We've got a distubance out over the open waters sitting on the warm Gulf Stream waters in the middle of September. Sounds like tropical mischief, right? While nothing is expected to gain tropical characteristics over the next day or so, we could still have mischief.
We spoke with Erik Heden, Warning Coordination Meteorologist at the NWS Newport-Morehead City, about the wind, rain and coastal flooding impacts of the latest low pressure system to impact their region.
Arguably the biggest impact from this low spinning onshore will be the rainfall. Especially where it falls - with many of the highest totals concentrated in a relatively small area of North Carolina.
As some of these storms get rotated onshore, there is a possibility one or two of them start to spin. We see this often with lows that move from water to land. The added friction with the land can be all it takes. The Storm Prediction Center is watching an area from North Carolina to Virginia with a low-end tornado threat.
It might not be "tropical" but the highest wind gusts could approach tropical-storm-force at times. It looks like it might not be the wind that causes a ton of problems, but the direction of the wind: coastal flooding and rip current risks could pose some dangerous problems at times. Coastal inundation is only expected to approach a foot or two in low-lying, susceptible areas of the coast but the rip current risk is high along the shorelines.