Updated July Climate Prediction Center Forecast

news image
Special Stories
1 Jul 2019 5:00 AM
[Along the beach at Nags Head, North Carolina. Photo by Tim Bish on Unsplash] Some minor changes were made to the July forecast, updated Sunday by the Climate Prediction Center. Warmer than normal temperatures are still expected in the South, Southeast, and Northwest. Summer's heat may not be as sweltering in the Northeast and Southwest, where the above average temperatures have been removed from the previous forecast. Below normal temperatures are still expected in the Central Plains, but most of the Great Lakes have been added into the outlook. A wetter than average July is still favored for the Central and High Plains. The drier than normal outlook has been expanded for the Northwest, desert Southwest, South and Southwest. The Climate Prediction Center states that "a weak El Nino is predicted to continue" with a 66% chance of El Nino continuing through summer, and a 50%-55% chance of it persisting through the fall and winter seasons. El Nino is one of the main influences in the July forecast, along with very high soil moisture and heavy rainfall over the last several months in the Great Plains and Mississippi Valley. Model guidance and typical July climatology was also considered. The high soil moisture in the Plains lead to the cooler and wetter forecast through much of the middle of the nation. Model forecasts and El Nino influenced the warmer temperature forecast in the West, East, and South. El Nino may delay the onset of the monsoon season in parts of the West, leading to the drier forecast in pockets of the West. For WeatherNation: Meteorologist Mace Michaels
All Weather News
More
Severe Storm Threat Reloads Across Plains with Hail, Wind, and Tornado Risk

Severe Storm Threat Reloads Across Plains with Hail, Wind, and Tornado Risk

The Storm Prediction Center has issued an&nbs

24 Apr 2026 2:30 AM
Extreme Drought Leads To Fire Concerns Across The Nation

Extreme Drought Leads To Fire Concerns Across The Nation

SOUTHEASTOver 97% of the Southeast is in mode

24 Apr 2026 2:20 AM
Severe Weather Chances Continue Friday through Tuesday

Severe Weather Chances Continue Friday through Tuesday

Several rounds of severe storms are expected

24 Apr 2026 2:20 AM
West Staying Active for the Weekend

West Staying Active for the Weekend

CALIFORNIA - The rain and snow across Califor

24 Apr 2026 2:00 AM
Cold Blast Prompts Frost and Freeze Alerts

Cold Blast Prompts Frost and Freeze Alerts

WHAT TO EXPECTA blast of cold air has brought

21 Apr 2026 9:40 AM
Record Snow, Record Rain, Rising Rivers

Record Snow, Record Rain, Rising Rivers

Flooding turned serious over the last week ac

20 Apr 2026 4:20 PM
Looking Back at Last Week's Severe Weather Outbreak

Looking Back at Last Week's Severe Weather Outbreak

Tornadoes, hail, wind, and rain slammed the M

20 Apr 2026 4:10 PM