All Weather News

Small Severe Risk in Southwest Texas Today

21 Oct 2021, 4:00 pm

Isolated storms are expected to develop in the Big Bend region of Texas this afternoon. The risk of large hail and gusty winds will be present with any storm that pops up.


A weak disturbance will slide through the region and meet up with an area of warm, humid air at the surface and modest wind shear in the upper atmosphere. While coverage is expected to remain limited, any storm that is able to develop in an area of weak lift has the potential of becoming strong or severe.

Locations from Fort Stockton to Presidio are under the marginal risk (level 1 out of 5). Any storm will be capable of producing strong winds near 60 mph and large hail during the afternoon and evening.


Storms will e few and far between but those that develop do contain the risk of gusty winds and hail along with flash flooding concerns. Activity lessens after sundown.

Storms will again be possible on Friday in western Oklahoma and the Texas Panhandle, but severe weather is not expected as this point in time. A few thunderstorms could produce small hail and wind gusts of 40-50 mph.


Due to the slow movement of the storms, isolated flash flood is not out of the question. As much as 1” – 3” of rain is possible through Friday evening from southern Oklahoma to southwest Texas.

You can always find more on the severe risk in the South-Central as :30 past the hour on WeatherNation!

About the author
Erik Kostrzewa was born and raised in the state of Michigan; spending much of his life in the suburbs of Detroit. Erik attended the University of Michigan and earned a Bachelor’s Degr... Load Moreee in Earth Systems Science and Engineering with a concentration in Meteorology. His first on-air job was straight out of college in Lansing, Michigan at WLNS-TV. After a few years, he moved an hour west to Grand Rapids to continue his career at FOX17 news. While in the heart of the lower peninsula, Erik covered a wide variety of challenging weather from lake-effect snow to derechos. Erik definitely has an interesting last name which comes from his Polish descent. If you are wondering how it is pronounced, the easiest way to say it is “Ka-Stree-Va”. Erik is thrilled to forecast on a national scale at WeatherNation and experience an even wider range of weather in Colorado! He is also looking forward to experiencing his first 14er on one of the many mountains in the state. Follow Erik on Twitter and Facebook!