Updated July Climate Prediction Center Forecast

news image
Special Stories
1 Jul 2019 5:00 AM
[Along the beach at Nags Head, North Carolina. Photo by Tim Bish on Unsplash] Some minor changes were made to the July forecast, updated Sunday by the Climate Prediction Center. Warmer than normal temperatures are still expected in the South, Southeast, and Northwest. Summer's heat may not be as sweltering in the Northeast and Southwest, where the above average temperatures have been removed from the previous forecast. Below normal temperatures are still expected in the Central Plains, but most of the Great Lakes have been added into the outlook. A wetter than average July is still favored for the Central and High Plains. The drier than normal outlook has been expanded for the Northwest, desert Southwest, South and Southwest. The Climate Prediction Center states that "a weak El Nino is predicted to continue" with a 66% chance of El Nino continuing through summer, and a 50%-55% chance of it persisting through the fall and winter seasons. El Nino is one of the main influences in the July forecast, along with very high soil moisture and heavy rainfall over the last several months in the Great Plains and Mississippi Valley. Model guidance and typical July climatology was also considered. The high soil moisture in the Plains lead to the cooler and wetter forecast through much of the middle of the nation. Model forecasts and El Nino influenced the warmer temperature forecast in the West, East, and South. El Nino may delay the onset of the monsoon season in parts of the West, leading to the drier forecast in pockets of the West. For WeatherNation: Meteorologist Mace Michaels
All Weather News
More
Severe Threat Continues Down South

Severe Threat Continues Down South

UPPER MIDWEST - Through Monday, dangerous tor

29 Jul 2026 10:30 AM
Over 120 Million Under Heat Alerts

Over 120 Million Under Heat Alerts

An area of high pressure continues to bring t

29 Jul 2026 10:20 AM
Tropics: Fausto Heads towards Hawaii; Genevieve a Major Hurricane

Tropics: Fausto Heads towards Hawaii; Genevieve a Major Hurricane

PacificTropical Depression Fausto continues t

29 Jul 2026 10:15 AM
Flooding Risk Increases as Heavy Rain Targets the Tri-State Area

Flooding Risk Increases as Heavy Rain Targets the Tri-State Area

New England - Along with the threat of severe

29 Jul 2026 10:10 AM
Fire Weather Continues This Week

Fire Weather Continues This Week

Conditions have been really dry out west. We'

29 Jul 2026 10:05 AM
Southeast Flood Risk Lingers Near Stalled Front

Southeast Flood Risk Lingers Near Stalled Front

A stalled boundary over the Southeast will ke

25 Jul 2026 10:55 AM
Another Round of Storms Targets the Northeast

Another Round of Storms Targets the Northeast

Tuesday brought severe weather again across p

23 Jul 2026 1:15 AM