading into the second week. While a large-scale Kelvin Wave is not likely to spur activity like it has over the last two weeks, additional tropical waves could develop in the Atlantic and the Gulf/Western Caribbean. During this time of year, any development will need to be monitored closely.Stay with WeatherNation for the latest.

Alana Cameron

TROPICS: Kiko Tracks Towards Hawaii, Lorena Strengthens

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Alana Cameron was born and raised in Canada in the city of Mississauga, just outside of Toronto. Alana is the oldest of 4 siblings, all close in age, and grew up playing outside with them in all types of weather. After graduating high school, Alana moved to study at the University of British Columbia in Kelowna for a year before transferring to Dalhousie University in Halifax, Nova Scotia where she completed a Bachelor of Science in Physics and Atmospheric Science. Upon completion, Alana moved back to Toronto where she completed a post-grad degree in Meteorology at York University. After her post-grad, she went on to complete another post-grad in Broadcast Journalism - TV News at Fanshawe College in London, Ontario. During her final year of studies she had the privilege of interning with the best in the business in Canada at The Weather Network. Once she finished her internship, she got the call from small-town Denison, Texas where she accepted a job as an on-air meteorologist at KTEN-TV, right in tornado alley, covering severe weather from Sherman/Denison (North Texas) to Ada (Southern Oklahoma). After the most active tornado season Oklahoma had seen in May 2019 (105 tornadoes!) Alana is excited to join WeatherNation to cover weather all across the nation. If you're interested in following her on social media she can be found @alanacameronwx!

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A hot dome of high pressure continues to bake parts of California and the Pacific Northwest with record heat.On Tuesday, Ellensburg, WA tied a record high.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/09/tomer pnw record heat-1756867838706.jpg"><h2>Heat Alerts</h2>Heat advisories have been issued in the western U.S. For the northwest, heat advisories last through Thursday. Hot temperatures will increase the risk of heat-related illnesses, so be sure to keep cool and hydrated. Extreme heat warnings were added in Oregon and interior Washington as well.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/09/tomer pnw heat-1756857613377.jpg">In the southwest, heat advisories span as close as the Pacific Coast. Along the coast, temperatures between 90-95° are possible, and 95-105° in the valleys and hills.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/09/tomer socal heat alerts-1756857704922.jpg"><h2>Temperatures</h2>Temperatures in southern California are likely to warm up to 95° close to the coast, and upwards of 105° farther inland.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/09/Screenshot 2025-09-02 122345-1756837461571.png">Temperatures will be pushing 15° above average across western Oregon, including the Willamette Valley. Even more anomalous, temperatures in the Inland NW will rise up 20° above average, as locales such as Spokane, WA, will be feeling triple-digit heat.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/09/Screenshot 2025-09-02 122406-1756837456223.png">While the numbers may not seem too high in the northwest, many residents in these areas do not have air conditioning. Because of this, the Willamette Valley and interior Washington will experience&nbsp;major and extreme heat impacts through Wednesday.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/09/Screenshot 2025-09-01 160028-1756764033621.png">Here are some good tips if you're unfortunately dealing with the heat without the benefits of air conditioning.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-29 174031-1756511416611.png">

Chris Tomer

Late Summer Heatwave Out West

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Until the past week, has anyone been impressed by the monsoon season this year?Compared to normal, many locations that see most of their rain this time of the year have been left high and dry. All of that dry time has played a pivotal role in the wildfire threat that is seemingly never-ending. This has been the second driest start to a calendar year in the city of Tucson!<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/09/Screenshot 2025-09-01 104436-1756745109335.png">While some headline-hooking haboobs have brought desert storms to the forefront, many are still pretty far behind, rainfall-wise. However, this week the same high pressure that is baking the Pacific Northwest will also open the door to fling a little moisture westward. Some of this Monsoon moisture will curl around an area of high pressure and move through Southern California.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/09/Screenshot 2025-09-01 104956-1756745422822.png">This moisture leaves the southwest under an excessive rainfall outlook for the next 5 days!<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/09/Web 9-1756811779052.png">Related articles: <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.weathernationtv.com/news/haboob-blows-through-phoenix-monday-afternoon">Haboob Blows Through Phoenix</a> <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.weathernationtv.com/news/heatwave-looming-for-the-northwest">Late Summer Heatwave</a>That added moisture will help bolster rain chances as far southwest as southern California! Will it be a drought-busting downpour? Probably not. But chipping away at the lackluster season is all we can ask for. That and a break from the mid 90's anticipated in Los Angeles would be nice.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/09/tomer sw futurecast-1756857967706.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>Flood alerts have been added for California for rainfall rates that may reach upwards of 0.5-1" per hour!<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/09/tomer sw flood watches-1756867698843.jpg"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/09/TOMER SW RAIN FORECAST-1756867737040.jpg">

Slow Monsoon Season Making Up for Lost Time

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I know I know we're confusing a lot of people when we do this a few times every year. It's just a cheat code for our statistics. Instead of comparing different dates and calling them the same every year - we bust the seasons apart by the calendar, not the exact path around the sun.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/09/Screenshot 2025-09-01 100252-1756742674398.png">Now, every "meteorological" season is the same. Each and every year, although the equinox will slide around depending on the year. But it got us thinking...<h1>How is the Fall Looking</h1>The Climate Prediction Center issues outlooks that span from 6-10 days to MONTHS in advance. Their outlook for the months of September - November was tweaked towards the end of August, with a large majority of the lower 48 likely warmer than average. Despite the past few weeks making us forget about how toasty it's been, this has been more of the case for much of the Summer. Some areas, like Salt Lake City and Milwaukee, have seen one of their warmest Summers on record.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/09/Screenshot 2025-09-01 100946-1756742993606.png">While there is a ton of red on the map, it's also a good reminder they don't issue outlooks based on degrees above or below, but rather the confidence in the outcome. Very red means very confident, but many equate confidence to degrees above. The same argument could be made for rainfall.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/09/Screenshot 2025-09-01 101016-1756743111383.png">Is this a good first guess to what the weather will be like on Halloween? ABSOLUTELY NOT. Outlooks like this are similar to the climate vs weather idea: long-term outlooks are more the personality, whereas the daily forecast is the mood. Be sure to keep up with the latest daily forecast as we iron out the details where you live, all Fall long.

Tracey Anthony

Welcome to Meteorological Fall! What Does That Mean?

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Rob grew up in South Florida, where daily afternoon storms and hurricanes piqued his interest in meteorology early on. That interest was fostered by his teachers and his father, who one time brought him onto the roof of their home to watch a funnel cloud move through the Everglades several miles away. Years of filmmaking and tv production in high school gradually pushed him toward broadcast meteorology at Florida State University, where he joined and eventually led the student run daily weather show. After graduating with a Bachelors of Science in Meteorology, he began his career at KESQ in Palm Springs, California before heading to KFSN in Fresno and WLOS in Asheville, North Carolina. He has covered a diverse array of extreme weather events, including haboobs and flash flooding in the desert, extreme snow in the Sierra, hurricanes, and Appalachian ice storms. He also enjoys telling stories and reporting about weather issues.

Connect with Rob on <a href="https://twitter.com/WxRobBradley">Twitter</a>

Rob Bradley

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TEXAS - Dallas set a daily rainfall record on August 30th of 1.35" (tying the existing daily record of 1.35" set in 1991). This batch of heavy rain also hit Plano with almost six inches!<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-31 193740-1756690666048.png">Storms will continue to track toward the Gulf Coast, bringing heavy rain from Texas to Louisiana through Labor Day.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/0831-1756690581924.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>Rainfall totals of 2-7 inches may lead to flash flooding in some areas. Excessive rainfall outlooks have been issued for the next few days, including a wide area under a SLIGHT risk of excessive rain through Sunday night.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-31 193629-1756690594128.png"><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/08311-1756690649280.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>For more details, be sure to join us on WeatherNation!

Taban Sharifi

Soggy Labor Day Weekend for The South

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Friday marked the anniversary of Hurricane Katrina, one of the most devastating natural disasters in U.S. history. On August 29, 2005, the powerful storm made landfall along the Gulf Coast, leaving behind a humanitarian crisis that would forever change New Orleans and the surrounding communities. Two decades later, the memory of Katrina still resonates deeply with survivors, first responders, and all who witnessed the destruction.&nbsp;<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-29 082444-1756477525621.png">Katrina began as a tropical storm over the Bahamas on August 23 and quickly strengthened into a massive Category 5 hurricane over the Gulf of Mexico. It made landfall in South Florida as a Category 1 hurricane before moving into the Gulf. By the time it struck near Buras, Louisiana, on August 29, it had slightly weakened to a Category 3, but still packed winds of 125 mph and an unprecedented storm surge. The storm battered coastal areas of Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama, causing widespread damage and flooding.&nbsp;<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/082725_PKG_TRT_4.09_JOSH WITH MISSISSIPPI RESIDENTS TALKING ABOUT THE EFFECTS OF KATRINA_NJ-1756463476792.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>New Orleans bore the brunt of the disaster. However, it was not from wind, but from storm surge and catastrophic levee failures. About 80% of the city was submerged, with some neighborhoods under more than 10 feet of water. Tens of thousands of people were trapped without food, water, or medical care. The scenes of stranded families on rooftops and desperate conditions inside the Superdome shocked the world.&nbsp;<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot%202025-08-29%20042812-1756463302396.jpg">In total, Hurricane Katrina claimed over 1,800 lives and displaced more than a million people. The economic impact was equally staggering, with damage estimated at over $125 billion. Entire communities, were devastated, many of which still struggle with the long-term effects today.&nbsp;<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-29 042839-1756463328273.jpg">Twenty years later, Hurricane Katrina remains a defining moment in American history. While many parts of the Gulf Coast have rebuilt and moved forward, the anniversary is a time to honor the lives lost, recognize the resilience of survivors, and recommit to building safer, more equitable communities in the face of future storms.&nbsp;<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/081225_SOT_.43_NAT PACK WITH KEN G READING THE WARNING BEFORE KATRINA WITH KATRINA BROLL_NJ_E081225-1756481328415.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>Katrina was eye opening in the world of hurricane observation and forecasting. Meteorologist Jesse Kelley spoke with the current Meteorologist in Charge at the National Weather Service in New Orleans to see how Katrina still factors into their decision making today.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/PKG_TRT 4.26_KATRINAS LONG-LASTING IMPACTS ON NEW ORLEANS_JESSE KELLEY_LS_E082525-1756481347277.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>Our own Hunter and Historian Josh Morgerman has close ties to the Gulf Coast, living in Bay St. Louis, MS. Dr. Jim Siebert sat down with him in a two part interview to talk about what made Katrina a historic storm and how he still sees its influences today.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/WHERE WERE YOU_TRT 4.23 PART 1_NJ_E082725-1756481839901.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/WHERE WERE YOU_TRT 5.17 PART 2_NJ_E082725-1756481927184.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>

Hurricane Katrina: Remembering the Devastation, 20 Years Later

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Sometimes there may not be a sure bet on who will win the Kentucky Derby, but this year's odds on rain are just about a lock!

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Expect rain to be falling at post time, scheduled for 6:50 p.m. Eastern Saturday. With recent rainy conditions and more forecast, the track should be quite muddy. The rain will be due to a slow-moving area of low pressure traversing the Ohio River Valley region. The latest forecast is showing the rain to get heavier through the afternoon hours Saturday. Our only hope for drier weather is if the rain will move out and finish sooner, rather than later.

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Even around the post time for the Kentucky Derby Saturday, it still looks quite wet. All of that yellow and orange shows the heavy rain. Right now, 0.50-1.00" of rain is forecast on just Saturday alone! The heaviest time frame for rain will be between 8 a.m. and 1 p.m. Saturday. Wind will be light.

For WeatherNation, Meteorologist Steve Glazier

Odds In Favor Of A Muddy Kentucky Derby

A Tropical Depression Could Develop in Atlantic Late Week

A tropical disturbance in the eastern Atlanti

TROPICS: Kiko Tracks Towards Hawaii, Lorena Strengthens

EASTERN PACIFICKiko was upgraded to a hurrica

Late Summer Heatwave Out West

A hot dome of high pressure continues to bake

Slow Monsoon Season Making Up for Lost Time

Until the past week, has anyone been impresse

Welcome to Meteorological Fall! What Does That Mean?

I know I know we're confusing a lot of people

Soggy Labor Day Weekend for The South

TEXAS - Dallas set a daily rainfall record on

Hurricane Katrina: Remembering the Devastation, 20 Years Later

Friday marked the anniversary of Hurricane Ka