Kevin Schneider

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<h2>Eastern Pacific Ocean</h2>We are keeping our eyes on TROPICAL STORM ERICK. An environment of low shear, warm sea surface temperatures and low-level moisture will allow Erick to strengthen significantly in the next two days and bring "life threatening flash floods" and damaging winds to Mexico. The latest forecast from the NHC is that it will strengthen to a Category 1 hurricane before making landfall near Acapulco, Mexico.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/Screenshot 2025-06-18 060746-1750248475589.png">Heavy rainfall is expected to bring landslide and mudslide potential. Widespread totals in the coastal areas of Oaxaca are expected between 12-16". Isolated locations will receive up to 20". Travel plans in the area are discouraged.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/172031INTQPF_sm-1750193045162.gif"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/Screenshot 2025-06-17 031736-1750151863022.png">The 2025 Eastern Pacific hurricane season is off to a record-breaking start, with five named storms: Alvin, Barbara, Cosme, Dalila, and now Erick. This level of early activity is well ahead of the seasonal average, which typically sees the first named storm by June 10, the second by June 24, and the third by July 6. Dalila forming on the 13th marked the fastest four storms to be named in the basin since record keeping began, beating 1974, which saw Dolores form by the 14th of June.ATLANTICThe Atlantic hurricane season, which began on June 1, has remained quiet with no named storms forming so far. This lack of activity is being attributed to three key atmospheric factors: persistent wind shear, marginally warm water temperatures, and the presence of Saharan dust. &nbsp;<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/05/Screenshot 2025-05-29 104826-1748537463299.png">The Saharan dust, which often travels westward from Africa, can suppress tropical development by introducing dry, stable air into the atmosphere. In addition, wind shear is disrupting the organization of tropical waves and disturbances, preventing them from developing into more significant systems. While sea surface temperatures are warm enough to support storm formation, they are not as favorable as in recent years, further limiting activity.&nbsp;<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/Screenshot 2025-06-16 142900-1750105746265.png">Although the Atlantic is off to a slow start, this is not unusual for June. Historically, tropical activity in the Atlantic does not typically ramp up until later in the summer, particularly in August and September, with the peak occurring around the 15th of September.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/Day1SVR-1749823458384.png"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/05/Screenshot 2025-05-29 104849-1748537876634.png">For now, the quiet beginning to the season is considered perfectly normal.&nbsp;The early season will more often see more tropical storms than hurricanes, but hurricanes can form and impact the United States, so it's <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.weathernationtv.com/news/hurricane-prep-week-2025">always best to be prepared</a>. Andrea is the first name on the list in the Atlantic in 2025.NOAA and Colorado State are expecting an above-average season in the Atlantic Basin. <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.weathernationtv.com/news/noaa-predicts-above-average-2025-hurricane-season">Click here to read more.</a>

Erick Strengthens to a Hurricane Wednesday Morning

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<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/Screenshot 2025-06-18 035049-1750240591296.png">The hottest temperatures of the year are on the way for many east of the Rockies. Naturally, it will be the first official day of Summer, so I guess we can't complain. The strong high that is responsible for all of the heat in the southwest is on the move. As that slides northeast, it will bring the stifling heat with it. <video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/2025-06-18 03-52-28-1750240365011.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>Areas from the Central Plains to the Northeast will see temperatures reach well into the 90's and could feel close to 100+. Since this is the first stretch of hot weather of the season, it's important to prepare mentally ahead of time. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/Screenshot 2025-06-18 035428-1750240479539.png"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/Screenshot 2025-06-18 035428-1750240490157.png">Try to limit any strenuous activities outdoors this weekend. Drink plenty of water and take multiple breaks if you do venture outdoors. <h1>TOO HOT TOO SOON?</h1><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/Screenshot 2025-06-18 035717-1750240883510.png">Is this normal? It's a little ahead of schedule. Many places don't see their first 100 day until sometime in July. The early nature of this dose of heat factors into the Heat Risk (top) that tries to boil down all of the different factors going into heat waves. Extreme risk try to highlight significant stretches of problems, including threats to life.

Hot Weather Spreads to the Heartland

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As a frontal boundary moved through unstable air, strong to severe storms popped up across the plains and Midwest on Monday. These storms have brought tornadoes, damaging winds, and large hail. A 101 mph wind gust was recorded in Wichita, Kansas early Tuesday morning! Waconia, Minnesota, recorded hailstones of up to 3.25" on Monday. That is around the size of a baseball! Twenty tornadoes were reported, most in Minnesota but also including this picturesque storm in Nebraska.<div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1934815766932803755" src="https://x.com/WeatherNation/status/1934815766932803755"></div>On Wednesday, the entire system will slide east. The center of low pressure will track into the Great Lakes region, while deep Gulf moisture builds out ahead of the cold front. Because it is more frontally driven, damaging winds will be the primary threat. From Detroit to St. Louis, an Enhanced Risk from the Storm Prediction Center highlights the area most likely to see severe storms. This is also the spot with the best chance of a tornado.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/Screenshot 2025-06-18 032949-1750238999577.png">By Thursday, the front moves to the East Coast, <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.weathernationtv.com/news/active-pattern-sparks-mid-atlantic-flood-severe-threat">impacting locations that saw extreme flooding earlier in the week</a>. Damaging winds will once again be the biggest concern for the I-95 corridor. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/Screenshot 2025-06-18 033046-1750239053213.png">TIMINGWhile storms will favor the afternoon and evening hours to be severe, a few may survive overnight, keeping the severe threat around. <video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/2025-06-18 03-31-47-1750239133981.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>

Severe Threat Marches East

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Originally born in Spokane, Washington,  Jackie's Dad was in the Air Force which led her to a life of travel. She has lived in Wichita, Okinawa, Japan, Baltimore, New Jersey, Indiana and South Carolina.  After graduating from Kadena High School, in Okinawa Japan, she got a full basketball scholarship to Coppin State College. On the court she was a 4-year starter and reached over 1000 points in her basketball career. She was also named Athlete of the Year for the whole university in 2002. Off the court, she earned a degree in Broadcast Production/English.

After college, she landed a job as a radio personality. Jackie went on to have a successful career for 12 years working at KXLY broadcast center. While on the radio, she decided to change career. Jackie went back to school, graduating from the Mississippi State Meteorology Broadcast Program. From snow, to tornadoes, to hurricanes, she has had experience forecasting all these events.

Jackie Brown

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A powerful heat wave continues to grip the Southwest, with dangerously high temperatures impacting much of Arizona, southeastern California, and parts of southern Nevada. We have been experiencing record heat over the last few days, and the pattern is expected to persist for some time over the next few days.<h1>HIGHS VS AVERAGES</h1>Folks that already run hot for this time of year are going to be well-above average as a ridge of high pressure dominates! Las Vegas normally averages 100° and will see a temp of 110°! Los Angeles will be pushing 90° when it normally sees a high of around 77°. Cities like Tucson, Phoenix, and El Paso will also be trending above average.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/reocr-1750210828985.png"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/wednesday highs -1750210867227.png">The National Weather Service warns that heat risks will remain high, especially in desert regions. The Heat Risk tool continues to show “major to extreme” risk levels for Wednesday and Thursday, indicating that even healthy individuals could be affected without proper precautions. If you are prone to heat illness, use caution and take breaks, always make sure to listen to your body.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/Screenshot 2025-06-18 033713-1750239452318.png">The hot weather is even spilling into portions of the I-80 corridor. Heat advisories cover parts of Utah and Nevada on Thursday. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/Screenshot 2025-06-18 033751-1750239557660.png">Catch your Southwest Regional Forecast each hour at :50 past the hour.

Record Breaking Heat in the Southwest

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Tracey Anthony

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A Moderate Risk for excessive rain remains overnight for portions of West Virginia and Pennsylvania. This is a level 3 out of 4 flooding threat and indicates a significant potential for flash flooding, often associated with:<ul><li>Widespread rainfall</li><li>Saturated soils</li><li>Urban areas with poor drainage</li><li>Terrain that enhances runoff</li></ul>These areas were just hit hard this weekend, and it will only take a little rain to cause major new impacts. Wheeling &amp; Fairmont WV, were impacted in a devastating way over the weekend.<div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1934617419605258267" src="https://x.com/WeatherNation/status/1934617419605258267"></div><div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1934385430943928626" src="https://x.com/WeatherNation/status/1934385430943928626"></div>An active pattern is impacting the mid-Atlantic, so the flood threat continues this week. A combination of tropical moisture and an approaching cold front will continue to bring widespread showers, thunderstorms, and an elevated risk for severe and flash flooding.<h1>Forecast Rainfall:</h1><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/Screenshot 2025-06-17 142925-1750192184045.png">Catch your East Regional Forecast at :10 after each hour on WeatherNationTV.

Alana Cameron

Active Pattern Sparks Mid-Atlantic Flood and Severe Threat

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Heavy rain has been no stranger in the south. With ample moisture and a frontal boundary, heavy rain and strong storms have been persistent these last few days. As we look into the overnight hours, a few strong storms will be possible, but most should remain dry. A Marginal threat continues across portions of the Gulf Coast with damaging winds and hail being the primary concern.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/overnightt stotto-1749605891333.png">The models are struggling to show convection, forecasting little to no rain, if any storms get going, they have the chance to be severe.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/overnighf-1749602614247.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>An isolated threat of flooding will continue along with the storms.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/Screenshot 2025-06-10 154657-1749592021450.png">For more details on how this could impact temperatures and wildfire smoke, be sure to tune into WeatherNation at :10 past the hour.

Isolated Severe Threat for the Gulf Overnight

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We saw an active day yesterday across the southeast with severe storms bringing damaging winds and hail. Some portions across the southeast also experienced significant rainfall. Century, Florida saw 3.67" of rain in the last 24 hours. We have another round of strong storms today, as a boundary lingers.<h1>TODAY</h1>More severe weather is possible with clusters of storms moving from the Southern Plains back into the Deep South. The primary threats will be damaging winds and hail.<h1><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/severe todayyyaaa-1749574967584.png">TIMING</h1>Some storms have developed, and throughout the day, we can see more activity. As the cold front moves offshore, we can see storm chances decrease for areas like the Carolinas.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/jfjfjfjfjfjfjfjfrrrrr-1749575086829.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><h1>Rainfall</h1>Heavy rainfall remains a critical concern, with hourly rates surpassing one inch in many areas. This raises the alarm for flash flooding, especially in urban centers and low-lying zones with poor drainage. Not to mention the plentiful rain we've seen in days past. Any pockets of 2-3 inches of rain will lead to flooding issues.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/Screenshot 2025-06-10 071612-1749561380826.png">

Severe Storms Possible Again Today in the Southeast

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Severe storms are in the forecast the High Plains on Thursday.  All modes of severe weather will be possible with damaging winds, large hail and a few tornadoes all being possible.  Here is the very latest.
<h2>Severe Outlook</h2>
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The highest risk for severe weather will be over the Dakotas and NW Minnesota.
<h2>Severe Risks</h2>
All the severe weather risks will be in these locations.

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Damaging winds and large hail will be the main severe weather risks with an isolated tornado risk for northern North Dakota as well.  The timing for these storms will be for the afternoon and evening.  Keep checking back with WeatherNation for the very latest.

Meteorologist Patrick Crawford

&nbsp;

Thursday Severe Update

Severe Outlook

Severe Risks

Erick Strengthens to a Hurricane Wednesday Morning

Eastern Pacific OceanWe are keeping our eyes

Hot Weather Spreads to the Heartland

The hottest temperatures of the year are on t

Severe Threat Marches East

As a frontal boundary moved through unstable

Record Breaking Heat in the Southwest

A powerful heat wave continues to grip the So

Active Pattern Sparks Mid-Atlantic Flood and Severe Threat

A Moderate Risk for excessive rain remains ov

Isolated Severe Threat for the Gulf Overnight

Heavy rain has been no stranger in the south.

Severe Storms Possible Again Today in the Southeast

We saw an active day yesterday across the sou