Dave Holder

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While temperatures will cool across the South behind a front, dangerous fire conditions will increase on Sunday and Monday. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/02/Screenshot 2026-02-21 170658-1771719048328.png">Around the back of the developing nor'easter, strong northerly winds will develop as a cold front passes through, with gusts over 30mph possible at times. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/02/Screenshot 2026-02-21 170714-1771719102860.png"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/02/Screenshot 2026-02-21 170729-1771719102858.png">The air will be moving in from the north and will be drier than is normal in areas that are normally semi-tropical. Because of this, relative humidities could drop well below 20% by both Sunday and Monday afternoon.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/02/Screenshot 2026-02-21 171328-1771719223352.png">Unfortunately, much of Florida is experiencing Extreme Drought conditions. The coverage of this drought is the highest recorded since 2000. With strong winds, low relative humidity, and dry fuels, Red Flag Warnings and Watches have been issued for Louisiana, Mississippi, and most of Florida. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/02/Screenshot 2026-02-21 170742-1771719424940.png">

Elevated Fire Danger For Florida and the South

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Rob grew up in South Florida, where daily afternoon storms and hurricanes piqued his interest in meteorology early on. That interest was fostered by his teachers and his father, who one time brought him onto the roof of their home to watch a funnel cloud move through the Everglades several miles away. Years of filmmaking and tv production in high school gradually pushed him toward broadcast meteorology at Florida State University, where he joined and eventually led the student run daily weather show. After graduating with a Bachelors of Science in Meteorology, he began his career at KESQ in Palm Springs, California before heading to KFSN in Fresno and WLOS in Asheville, North Carolina. He has covered a diverse array of extreme weather events, including haboobs and flash flooding in the desert, extreme snow in the Sierra, hurricanes, and Appalachian ice storms. He also enjoys telling stories and reporting about weather issues.

Connect with Rob on <a href="https://twitter.com/WxRobBradley">Twitter</a>

Rob Bradley

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Storms have seemingly been drawn to the Northeast and Great Lakes this year, delivering rounds of cold and snow through much of this La Niña-oriented winter so far. Another storm system is shaping up to end the weekend that looks to deliver heavy snow, and even blizzard conditions, to portions of the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast from Sunday into Monday.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/02/Screenshot 2026-02-21 042328-1771673271215.png">After initial differences, forecast models are beginning to come into better agreement about the position of the low staying close enough to the coast to bring heavy snow to portions of the I-95 corridor. The GFS and Euro remain slightly off with the position of the low pressure system, with the Euro favoring a more northerly position. This favors heavy snow from NYC to Boston, as opposed to the GFS which brings intense snow farther south across New Jersey into Delaware. Regardless of model differences, heavy blowing snow will affect millions of people Sunday into Monday, resulting in very difficult travel. As such, winter storm warnings and even blizzard warnings have been issued.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/02/1-1771702944900.png">As a reminder, blizzard warnings are issued for low visibility due to blowing snow. The wind is the biggest factor in a blizzard which makes travel difficult if not impossible. This is the first blizzard warning issued by the NWS in New York City since January of 2022.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/02/1-1771703007565.png">The Baron model (below) shows closely resembles the GFS forecast, with pockets of 6-12" of snow from the Delaware Bay up through New England. It also shows the secondary bullseye in the Appalachians and Alleghenies with 6-12" of snow. The European model differs in that the heaviest snow (over a foot) is primarily expected farther north, with lower totals in New Jersey, Delaware, and Maryland.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/02/1-1771703057525.png"><h1>Timing</h1>Rain will start changing to snow in the Appalachians late Saturday into Sunday morning, with heavy rain down to the Piedmont of North Carolina. As the low deepens and bombs out (dropping 24 mb in 24 hours), it will start to pull in much colder air from the north, turning rain to mostly snow up and down the Atlantic coastline. The heavy snow, strong winds, and large waves increase in intensity Sunday evening through Monday morning, with snow finally ending late Monday as the low pulls away from the coast.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/02/2026-02-21 04-36-16-1771673806053.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><h1>Wind &amp; Waves</h1>Strong winds are expected to develop as the low-pressure system deepens. Remember, the bigger the pressure difference, the stronger the winds. The persistent strong winds will lead to large swells developing with waves 8-12 feet, possibly higher, for many Northeast beaches through Monday and Tuesday.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/02/Screenshot 2026-02-20 103848-1771609333910.png">We'll be updating this story frequently on air and online, so be sure to check back for updates.

Patrick Crawford

Blizzard Warnings Issued - Nor'easter Takes Aim at the Atlantic Coast

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Inches of rain and feet of snow fell across the Western United States during the past week thanks to a series of powerful low pressure systems. The Pacific coast will stay active during the week ahead as multiple systems line to keep the storm pattern going.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/02/Screenshot 2026-02-21 095640-1771694186957.png"> A big difference between last week and the week ahead will be the much warmer temperatures that build into the SW around a ridge of high pressure. This ridge will send storms up the coast, instead of across the interior, and will keep snow levels much higher. As rain falls on top of snow, it melts increasing runoff. This typically leads to an increase in river flooding potential.<h1>Timing</h1>Heavy rain and snow will continue to impact the Pacific Northwest through the weekend, with snowfall in mountain areas leading to difficult travel. The rainfall rates will increase into Monday and Tuesday as a stronger system moves onshore, bringing tropical moisture to the north. This system will shift a bit farther south to start the week, bringing heavy rain into Northern California Monday afternoon into Tuesday. Snow levels are expected to be quite high, upwards of 8,000 feet, leading to rain falling on top of the feet of snow California recorded last week.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/02/New Baron Video 3-1771703918522.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><h1>Precipitation &amp; Flood Potential</h1>Rainfall totals in Northern California and Southern Oregon could surpass 5-7 inches in some locations, with snowfall totals in the NW topping a foot. Temperatures appear to be too warm for heavy snow in the Sierra, outside of the highest peaks.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/02/1-1771704009019.png">Flood potential increases on Monday and Tuesday, with flash flooding possible from California to Southern Washington.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/02/Screenshot 2026-02-21 095833-1771694659079.png">

Next Pacific System Brings Flood Potential To Oregon & California

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Brittany Lockley

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A developing storm system is expected to bring the potential for severe weather across portions of the Southeast Saturday, with the Storm Prediction Center outlining a Marginal Risk for strong to severe thunderstorms from eastern Mississippi through much of Alabama and into Georgia. The setup features a stalled frontal boundary draped across the region, acting as a focus for thunderstorm development.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/02/1-1771703180074.png">Warm, moisture-rich air is in place across southern Alabama and Georgia, with dew points climbing into the upper 60s. As daytime heating increases, this unstable air mass will provide additional fuel for storms to intensify. At the same time, stronger winds higher in the atmosphere will support storm organization, meaning a few thunderstorms could evolve into more structured clusters or rotating cells. When wind shear and instability overlap like this, the threat for damaging wind gusts increases, and a brief tornado cannot be ruled out.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/02/1-1771703292205.png">The greatest concern today centers on southeast Alabama into southwest and south-central Georgia, where storms may tap into the most favorable combination of moisture, lift, and wind energy. Later this afternoon and into the evening, attention may shift toward far southern Alabama and the Florida Panhandle as the frontal boundary settles southward and additional storms develop along it.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/02/New Baron Video 3-1771703403439.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>While widespread severe weather is not expected, any storm that becomes strong could quickly produce hazardous conditions, including wind gusts strong enough to down trees or power lines, pockets of hail, frequent lightning and torrential downpours leading to localized flooding. Because storms may develop in clusters, some communities could experience repeated rounds of heavy rain in a short amount of time.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/02/1-1771703442587.png">Stay weather-aware throughout Saturday, especially during the peak heating hours of the afternoon. Having multiple ways to receive weather alerts and knowing where to seek shelter if warnings are issued will be important, as conditions could change rapidly where storms strengthen. Cooler and more stable air is expected to filter in behind the front later tonight, gradually bringing an end to the severe threat.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/02/1-1771703480460.png">Stay tuned to WeatherNation for more details.

Strong Storms Target the Southeast

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Karissa is the Director of On-Air Operations at WeatherNation. Karissa grew up loving math and science, but really fell in love with Meteorology while attending the College of DuPage in Glen Ellyn, Illinois. After two summers of storm chasing in the central plains, she knew that it was the career path for her. Standing in front of a thunderstorm and feeling the cool outflow knock her over was an experience she will never forget. After two years at COD, she transferred to Metropolitan State University of Denver. Karissa graduated Magna Cum Laude with a Bachelors of Science in Meteorology. Her high school and college speech and meteorology professors were extremely supportive and pushed her to succeed. Before joining the WeatherNation team, she previously worked as the Morning Meteorologist at KCAU-TV in Sioux City, Iowa and at WMBD-TV in Peoria, IL. She recently was part of a National Edward R. Murrow award winning team for breaking news for their coverage of the EF-4 tornado in Washington, Illinois. In her free time, Karissa enjoys cooking and trying new foods. She is a self proclaimed 'TV Junkie' who can get into just about any show. She is a die hard Chicago sports fan who loves attending professional sporting events.

Karissa Klos

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Snow has become more widespread across Upstate New York and into New England today. As trough of low pressure moves through the region into Saturday, more cold air will wrap into the system allowing for more wintry precipitation. Totals are now reaching up to near a foot in parts of Upstate New York.<h1>TIMING</h1><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/02/New Baron Video 3-1771643528021.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>The heaviest accumulations will continue into the early morning hours of Saturday, before tapering off by late morning. However, the low pressure system will continue to become wrapped up in itself and limit its movement. That means light snow along the surface trough will linger in the Great Lakes and New England through the day on Saturday.Once this system clears, a coastal low will deepen just off the southeast coast. As it traces north along the northeast coastline, it could bring major snow, wind and coastal impacts into early next week. Stay with WeatherNation for more details on this potential Nor'Easter.<h1>TOTALS</h1><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/02/1-1771643590393.png">An additional 3-6" of snow will be likely across Northern New England by Saturday. Dangerous driving conditions will stick around through Saturday, so avoid the roads if you can.<h1>TEMPERATURES</h1>Highs will remain in the 30s through the event and as the next coastal low moves in. This will mean another potential for wintry mix Sunday and early next weeek.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/02/Screenshot 2026-02-20 102148-1771608128058.png">

Jesse Kelley

New England Snow & Ice Into Saturday

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CALIFORNIA - After almost a week of relentless rain and snow, skies in California are finally clearing into the weekend. Despite the system exiting the region, impacts will linger for some time, especially in the mountains, where feet of snow await clearing. As of Friday morning, I-80 and the Donner Pass are back open after hundreds of cars became stranded from the intense snowfall.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/02/Screenshot 2026-02-19 075311-1771512817264.png">Snow totals surpassed 100" in a few localized areas, with 4-6 feet widespread across the Sierra. Even the mountains in Southern California saw 2-4 feet of snow on the peaks!<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/02/Screenshot 2026-02-20 171911-1771633173461.png">Those numbers, despite being incredibly high, did not bring California's snowpack back to average, but they did see a massive jump from 54% at the start of the week to 75% as of Friday evening!<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/02/Screenshot 2026-02-20 172229-1771633386958.png">Unfortunately, the heavy snow led to multiple deaths. A large avalanche killed 8 people on a backcountry ski tour, while another man failed to return to his vehicle after parking at a ski resort.<div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="2024232039315296461" src="https://x.com/WeatherNation/status/2024232039315296461"></div><h1>Lingering Cold</h1>Cold air will linger behind the low into Saturday morning, and cold alerts remain in place for portions of the Bay Area, coastal valleys, and higher elevation locations. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/02/Screenshot 2026-02-20 172405-1771633456926.png"><h1>Next Round</h1>Another series of storm systems is expected to move in around the ridge of high pressure in the Four Corners this weekend. This will focus the next round of heavy rain and snow farther north, with impacts expected in Northern California into Central Oregon. Warming temperatures will mean some areas that received intense snow could see nothing but rain next week. This could lead to flooding issues, especially with runoff in the mountains.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/02/Screenshot 2026-02-20 093723-1771605465112.png">The heaviest rain is expected from the Northern Sierra near Lake Tahoe up to the coastal mountains in California and Oregon. Flash flooding is a concern on Monday and Tuesday in these areas.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/02/Screenshot 2026-02-20 172554-1771633563461.png">

Major Storm System Winds Down in California

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Tracey Anthony

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PLAINS - Multiple active fires broke out earlier this week across the Plains of Kansas and the panhandles of Texas and Oklahoma. Fire danger continues into the weekend, as additional Red Flag Warnings have been issued for southern Texas. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/02/Screenshot 2026-02-20 173007-1771633816846.png">The fires that began on Tuesday have burned a large amount of real estate, estimates show over 310,000 acres of wildfires burned since Tuesday afternoon, causing low visibility, and evacuation orders were issued.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/02/Screenshot 2026-02-20 173043-1771633860818.png">From the Oklahoma Panhandle and into southwest Kansas, the Ranger Road Fire has burned nearly 300,000 acres since Tuesday, with containment now up to 30%.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/02/Screenshot 2026-02-20 173320-1771634007282.png">As a front moves through, winds have strengthened in response. Saturday's outlook will be confined to South Texas and the Lower Rio Grande Valley, ahead of the incoming front. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/02/Screenshot 2026-02-20 173423-1771634118618.png">Earlier this week, some winds were clocked close to triple digits! The winds prompted a blowing dust advisory to be issued on Tuesday afternoon, and a 30+-vehicle pileup resulted from brownout conditions along I-25 in southern Colorado.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/02/Web 9-1771425927888.png">

Wildfire Danger: Red Flag Warnings Persist Into Saturday

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Alana Cameron was born and raised in Canada in the city of Mississauga, just outside of Toronto. Alana is the oldest of 4 siblings, all close in age, and grew up playing outside with them in all types of weather. After graduating high school, Alana moved to study at the University of British Columbia in Kelowna for a year before transferring to Dalhousie University in Halifax, Nova Scotia where she completed a Bachelor of Science in Physics and Atmospheric Science. Upon completion, Alana moved back to Toronto where she completed a post-grad degree in Meteorology at York University. After her post-grad, she went on to complete another post-grad in Broadcast Journalism - TV News at Fanshawe College in London, Ontario. During her final year of studies she had the privilege of interning with the best in the business in Canada at The Weather Network. Once she finished her internship, she got the call from small-town Denison, Texas where she accepted a job as an on-air meteorologist at KTEN-TV, right in tornado alley, covering severe weather from Sherman/Denison (North Texas) to Ada (Southern Oklahoma). After the most active tornado season Oklahoma had seen in May 2019 (105 tornadoes!) Alana is excited to join WeatherNation to cover weather all across the nation. If you're interested in following her on social media she can be found @alanacameronwx!

Alana Cameron

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<h1>Elsa Stats</h1>
The latest update from the <a href="https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?start#contents">National Hurricane Center</a> now has Elsa as a Post-Tropical Storm and picking up speed as she continues to move out of the lower-48!  She has lost her tropical characteristics (cold-core storm) but will continue to bring strong winds, isolated tornadoes and flash flooding along the East Coast. Winds remain at 50 mph with a pressure of 999 mb.

<img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-149104" src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2021/07/ELSA-LATEST-2.jpg" alt="" width="1920" height="1080" />

&nbsp;
<h1>Elsa Fan Path</h1>
As Elsa barrels up the eastern seaboard we are looking at heavy rainfall impacts and flooding concerns, along with damaging winds, especially along the coastline with winds in the range of 40-50 mph. Occasional gusts could be even higher than that. The center of circulation will move into Canada early Saturday.

<img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-149103" src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2021/07/POST-TROPICAL-ELSA.jpg" alt="" width="1920" height="1080" />

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<h1>Tropical Alerts</h1>
Tropical Storm Warnings remain in effect for Rhode Island and Massachusetts. This is where tropical storm conditions, winds of 39+ mph, are most likely.

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<h1>Rainfall</h1>
Within the thunderstorms we are anticipating 2-4" of rainfall which could prompt flash flood warnings across the eastern Seaboard. A few locations could get closer to 6" of rain before Elsa moves out. There are flood alerts in place through the rest of the day to account for the heavy rain and flooding threat, including urban flooding. Flash Flood Warnings are in place from Hartford to Portland through this evening.

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There are excessive rainfall outlooks for Friday. This paints the picture of where the heaviest rainfall will be and where we can expect potential flooding impacts. With the steady rain from both the trough of low pressure moving in from the north and Elsa, places like Boston, Portland and Bangor have the highest chance of flash flooding.

<img class="alignnone wp-image-149075 size-full" src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2021/07/excess-elsa.jpg" alt="" width="1920" height="1080" />

By Friday night, we will have seen pockets 5"+ of rainfall across New England. Some areas already had flooding issues on Thursday that will likely be made worse by Elsa on Friday.

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We will continue to track the impacts from Tropical Storm Elsa as our top weather headlines on WeatherNation. For more impacts for your region, turn to the Eastern Regional Forecast :10 after the hour, every hour.

Post-Tropical Storm Elsa Speeding Through the Northeast

Elsa Stats

Elsa Fan Path

Tropical Alerts

Rainfall

Elevated Fire Danger For Florida and the South

While temperatures will cool across the South

Blizzard Warnings Issued - Nor'easter Takes Aim at the Atlantic Coast

Storms have seemingly been drawn to the North

Next Pacific System Brings Flood Potential To Oregon & California

Inches of rain and feet of snow fell across t

Strong Storms Target the Southeast

A developing storm system is expected to brin

New England Snow & Ice Into Saturday

Snow has become more widespread across Upstat

Major Storm System Winds Down in California

CALIFORNIA - After almost a week of relentles

Wildfire Danger: Red Flag Warnings Persist Into Saturday

PLAINS - Multiple active fires broke out earl