Kevin Schneider

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<div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1954950945181405214" src="https://x.com/WeatherNation/status/1954950945181405214"></div><h1>Tropical Storm Erin</h1>A well-defined area of low pressure is now moving through the Cabo Verde Islands. With winds up to 45 mph, the National Hurricane Center has named this system Tropical Storm Erin. This is bringing heavy rain and gusty winds to the Cabo Verde islands. Erin should expect modest intensity growth through midweek as it quickly moves west across the Atlantic.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-12 052624-1754997999523.jpg"><h2><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-12 052703-1754998029617.jpg">FORECAST FACTORS</h2>Models keep the center of circulation strong on this system despite the dry air, though it may be more of a struggle than the model below depicts (GFS). The dry air should thin some during the mid-week time frame as the wave moves through the MDR toward the Caribbean.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/0811-1754949892317.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>As it moves through the warm, primed 80°+ sea surface temperatures, it will likely intensify to major hurricane status late week. Around the same time, the same ridge of high pressure will migrate northeast of Erin which could start a turn to the north.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-11 090741-1754924870516.png"><h3>Is this coming to the United States?</h3>Still too soon to know - what it looks like after formation will be telling, along with the couple of steering features towards the end of the week. Still a good chance that this doesn't affect any land masses directly, but not a guarantee. This would be a good week to fill any holes in your hurricane prep plan. We've got a lot of season ahead of us, so don't let your guard down!RELATED ARTICLE: <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.weathernationtv.com/news/csu-issues-final-2025-atlantic-hurricane-season-forecast">CSU, NOAA UPDATE Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast</a>Tropical activity in the Atlantic has been off to a slow start the 2025 season. Before Dexter formed, Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) in the Atlantic was less than 15% of normal. Dexter more than doubled this stat, but it's still less than 30% of a typical year, even though we may be ahead of schedule when it comes to named storms. That being said, the bulk of seasonal activity is still ahead of us, with 89% of the annual energy occurring after the first week of August.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-09 061906-1754742246037.png"> Stay with WeatherNation for the latest tropical updates.

Tropical Storm Erin Forms in the Atlantic

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Taban Sharifi grew up in Southern California between Los Angeles and San Diego. She is a Certified Broadcast Meteorologist (CBM) with the American Meteorological Society (AMS). She has a B.S. in Atmospheric, Oceanic, and Environmental Sciences with a minor in Environmental Systems and Society from the University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA). Go Bruins! While in school, Taban was a meteorology intern with NBC LA. There she helped forecast daily weather for the greater Los Angeles region and created a playbook to deploy weather sensors for NBC owned-and-operated stations across the country. Her first on-air job took her to San Angelo, Texas, where she was a morning meteorologist and co-anchor. Working in West Texas gave her knowledge and experience covering severe storms. From there, she moved to Palm Springs, California. People think forecasting in California is sunshine all the time, but with temperatures in the 120’s, wildfires, damaging winds, floodings, and earthquakes, the forecasting kept her very busy! She also worked there as a general assignment reporter and told community stories. Taban is excited for the challenge and opportunity to forecast nationally with WeatherNation. She also looks forward to exploring all that Colorado has to offer!

Taban Sharifi

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The long-range temperature trend towards the end of August shows higher confidence that temperatures will remain above average. Even this week temperatures are really feeling the summertime heat.<h2>West Coast</h2>Widespread heat alerts are in place for the Pacific Northwest through Northern California. Temperatures will remain 10-15° above average through Tuesday.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-12 052831-1754998120697.jpg"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-11 160937-1754950335143.png">Temperatures through Southern California will also be hot compared to normal. Cities like Palm Springs, Las Vegas, and Phoenix remain under heat alerts through Tuesday.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-12 052910-1754998159065.jpg">Make sure to stay cool and hydrated!<h2><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-11 160950-1754950329444.png">Northeast</h2>We already broke records on Monday for hot temperatures in Maine!<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-11 160926-1754950389611.png">Tuesday will be another warm day for portions of upstate New York and New England.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-12 052958-1754998206580.jpg">The heat will not be lasting too long for the northeast as a front moves in by midweek. It will knock down temperatures but also bring the chance for some storms as it taps into some of the warmth and instability.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-11 160923-1754950427255.png">

Feeling the August Heat from Coast to Coast

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Rob grew up in South Florida, where daily afternoon storms and hurricanes piqued his interest in meteorology early on. That interest was fostered by his teachers and his father, who one time brought him onto the roof of their home to watch a funnel cloud move through the Everglades several miles away. Years of filmmaking and tv production in high school gradually pushed him toward broadcast meteorology at Florida State University, where he joined and eventually led the student run daily weather show. After graduating with a Bachelors of Science in Meteorology, he began his career at KESQ in Palm Springs, California before heading to KFSN in Fresno and WLOS in Asheville, North Carolina. He has covered a diverse array of extreme weather events, including haboobs and flash flooding in the desert, extreme snow in the Sierra, hurricanes, and Appalachian ice storms. He also enjoys telling stories and reporting about weather issues.

Connect with Rob on <a href="https://twitter.com/WxRobBradley">Twitter</a>

Rob Bradley

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Get a blanket and find some dark skies! One of the most prolific meteor showers of the year will peak during the upcoming week.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/TOMER PERSEID-1754872084317.jpg">The Perseid Meteor Shower typically reaches a peak during the second week of August as the Earth moves through the debris field left by Comet Swift-Tuttle, which makes a trip through the solar system once every 133 years, last visiting the inner-solar system in 1992. Debris left by the comet dives through the Earth's atmosphere to create the beautiful meteor shower we expect. 2025 isn't expected to be the best year to see the meteors, unfortunately, as the waning gibbous moon will rise in the evening, washing out any faint meteors that may have been seen under a new moon. Ideal conditions can produce 50-100 meteors per hour, but with the brightness from the moon, expect 20-50 under dark skies away from city lights.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-10 052401-1754829026071.png"><h2>A Pair of Planets</h2>Another fun astronomical event will be gracing the morning skies through much of this week - the conjunction of Venus and Jupiter!<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/TOMER PERSIED 2-1754872142561.jpg">These planets will appear to be right next to each other in the morning sky, even through they're still millions of miles apart! They will appear closest together Tuesday morning, with only about 1° of separation between them.<h1><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-10 052347-1754829006824.png">WILL THE WEATHER COOPERATE</h1>Clouds could hinder many in the east Tuesday night. But many will have a decent shot at seeing the skies.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/tomer perseids satellite-1754944442441.jpg">

Perseid Meteor Shower Peaks Tonight - How to Watch

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Flash flooding continues to hit the Southeast hard - especially Florida. A trough of low pressure is still spinning in parts of the southeast, keeping the rain chances nearby. A stationary storm sat and rained over the same spot, on Sanibel Island, for much of Sunday morning (8/10). That efficient tropical rain added up to over a foot of rain by the time the weekend was done. Florida is normally a tad more resilient to fresh water flooding, but nowhere can handle that much rain. It led to scenes reminiscent of a landfalling tropical system Sunday morning.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/VON_081025_RSE_TREASURE ISLAND, FL_EARLIER SHOT IN THE DAY OF CARS DRIVING THROUGH FLOODING_TW_@TOUTANT2001_DW_E081025-1754918906992.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><h1>Forecast</h1>As the upper-level trough with the tropical moisture moves north, rounds of storms are expected, with the heaviest rain possible from Florida out to the coasts of the Carolinas and eventually farther west toward the Panhandle and Mobile.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/tomer se futurecast-1754957972935.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/TOMER SE QPF 7 DAYS-1754958007499.jpg">The risk of heavy rainfall and flash flooding will focus on the Gulf Coast Tuesday and Wednesday.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/tomer se excess rain next 3 days-1754962963902.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>Tune into the eastern regional forecast :10 past the hour for more details.

Chris Tomer

Over a Foot of Rain Falls in Southwest Florida

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A Marginal threat for strong and severe storms is in place across the plains through Monday night into early Tuesday. The main threat will be strong winds and large hailstones.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/tomer plains svr tonight-1754962734794.jpg">There are a few areas where heavy rainfall could lead to flooding. A Marginal to Slight risk for flooding remains in place through Monday night into early Tuesday.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/tomer midwest excess rain tonight-1754962791495.jpg">

Strong Storms Across the Plains Monday night

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A few waves of energy will keep the strong storms and flooding risks going through the northern tier of the country this week.On Tuesday, we saw strong storms across the Northern Plains.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/tomer plains svr tonight-1754963035781.jpg">As a cold front pushes across the region, strong winds and large hail will be possible.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/qa-1754959199737.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>A Marginal threat for severe weather returns on Wednesday for South Dakota.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-11 162033-1754951039747.png">The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) already has a 15% risk of severe weather potential for the Dakotas and Minnesota on Thursday. This means the confidence is higher for these storms to have all the necessary ingredients for severe storms to follow through.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-11 162036-1754951063129.png">Stay with WeatherNation for the latest updates on the forecast.

An Active Pattern from the Northern Plains to the Great Lakes

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Almost a foot of rain fell in a short amount of time in southeast Wisconsin. Saturday night into Sunday morning, some areas neighboring Milwaukee saw 5-8 inches of rain, with some localized spots surpassing 9 inches!<div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1954656501143920718" src="https://x.com/WeatherNation/status/1954656501143920718"></div>That was complicated by another round of rain on Sunday, but thankfully that round was just far enough west to avoid a repeat incident. By the time the rain came to an end on Sunday, some areas were pushing a FOOT of rain. This far north is quite impressive to pick up that much rain - this was the second-most rain Milwaukee picked up over a 2 day stretch. Ever. Not just for the day - that record was obliterated<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-11 071226-1754918255019.png">All of that rain had to go somewhere, and area creeks swole past records too. The old record on the Milwaukee River was about 10 and a half feet was surpassed early Sunday morning as all of the water ran off.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-11 071242-1754918348970.png">

Historic Flooding Inundates Milwaukee Over the Weekend

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Multiple storm chances are ahead in the High Plains and Midwest, <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.weathernationtv.com/news/a-foot-of-rain-leads-to-river-flooding-in-the-plains">following extreme flooding in late June in the region</a>. Just as pressing as the storm chance highlighted by the Storm Prediction Center is the threat of more flooding. 1-3+ more inches of rain could fall through Thursday, increasing flash flooding chances over saturated soils. Rivers are still in moderate and major flood stage, including the Mississippi and Missouri Rivers. Any additional rainfall will exacerbate already presenting flooding issues. Portions of Nebraska have seen between 5 and 8 inches of rainfall. Davey, NE saw 7.53" of rain since Tuesday. Flooding will still be a concern with these storms over the next few days as a cold front moves through.<h2><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/07/Screenshot 2024-07-04 070236-1720098166987.png">Thursday</h2>A slight risk (level 2 out of 5) for severe storms has been issued from Oklahoma through Ohio. A second slight risk is in effect from Iowa into Wisconsin and Minnesota. Morning storms will likely wane some before new storms fire off in the second half of the day with all threats of severe weather on the table. Showers and storms develop in the heat of the day and will be individual (supercell) in nature. This means there is a heightened opportunity for large hail and tornadoes. Please have multiple ways to get alerts!<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/07/2024-07-04 07-13-10-1720098809818.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>Flash flood warnings have already been issued Thursday morning for the I-70 corridor, and more are possible as the next round of storms gets going through the afternoon and evening.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/07/Screenshot 2024-07-04 071538-1720099269358.jpg">Rainfall totals through Friday morning could top 1-3 inches in some areas, possibly leading to additional flooding.

Flooding & Severe Storms in the Midwest & Plains

Thursday

Tropical Storm Erin Forms in the Atlantic

Tropical Storm ErinA well-defined area of low

Feeling the August Heat from Coast to Coast

The long-range temperature trend towards the

Perseid Meteor Shower Peaks Tonight - How to Watch

Get a blanket and find some dark skies! One o

Over a Foot of Rain Falls in Southwest Florida

Flash flooding continues to hit the Southeast

Strong Storms Across the Plains Monday night

A Marginal threat for strong and severe storm

An Active Pattern from the Northern Plains to the Great Lakes

A few waves of energy will keep the strong st

Historic Flooding Inundates Milwaukee Over the Weekend

Almost a foot of rain fell in a short amount