Warm and Wet July Forecast

news image
Special Stories
21 Jun 2019 5:05 AM
[Along the beach at Nags Head, North Carolina. Photo by Tim Bish on Unsplash] On Thursday, NOAA's Climate Prediction Center issued the July forecast. Summer's heat will be felt in the West with warmer than normal weather anticipated. The Atlantic and Gulf of Mexico coastlines are also expected to see above average temperatures. Cooler than normal temperatures are in the forecast through the central Plains and western Great Lakes.       A wetter than average July is favored for the central and high Plains. Two small areas of drier than normal weather have been highlighted: along the  central Gulf of Mexico states and for northwestern Washington. The Climate Prediction Center states that "a weak El Nino is predicted to continue" with a 66% chance of El Nino continuing through summer, and a 50%-55% chance of it persisting through the fall and winter seasons. El Nino is one of the main influences in the July forecast, along with very high soil moisture and heavy rainfall over the last several months in the Great Plains and Mississippi Valley. Model guidance and typical July climatology was also considered. The high soil moisture in the Plains lead to the cooler and wetter forecast through much of the middle of the nation. Model forecasts and El Nino influenced the warmer temperature forecast in the West, East, and South. For WeatherNation: Meteorologist Mace Michaels
All Weather News
More
Tropics: Fausto Heads towards Hawaii; Genevieve a Major Hurricane

Tropics: Fausto Heads towards Hawaii; Genevieve a Major Hurricane

PacificTropical Depression Fausto continues t

29 Jul 2026 10:15 AM
Flooding Risk Increases as Heavy Rain Targets the Tri-State Area

Flooding Risk Increases as Heavy Rain Targets the Tri-State Area

New England - Along with the threat of severe

29 Jul 2026 10:10 AM
Fire Weather Continues This Week

Fire Weather Continues This Week

Conditions have been really dry out west. We'

29 Jul 2026 10:05 AM
Severe Threat Marches East

Severe Threat Marches East

UPPER MIDWEST - Through Monday, dangerous tor

29 Jul 2026 2:00 AM
Over 120 Million Under Heat Alerts

Over 120 Million Under Heat Alerts

An area of high pressure continues to bring t

28 Jul 2026 11:15 PM
Southeast Flood Risk Lingers Near Stalled Front

Southeast Flood Risk Lingers Near Stalled Front

A stalled boundary over the Southeast will ke

25 Jul 2026 10:55 AM
Another Round of Storms Targets the Northeast

Another Round of Storms Targets the Northeast

Tuesday brought severe weather again across p

23 Jul 2026 1:15 AM