Updated July Climate Prediction Center Forecast

news image
Special Stories
1 Jul 2019 5:00 AM
[Along the beach at Nags Head, North Carolina. Photo by Tim Bish on Unsplash] Some minor changes were made to the July forecast, updated Sunday by the Climate Prediction Center. Warmer than normal temperatures are still expected in the South, Southeast, and Northwest. Summer's heat may not be as sweltering in the Northeast and Southwest, where the above average temperatures have been removed from the previous forecast. Below normal temperatures are still expected in the Central Plains, but most of the Great Lakes have been added into the outlook. A wetter than average July is still favored for the Central and High Plains. The drier than normal outlook has been expanded for the Northwest, desert Southwest, South and Southwest. The Climate Prediction Center states that "a weak El Nino is predicted to continue" with a 66% chance of El Nino continuing through summer, and a 50%-55% chance of it persisting through the fall and winter seasons. El Nino is one of the main influences in the July forecast, along with very high soil moisture and heavy rainfall over the last several months in the Great Plains and Mississippi Valley. Model guidance and typical July climatology was also considered. The high soil moisture in the Plains lead to the cooler and wetter forecast through much of the middle of the nation. Model forecasts and El Nino influenced the warmer temperature forecast in the West, East, and South. El Nino may delay the onset of the monsoon season in parts of the West, leading to the drier forecast in pockets of the West. For WeatherNation: Meteorologist Mace Michaels
All Weather News
More
Severe Storms, Flash Flooding Threaten Millions Across the Plains

Severe Storms, Flash Flooding Threaten Millions Across the Plains

Severe weather has continued to be a big talk

10 Jun 2026 9:25 PM
Hot and Stormy in the Northeast

Hot and Stormy in the Northeast

While the heat builds into the Northeast, rou

10 Jun 2026 7:03 PM
East and West Coast Record Summer Heat

East and West Coast Record Summer Heat

Heat advisories have been expanding across th

10 Jun 2026 6:45 PM
First Atlantic Disturbance of the Season

First Atlantic Disturbance of the Season

WATCHING THE TROPICSAtlanticThe first disturb

10 Jun 2026 5:40 PM
NASA Names Artemis III Astronauts

NASA Names Artemis III Astronauts

COURTESY: NASAThis morning, NASA announced th

10 Jun 2026 5:00 PM
Tropical Moisture Brings Increased Flood Risk

Tropical Moisture Brings Increased Flood Risk

With multiple rounds of heavy downpours acros

9 Jun 2026 10:40 AM
Severe Storms Repeat Daily Across the Plains

Severe Storms Repeat Daily Across the Plains

Severe storms developed today, as a particula

8 Jun 2026 1:25 AM