Brittany Lockley

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<h1>Tropical Storm Erin</h1>In the latest National Hurricane Center update, Tropical Storm Erin is moving westward across the Atlantic and is expected to strengthen to a major hurricane by this weekend. Over the next 48 hours, Erin is expected to get better organized as it moves away from drier air and into warmer waters. The storm is still moving west of the Cabo Verde Islands, and is projected to come close to the Leeward Islands eventually. Right now, the cone of uncertainty has Erin increasing to a Category 3 hurricane by this weekend.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/1-1755142261404.png"><h1>Forecast Factors</h1>Erin is forecasted to track westward, then take a slight curve back to the east. The ridge of high pressure over the Atlantic will be a big influence on Erin's path forward.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-13 161751-1755123475367.png">Models keep the center of circulation strong on this system despite the dry air, though it may be more of a struggle than the model below depicts (GFS). The dry air should thin some during the mid-week time frame as the wave moves toward the Caribbean.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/0813-1755123575267.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><h3>Is this coming to the United States?</h3>Still too soon to know - what it looks like after formation will be telling, along with the couple of steering features towards the end of the week. Still a good chance that this doesn't affect any land masses directly, but not a guarantee. This would be a good week to fill any holes in your hurricane prep plan. We've got a lot of season ahead of us, so don't let your guard down!<h1>Atlantic Area of Interest</h1>There is another area we are monitoring that is expected to move across the Yucatan and into the Gulf. This area has a low chance of tropical development in the next week ahead. Some organization is possible with this system as it moves into the Gulf on Thursday.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/1-1755142314674.png">At this time, there is no activity expected in the Eastern Pacific over the next week.RELATED ARTICLE: <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.weathernationtv.com/news/csu-issues-final-2025-atlantic-hurricane-season-forecast">CSU, NOAA UPDATE Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast</a>Tropical activity in the Atlantic has been off to a slow start the 2025 season. Before Dexter formed, Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) in the Atlantic was less than 15% of normal. Dexter more than doubled this stat, but it's still less than 30% of a typical year, even though we may be ahead of schedule when it comes to named storms. That being said, the bulk of seasonal activity is still ahead of us, with 89% of the annual energy occurring after the first week of August.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-09 061906-1754742246037.png"> Stay with WeatherNation for the latest tropical updates.

Jesse Kelley

Erin Forecast to Become a Hurricane

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Taban Sharifi grew up in Southern California between Los Angeles and San Diego. She is a Certified Broadcast Meteorologist (CBM) with the American Meteorological Society (AMS). She has a B.S. in Atmospheric, Oceanic, and Environmental Sciences with a minor in Environmental Systems and Society from the University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA). Go Bruins! While in school, Taban was a meteorology intern with NBC LA. There she helped forecast daily weather for the greater Los Angeles region and created a playbook to deploy weather sensors for NBC owned-and-operated stations across the country. Her first on-air job took her to San Angelo, Texas, where she was a morning meteorologist and co-anchor. Working in West Texas gave her knowledge and experience covering severe storms. From there, she moved to Palm Springs, California. People think forecasting in California is sunshine all the time, but with temperatures in the 120’s, wildfires, damaging winds, floodings, and earthquakes, the forecasting kept her very busy! She also worked there as a general assignment reporter and told community stories. Taban is excited for the challenge and opportunity to forecast nationally with WeatherNation. She also looks forward to exploring all that Colorado has to offer!

Taban Sharifi

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Waves of energy will continuing diving east off the Rockies into into the Plains and Midwest. Wednesday evening, a line of storms continued to push eastward across Nebraska and South Dakota producing several wind reports over 70-80 mph!<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-13 162256-1755123781531.png">A Slight threat for severe weather remains in effect through tonight for portions of the Northern Plains, including South Dakota. All threats are possible with these storms, even isolated tornadoes.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/TOMER PLAINS SVR TONIGHT-1755132119326.jpg">By Thursday, another Slight risk has been added for the Northern Plains. Strong winds, large hail, and isolated tornadoes will be possible.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-13 162449-1755123893911.png">There is a risk for significant hailstones as well. This means hail 2" in diameter or larger will be possible along parts of I-29 and I-94.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-13 162506-1755123964290.png">Storms should weaken throughout the night into Thursday morning. A lull in the severe threat is likely for most of the day before more severe storms get going Thursday night into Friday.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/New Baron Video 3-1755141787329.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>By Friday, a Marginal, isolated threat for strong and severe storms is in place from South Dakota to Wisconsin.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-13 162612-1755124003361.png">Stay with WeatherNation for the latest updates on the forecast. You can always find your full Central Regional Forecast :30 past the hour on WeatherNation.

Active Pattern: Northern Plains to the Great Lakes

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Chris Tomer

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The long-range temperature trend towards the end of August shows higher confidence that temperatures will remain above average. Even this week, temperatures are feeling the summertime heat. But, there's a sharp cold front moving through with a 20 degree temperature drop for parts of the Pacific Northwest.<h1>Relief!</h1>A sharp cold front delivered cooler air to the PNW on Wednesday. That will drop temperatures substantially from the low 90's in Seattle on Tuesday to the 70's. Another reinforcing shot of cooler air moves in this weekend, but that one has some rain chances with it. I think we'll take it give how the first part of the week was shaping up.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-13 164022-1755124826854.png">Although this front in the Northwest won't bring rain to the region, there will be rain in the forecast later in the week with another incoming system.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/08132-1755125133242.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>In the Southwest, we had a few record highs on Wednesday. A small cooldown is anticipated for the rest of the week. Although for the desert areas, a small cooldown drop highs to near normal which is still above 100 degrees.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/1-1755142014621.png"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/tomer sw 3 day highs-1755129927501.jpg"><h2>Northeast</h2>The heat continues (ahead of a cold front) on Wednesday with additional record highs in Maine.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/1-1755142092712.png">Temperatures have cooled significantly since Tuesday with some areas 15° cooler compared to the last 24 hours.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-13 164216-1755124976442.png">Stay with WeatherNation for the latest.

Coast to Coast Heat With Some Relief & Storms

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We've got multiple wildfires burning across the West including three large ones: Lee wildfire, Dragon Bravo wildfire, and Gifford wildfire. It's a hot, dry, and windy forecast.<h1>GIFFORD FIRE</h1>Burning as California's largest wildfire in 2025, the Gifford Fire has torched over 129k acres. The good news has been the containment numbers in recent days. That has increased to 37% as of Wednesday morning.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/VON_081125_RSW_SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY, CA_3 OF 3 BEST ONE CLOSE UP VIDEO OF CREWS WORKING THE GIFFORD FIRE_TW_@SBCFIREINFO_MS_E081225-1755015460725.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><h1>LEE FIRE</h1>A large fire erupted on the western slope of the Rockies. The Lee Fire has only been burning for a little over a week, but has burned almost as many acres as the Gifford Fire, over 123k acres. Most of the poor air quality has been locked up around Grand Junction, fluctuating at times.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-13 161023-1755123031361.png"><h1>DRAGON BRAVO FIRE</h1>One of the largest fires in Arizona history, the Dragon Bravo Fire, has continued to smolder along the Northern Rim of the Grand Canyon. It has burned more than 144k acres, making it the 7th largest in state history.<div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1953931727044223408" src="https://x.com/WeatherNation/status/1953931727044223408"></div>Another fire that has cropped up in the last few days was the Billy Fire which is burning northeast of Phoenix. That is burning in Tonto National Forest after being ignited by lightning on August 11.<h1><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-13 161300-1755123188513.png"></h1><h1>FORECAST</h1>Red Flag Warnings remain in effect through Thursday for some areas. Conditions remain favorable for fires to start and spread.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-13 161447-1755123303285.png">Additionally, lightning will still have the potential to spark more fires. There are isolated to scattered dry thunderstorms possible through Thursday.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-13 161436-1755123335603.png">Stay with WeatherNation for the latest.

Wildfires Ongoing Out West

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Rob grew up in South Florida, where daily afternoon storms and hurricanes piqued his interest in meteorology early on. That interest was fostered by his teachers and his father, who one time brought him onto the roof of their home to watch a funnel cloud move through the Everglades several miles away. Years of filmmaking and tv production in high school gradually pushed him toward broadcast meteorology at Florida State University, where he joined and eventually led the student run daily weather show. After graduating with a Bachelors of Science in Meteorology, he began his career at KESQ in Palm Springs, California before heading to KFSN in Fresno and WLOS in Asheville, North Carolina. He has covered a diverse array of extreme weather events, including haboobs and flash flooding in the desert, extreme snow in the Sierra, hurricanes, and Appalachian ice storms. He also enjoys telling stories and reporting about weather issues.

Connect with Rob on <a href="https://twitter.com/WxRobBradley">Twitter</a>

Rob Bradley

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Get a blanket and find some dark skies! One of the most prolific meteor showers of the year will peak during the upcoming week.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/TOMER PERSEID-1754872084317.jpg">The Perseid Meteor Shower typically reaches a peak during the second week of August as the Earth moves through the debris field left by Comet Swift-Tuttle, which makes a trip through the solar system once every 133 years, last visiting the inner-solar system in 1992. Debris left by the comet dives through the Earth's atmosphere to create the beautiful meteor shower we expect. 2025 isn't expected to be the best year to see the meteors, unfortunately, as the waning gibbous moon will rise in the evening, washing out any faint meteors that may have been seen under a new moon. Ideal conditions can produce 50-100 meteors per hour, but with the brightness from the moon, expect 20-50 under dark skies away from city lights.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-10 052401-1754829026071.png"><h2>A Pair of Planets</h2>Another fun astronomical event will be gracing the morning skies through much of this week - the conjunction of Venus and Jupiter!<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/TOMER PERSIED 2-1754872142561.jpg">These planets will appear to be right next to each other in the morning sky, even through they're still millions of miles apart! They will appear closest together Tuesday morning, with only about 1° of separation between them.<h1><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-10 052347-1754829006824.png">WILL THE WEATHER COOPERATE</h1>Clouds could hinder many in the east Tuesday night. But many will have a decent shot at seeing the skies.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/tomer perseid sat-1755045274886.jpg">

Kevin Schneider

Perseid Meteor Shower Peaks This Week - How to Watch

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Flash flooding continues to hit the Southeast hard - especially Florida. A trough of low pressure is still spinning in parts of the southeast, keeping the rain chances nearby. A stationary storm sat and rained over the same spot, on Sanibel Island, for much of Sunday morning (8/10). That efficient tropical rain added up to over a foot of rain by the time the weekend was done. Florida is normally a tad more resilient to fresh water flooding, but nowhere can handle that much rain. It led to scenes reminiscent of a landfalling tropical system Sunday morning.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/VON_081025_RSE_TREASURE ISLAND, FL_EARLIER SHOT IN THE DAY OF CARS DRIVING THROUGH FLOODING_TW_@TOUTANT2001_DW_E081025-1754918906992.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><h1>Forecast</h1>As the upper-level trough with the tropical moisture moves north, rounds of storms are expected, with the heaviest rain possible from Florida out to the coasts of the Carolinas and eventually farther west toward the Panhandle and Mobile.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/tomer se futurecast-1754957972935.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/TOMER SE QPF 7 DAYS-1754958007499.jpg">The risk of heavy rainfall and flash flooding will focus on the Gulf Coast Tuesday and Wednesday.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/tomer se excess rain next 3 days-1754962963902.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>Tune into the eastern regional forecast :10 past the hour for more details.

Over a Foot of Rain Falls in Southwest Florida

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A Marginal threat for strong and severe storms is in place across the plains through Monday night into early Tuesday. The main threat will be strong winds and large hailstones.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/tomer plains svr tonight-1754962734794.jpg">There are a few areas where heavy rainfall could lead to flooding. A Marginal to Slight risk for flooding remains in place through Monday night into early Tuesday.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/tomer midwest excess rain tonight-1754962791495.jpg">

Strong Storms Across the Plains Monday night

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An aurora could be visible tonight for the northern tier of the United States as a Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) event peaks solar radiation! The best time to view the aurora will be 4 - 7 AM Central Time, but the earlier the better due to the dark conditions. Overnight will be a new moon so very little moonlight will detract from the aurora visibility.According to the <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.gi.alaska.edu/monitors/aurora-forecast">Geophysical Institute</a> at the University of Alaska Fairbanks, the aurora will be visible through Tuesday morning from "Helena [MT to] Minneapolis [MN to] Milwaukee [WI to] Bay City, Toronto [Canada to] Montpelier [Vermont]" The aurora may even be visible along the horizon for Boise, ID, Lincoln, NE, Indianapolis, IN and Annapolis, MD!<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/09/tonights_static_viewline_forecast-1695054707785.png">The reason for the aurora is from a Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) that is expected on Tuesday. The "K-index" is used to "characterize the magnitude of geomagnetic storms" according to NOAA. Tuesday's K-index will be on the order of mid-levels. According to NOAA, "Kp is an excellent indicator of disturbances in the Earth's magnetic field and is used by [space weather prediction center] to decide whether geomagnetic alerts and warnings need to be issued for users who are affected by these disturbances".<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/09/estimated-planetary-k-in-1695054555994.png">For more on geomagnetic storms and potential impacts for the U.S., watch Meteorologist Alana Camera as she heads inside the Space Weather Prediction Center located in Boulder, CO!<div class="fb-post" data-href="https://www.facebook.com/watch/?v=617034086665143" data-width="500" src="https://www.facebook.com/watch/?v=617034086665143" style="display: flex; justify-content: center"></div>

Aurora Likely Visible Early Tuesday Morning for the Northern U.S.

Erin Forecast to Become a Hurricane

Tropical Storm ErinIn the latest National Hur

Active Pattern: Northern Plains to the Great Lakes

Waves of energy will continuing diving east o

Coast to Coast Heat With Some Relief & Storms

The long-range temperature trend towards the

Wildfires Ongoing Out West

We've got multiple wildfires burning across t

Perseid Meteor Shower Peaks This Week - How to Watch

Get a blanket and find some dark skies! One o

Over a Foot of Rain Falls in Southwest Florida

Flash flooding continues to hit the Southeast

Strong Storms Across the Plains Monday night

A Marginal threat for strong and severe storm