Updated July Climate Prediction Center Forecast

news image
Special Stories
1 Jul 2019 5:00 AM
[Along the beach at Nags Head, North Carolina. Photo by Tim Bish on Unsplash] Some minor changes were made to the July forecast, updated Sunday by the Climate Prediction Center. Warmer than normal temperatures are still expected in the South, Southeast, and Northwest. Summer's heat may not be as sweltering in the Northeast and Southwest, where the above average temperatures have been removed from the previous forecast. Below normal temperatures are still expected in the Central Plains, but most of the Great Lakes have been added into the outlook. A wetter than average July is still favored for the Central and High Plains. The drier than normal outlook has been expanded for the Northwest, desert Southwest, South and Southwest. The Climate Prediction Center states that "a weak El Nino is predicted to continue" with a 66% chance of El Nino continuing through summer, and a 50%-55% chance of it persisting through the fall and winter seasons. El Nino is one of the main influences in the July forecast, along with very high soil moisture and heavy rainfall over the last several months in the Great Plains and Mississippi Valley. Model guidance and typical July climatology was also considered. The high soil moisture in the Plains lead to the cooler and wetter forecast through much of the middle of the nation. Model forecasts and El Nino influenced the warmer temperature forecast in the West, East, and South. El Nino may delay the onset of the monsoon season in parts of the West, leading to the drier forecast in pockets of the West. For WeatherNation: Meteorologist Mace Michaels
All Weather News
More
Severe Storms Return to the Southern Plains Friday & Saturday

Severe Storms Return to the Southern Plains Friday & Saturday

TEXAS - A renewed threat of severe weather i

29 May 2026 10:40 AM
Heavy Rain and Flooding Threat Continues Across the South

Heavy Rain and Flooding Threat Continues Across the South

More rounds of heavy rain are expected to mov

29 May 2026 10:00 AM
Northern Plains Heat Pushes into Upper Midwest

Northern Plains Heat Pushes into Upper Midwest

Record high temperatures have been breaking s

28 May 2026 7:15 PM
Severe Storms Threaten Nation's Capital

Severe Storms Threaten Nation's Capital

The Storm Prediction Center has highlighted a

27 May 2026 11:35 PM
Severe Storms, Heavy Rain Target the Southeast

Severe Storms, Heavy Rain Target the Southeast

WHAT TO EXPECTHeavy rain has already hit nume

24 May 2026 8:00 PM
NOAA Releases Summer Outlook, Above Average Temperatures Expected

NOAA Releases Summer Outlook, Above Average Temperatures Expected

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administ

24 May 2026 3:00 PM
Severe Storms Persist in the Southern Plains, Gulf Coast

Severe Storms Persist in the Southern Plains, Gulf Coast

Several rounds of storms have been swinging t

23 May 2026 6:45 PM