Tropical Development Likely Near the Greater Antillies

The 2018 Atlantic hurricane season is likely not over as the National Hurricane Center (NHC) is closely watching a strong disturbance around 200 miles east of the Leeward Islands. The vigorous tropical wave  is producing a large area of disturbed weather with numerous showers and thunderstorms. Activity has increased and become a little more concentrated this morning. NHC has formation through 48 hours at 50 percent with a high chance at 5 days, listed at 90 percent. Known now as invest 96-L, if the system gets named, it would be called Patty. Environmental conditions are forecast to gradually become more conducive for the development of a tropical depression or a tropical storm during the next day or so. The disturbance is forecast to move west to northwest for the next few days, passing near or north of the Leeward Islands, Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, and the southeastern Bahamas. The system is in a favored area for development in November. Interests in these areas should closely monitor the progress of this system. For WeatherNation: Meteorologist Mace Michaels