An unsettled pattern has returned to portions of the Plains through Tuesday. As this trough gets swallowed by a bigger one, severe chances are only expected to increase, especially once the surface front moves through.
As the jet energy ramps up, storms that form will move into warm and humid conditions - with temperatures reaching the 80s and 90s in the afternoon. Even as high as the mid to upper 90s down in Texas.
The general thinking breaks this system into two waves of storms. Similarly to Sunday, most of the activity will likely spike late Monday afternoon into Tuesday morning. The highest potential for severe weather like damaging winds, hail, and even an isolated tornado will occur in the slight risked areas, which are highlighted in yellow.
This outlook extends into Tuesday, moving the slight risk for severe weather further South. The MARGINAL risk extends all the way into the Ohio River Valley and back into West Texas.
Anytime the threat of severe weather lingers into the overnight hours, make sure you have ways to receive warnings that can wake you up.
The other growing concern is the threat of flooding. With multiple rounds of showers and storms rivers, creeks, and streams will already be swollen which could keep the risk elevated.
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