Trough Shifts East, Severe Storms & Flooding Possible

A strong storm system that brought severe storms and flooding rain to Texas and Oklahoma is on the move. The trough is moving east with more impactful weather before it heads into the Atlantic Saturday afternoon.

Severe storms are possible along the cold front from Friday afternoon through Saturday morning from Kentucky into Mississippi. Wind damage is expected to be the primary hazard, so be sure to secure any loose objects outdoors. In addition to strong downdraft winds, an isolated tornado or two will be possible. This includes storms that may persist after dark, so be sure to have multiple ways to get warnings that can wake you up!

Scattered heavy downpours are expected to persist north of the low across the Midwest through the morning, with the rain shifting east and breaking up some through the afternoon. Severe storms could form in the mid-afternoon, but the primary threat is likely to occur from the evening into the overnight hours. Our high-resolution forecast model shows supercell thunderstorms developing late in the evening in West Tennessee, before tracking east overnight into the Deep South.

Rainfall totals don't look too impressive thanks to the progressive movement of this system. 1-2 inches is expected for most areas that see thunderstorms.

Rainfall could come down quickly enough to produce flooding from the Midwest to the Mid-South.