Updated July Climate Prediction Center Forecast

news image
Special Stories
1 Jul 2019 5:00 AM
[Along the beach at Nags Head, North Carolina. Photo by Tim Bish on Unsplash] Some minor changes were made to the July forecast, updated Sunday by the Climate Prediction Center. Warmer than normal temperatures are still expected in the South, Southeast, and Northwest. Summer's heat may not be as sweltering in the Northeast and Southwest, where the above average temperatures have been removed from the previous forecast. Below normal temperatures are still expected in the Central Plains, but most of the Great Lakes have been added into the outlook. A wetter than average July is still favored for the Central and High Plains. The drier than normal outlook has been expanded for the Northwest, desert Southwest, South and Southwest. The Climate Prediction Center states that "a weak El Nino is predicted to continue" with a 66% chance of El Nino continuing through summer, and a 50%-55% chance of it persisting through the fall and winter seasons. El Nino is one of the main influences in the July forecast, along with very high soil moisture and heavy rainfall over the last several months in the Great Plains and Mississippi Valley. Model guidance and typical July climatology was also considered. The high soil moisture in the Plains lead to the cooler and wetter forecast through much of the middle of the nation. Model forecasts and El Nino influenced the warmer temperature forecast in the West, East, and South. El Nino may delay the onset of the monsoon season in parts of the West, leading to the drier forecast in pockets of the West. For WeatherNation: Meteorologist Mace Michaels
All Weather News
More
A Record Breaking Thanksgiving Travel Week Expected

A Record Breaking Thanksgiving Travel Week Expected

It is that time of year again—when millions o

24 Nov 2025 11:30 PM
Severe Weather Slides Through the South

Severe Weather Slides Through the South

Severe weather is in the forecast for the Sou

24 Nov 2025 11:30 PM
More Moisture For The Northeast This Week

More Moisture For The Northeast This Week

As the most recent windy system moves northea

24 Nov 2025 11:15 PM
Windy System Blows Through Upper Midwest This Week

Windy System Blows Through Upper Midwest This Week

The Upper Midwest has been fairly quiet recen

24 Nov 2025 11:10 PM
Hurricane Melissa Produces Strongest Gust Recorded in a Hurricane

Hurricane Melissa Produces Strongest Gust Recorded in a Hurricane

Hurricane Melissa was a devastating category

23 Nov 2025 3:25 PM
Four Corners Expecting More Flooding Rain, Mountain Snow

Four Corners Expecting More Flooding Rain, Mountain Snow

A cut-off low will be moving out of southern

23 Nov 2025 3:20 AM
Trough Shifts East, Severe Storms & Flooding Possible

Trough Shifts East, Severe Storms & Flooding Possible

A strong storm system that brought severe sto

22 Nov 2025 3:20 AM