Updated July Climate Prediction Center Forecast

news image
Special Stories
1 Jul 2019 5:00 AM
[Along the beach at Nags Head, North Carolina. Photo by Tim Bish on Unsplash] Some minor changes were made to the July forecast, updated Sunday by the Climate Prediction Center. Warmer than normal temperatures are still expected in the South, Southeast, and Northwest. Summer's heat may not be as sweltering in the Northeast and Southwest, where the above average temperatures have been removed from the previous forecast. Below normal temperatures are still expected in the Central Plains, but most of the Great Lakes have been added into the outlook. A wetter than average July is still favored for the Central and High Plains. The drier than normal outlook has been expanded for the Northwest, desert Southwest, South and Southwest. The Climate Prediction Center states that "a weak El Nino is predicted to continue" with a 66% chance of El Nino continuing through summer, and a 50%-55% chance of it persisting through the fall and winter seasons. El Nino is one of the main influences in the July forecast, along with very high soil moisture and heavy rainfall over the last several months in the Great Plains and Mississippi Valley. Model guidance and typical July climatology was also considered. The high soil moisture in the Plains lead to the cooler and wetter forecast through much of the middle of the nation. Model forecasts and El Nino influenced the warmer temperature forecast in the West, East, and South. El Nino may delay the onset of the monsoon season in parts of the West, leading to the drier forecast in pockets of the West. For WeatherNation: Meteorologist Mace Michaels
All Weather News
More
Torrential Downpours Batter the Sunshine State

Torrential Downpours Batter the Sunshine State

Florida has seen heavy rainfall and lots of f

3 Nov 2026 10:10 PM
Severe Storms Target the Plains & South

Severe Storms Target the Plains & South

A frontal boundary has tapped into plentiful

3 Nov 2026 10:05 PM
Tropics Update: Atlantic System Bears Watching as Pacific Development Becomes Likely

Tropics Update: Atlantic System Bears Watching as Pacific Development Becomes Likely

November is underway, but hurricane season is

3 Nov 2026 12:45 PM
Recapping the Significant Flooding in the Southwest

Recapping the Significant Flooding in the Southwest

The Southwest is getting active once again wi

2 Nov 2026 7:20 PM
Skiing Opens in the Rockies, Heavy Snow on the Way

Skiing Opens in the Rockies, Heavy Snow on the Way

Time to wax the skis and grab the winter gear

2 Nov 2026 7:10 PM
HALLOWEEN 2026: Is the weather a Trick or a Treat?

HALLOWEEN 2026: Is the weather a Trick or a Treat?

Hopefully the costume's picked out by now, th

31 Oct 2026 10:05 PM
Flash Flood Concerns Across Texas Ahead of Halloween

Flash Flood Concerns Across Texas Ahead of Halloween

A surge of tropical moisture associated with

30 Oct 2026 6:00 PM