Updated July Climate Prediction Center Forecast

news image
Special Stories
1 Jul 2019 5:00 AM
[Along the beach at Nags Head, North Carolina. Photo by Tim Bish on Unsplash] Some minor changes were made to the July forecast, updated Sunday by the Climate Prediction Center. Warmer than normal temperatures are still expected in the South, Southeast, and Northwest. Summer's heat may not be as sweltering in the Northeast and Southwest, where the above average temperatures have been removed from the previous forecast. Below normal temperatures are still expected in the Central Plains, but most of the Great Lakes have been added into the outlook. A wetter than average July is still favored for the Central and High Plains. The drier than normal outlook has been expanded for the Northwest, desert Southwest, South and Southwest. The Climate Prediction Center states that "a weak El Nino is predicted to continue" with a 66% chance of El Nino continuing through summer, and a 50%-55% chance of it persisting through the fall and winter seasons. El Nino is one of the main influences in the July forecast, along with very high soil moisture and heavy rainfall over the last several months in the Great Plains and Mississippi Valley. Model guidance and typical July climatology was also considered. The high soil moisture in the Plains lead to the cooler and wetter forecast through much of the middle of the nation. Model forecasts and El Nino influenced the warmer temperature forecast in the West, East, and South. El Nino may delay the onset of the monsoon season in parts of the West, leading to the drier forecast in pockets of the West. For WeatherNation: Meteorologist Mace Michaels
All Weather News
More
Active Week Ahead For The Plains

Active Week Ahead For The Plains

Storms fired up across the plains, and a seve

23 Jun 2026 2:00 AM
Heat Returns to the West

Heat Returns to the West

This week, an upper level ridge takes over pa

23 Jun 2026 1:50 AM
I-95 Corridor Under Severe Risk Through Tuesday

I-95 Corridor Under Severe Risk Through Tuesday

Devastating storms ripped through the heartla

23 Jun 2026 1:50 AM
Flash Flood Threat Persists This Week

Flash Flood Threat Persists This Week

WHAT TO EXPECTNew rounds of rainfall are expe

23 Jun 2026 1:40 AM
Illinois Smashes Yearly Tornado Record in 2026

Illinois Smashes Yearly Tornado Record in 2026

We're only half way through 2026 and Illinois

23 Jun 2026 1:00 AM
Summer Solstice Kicks Off Father's Day Sunday

Summer Solstice Kicks Off Father's Day Sunday

Fathers across the country will have to share

21 Jun 2026 5:20 PM
Flood Risk Continues This Weekend for the Gulf Coast States

Flood Risk Continues This Weekend for the Gulf Coast States

Numerous flash flood warnings were issued as

21 Jun 2026 1:15 PM