Meteorologist Jesse Kelley is excited to join the talented staff at Weather Nation. Jesse spent most of his childhood in Birmingham, Alabama. The state of Alabama is prone to seeing various types of weather from severe thunderstorms, tornadoes, hurricanes, and winter weather. For college, Jesse attended the University of South Alabama where he received his degree in Broadcast Meteorology along with minors in Math and Geography. From Alabama, Jesse started his broadcast television working three years at KAVU-TV in Victoria. Recently, he finished a stint in Shreveport, LA. Jesse and his wife are looking forward to making the Rocky Mountains and Colorado home. If you would like to follow me, you can follow me on Twitter @JesseKelleywx and on Facebook at Meteorologist Jesse Kelley.

Jesse Kelley

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Thanks to Humberto, Imelda has moved away from Florida and will bring impacts to Bermuda. In the coming days, we are monitoring an area of low pressure to develop under the big high pressure ridge across the Northeast and Upper Midwest. As a result, deep tropical moisture returns to Florida and the Atlantic and produce showers and thunderstorms. The onshore pattern of the winds will bring daily chances of thunderstorms.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/New Baron Video 3-1759445037137.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video> This, coupled with a potential developing low out in the Bahamas, is likely to bring heavy downpours to the east coast of Florida. An excess of tropical moisture left behind by Imelda and Humberto, will do the state of Florida no favors.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/2025-10-02 05-38-25-1759405125315.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>This influx of tropical moisture will farm enough energy for these thunderstorms to tap into. As a result, over the next five days, the forecast calls for about 3-5 inches of rain with isolated heavier totals along the Atlantic Coast sea board. Some flooding will be possible with the ground pretty saturated as of late.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/Web1-1759404851198.png">As for that low out in the Bahamas, the National Hurricane Center has given this system low chances for some tropical development over the next 2-7 days. Regardless of any further development, we're still likely to see coastal impacts and heavy rain throughout this weekend.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/Web3-1759405370000.png">

Heavy Rain Chances Return to Florida

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Tracey Anthony

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Imelda is now a Post-Tropical Cyclone as it quickly moves east-northeast, away from Bermuda. That means it is no longer getting it's energy from tropical processes. According to the National Hurricane Center: "Visible satellite images and global model fields indicate that a front extends into the center of the cyclone from the east-northeast, while another frontal feature has developed to the south of the cyclone." Fronts are consistent with extra-tropical cyclones. It still remains strong with winds at category one strength, however.KEY MESSAGES:<ul><li>Imelda is weakening as it moves through the Atlantic</li><li>Imelda pushed past Bermuda overnight. Tropical alerts have been cancelled.</li><li>Swells and high surf from Imelda are expected to impact the U.S. East Coast over the next several days</li></ul><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/Screenshot 2025-10-02 091030-1759417846055.png"><h1>Coastal Flood Potential</h1>Life-threatening rip currents remain possible, as well as coastal flooding with inundation of 2 to 3 feet above ground level. This flooding can move inland, impacting homes and businesses. Dangerous swim conditions will also be a concern. Please listen to local authorities and avoid swimming if possible, as rip currents can be deadly.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/web7-1759424627017.png"><h1>Waves &amp; Rip Currents</h1>The coastline from Florida to North Carolina is highlighted for high surf. Some wave heights could reach up to 11 feet.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/Screenshot 2025-10-01 130354-1759345444733.png"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/Screenshot 2025-10-02 091224-1759417958503.png">A high threat for rip currents remains likely over the next few days. Check the flags at the beaches to make sure conditions are safe enough where you are if you're planning to get into the water.<h2>What's Next For the Atlantic</h2>The NHC is monitoring another tropical wave over the central tropical Atlantic that is expected to move off the coast of Africa in the next day or two. There is currently a low chance of tropical formation.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/Web 10-1759400620555.png">

Post-Tropical Imelda has Passed Bermuda

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Kevin Schneider

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Tropical Storm Octave formed earlier on Tuesday in the Eastern Pacific. This remains a tropical storm and is forecast to meander off to the west.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/1-1759444502747.png">The good news with Octave is that the NHC has good confidence it will likely stay out to sea. The NHC's latest update has Octave remaining at tropical storm strength. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/1-1759444612585.png">Right behind Octave, we have one more wave trying to form sometime later this week.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/web3-1759424820709.png">The next name up on the Pacific hurricane season names list is Priscilla.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/09/web3-1759251694412.png">Reminder that we're getting over the final secondary peak of the Pacific hurricane season. It's important to continue to stay updated all the way throughout!<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/09/Screenshot 2025-09-29 154651-1759182418223.png">Stay tuned on WeatherNation for the latest!

Tropical Storm Octave Spinning in the Pacific

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WEST - As a trough of low pressure lingers off the west coast, a few fronts have pushed into the western U.S and across the Intermountain West. Our forecast models indicate scattered rain moving into states such as Idaho, Nevada, and Utah through the end of the week, with higher elevations expected to receive some snowfall.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/2025-10-02 13-00-54-1759424489138.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>Due to their high moisture content, these showers will be more efficient at producing rainfall, resulting in higher totals. Some areas could pick up a few inches of rainfall, which could bring on a low-end flooding threat. Excessive rainfall outlooks issued for the are Thursday and Friday.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/Web2-1759402402070.png"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/Web1-1759402410838.png">Not all the precipitation may fall as rain! Longer range models are spitting out decent snow totals across the Cascades and the Sawtooth Ranges of central Idaho! Excessive rainfall outlooks continue through Thursday.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/Web5-1759412251078.png">More details on your Western Regional Forecast can always be found :50 past the hour on WeatherNation.

Adrian Hernandez

Precipitation Chances Out West

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WeatherNation Meteorologists

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Grab the pumpkin spice and apple cider donuts, fall foliage has been developing quickly across the United States, with more color this week dropping into the middle latitudes! The latest forecast from <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.explorefall.com/fall-foliage-map">Explore Fall</a> (top of page) shows peak color emerging across the higher elevations of the Colorado Rockies, and the Beartooth and Wind River Ranges in Wyoming over the next seven days (September 30 - October 6). <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/09/Screenshot 2025-09-29 203511-1759199719401.png">Color has quickly developed and already peaked for regions in the dark orange and red shades above (orange to red areas), much of it across the Rockies and Cascades. The Upper-Midwest and northern New England/New York are also experiencing some peak color!<div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1970624217776607589" src="https://x.com/WeatherNation/status/1970624217776607589"></div>The most 30 days before the appearance of fall color are the most important for vibrancy during the peak season, but drought conditions can also lead to more muted color or variable conditions.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/09/Screenshot 2025-09-08 105237-1757350392233.png">For great fall color, sunny days with cool, crisp nights are preferable. Rain is welcome at times, however, to keep the trees from drying out.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/09/Screenshot 2025-09-08 105303-1757350398827.png">Ever wonder which trees produce certain colors? Check out the handy identification guide for foliage below!<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/09/Screenshot 2025-09-21 041320-1758449873768.png">

Fall Color Is Peaking in Parts of the Lower 48

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Tropical activity in the Atlantic has increased significantly over the last week. We're now tracking two named storms, Imelda and Humberto. On Saturday, Humberto reached Category 5 status, with sustained winds topping out at 160 mph! Since then, it has backed off to 80 mph winds, making it a category 1 storm.<h1>LOOKING BACK</h1>Humberto was named a week ago, last Wednesday afternoon, and gained hurricane status early Friday morning. This is the first time in nearly 100 years that we have had 2 Category 5 hurricanes in back-to-back seasons!<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/09/Screenshot 2025-09-30 203358-1759286043566.png">We are now past the climatological peak of Atlantic Hurricane Season, but still have a ways to go for the season. For being such a quiet season, the normal amount of Accumulated Cyclone Energy, a metric to quantify activity, is not far off. Two category 5 hurricanes will boost those numbers, though.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/Screenshot 2025-10-01 091802-1759331890905.png">September is historically the peak of hurricane season, and ocean conditions remain favorable for additional development. However, the NHC urges residents along the Atlantic basin to monitor updates closely.<div data-youtube-video=""><iframe width="640" height="480" allowfullscreen="false" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/W2bhqfX0B0A" start="0"></iframe></div>As always, preparedness is key. Whether or not this particular system develops into a named storm, it serves as a reminder that the Atlantic remains active and that the window for tropical threats is far from closed. Tune into WeatherNation TV for the latest updates.

Humberto Merges with a Front in the Atlantic

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Rob grew up in South Florida, where daily afternoon storms and hurricanes piqued his interest in meteorology early on. That interest was fostered by his teachers and his father, who one time brought him onto the roof of their home to watch a funnel cloud move through the Everglades several miles away. Years of filmmaking and tv production in high school gradually pushed him toward broadcast meteorology at Florida State University, where he joined and eventually led the student run daily weather show. After graduating with a Bachelors of Science in Meteorology, he began his career at KESQ in Palm Springs, California before heading to KFSN in Fresno and WLOS in Asheville, North Carolina. He has covered a diverse array of extreme weather events, including haboobs and flash flooding in the desert, extreme snow in the Sierra, hurricanes, and Appalachian ice storms. He also enjoys telling stories and reporting about weather issues.

Connect with Rob on <a href="https://twitter.com/WxRobBradley">Twitter</a>

Rob Bradley

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A cold has been slowly progressing across the country, bringing rain and gusty winds along with it. The front will continue to approach the East Coast to tend the week, spurring heavy showers and a few severe storms.Damaging winds are the primary concern here as we head into Thursday from Connecticut through Georgia (top of page). Isolated tornadoes are also possible, primarily in the Northeast.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/09/PIC 3-1758827812988.jpg">Storms will follow along and ahead of the frontal boundary through the end of the work week. For now, Friday remains under a general thunderstorm risk.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/09/FORECAST-1758827797862.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video> The other concern is the threat of flooding. With multiple rounds of showers and storms rivers, creeks, and streams will already be swollen which could keep the risk elevated through Thursday. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/09/Screenshot 2025-09-25 063248-1758803576034.png"> Tune in to WeatherNation live for more updates.

Patrick Crawford

Cold Front Drives Severe Storms Through Thursday

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Friday was Groundhog Day, when Punxsutawney Phil emerged from his winter burrow and tried his hand at forecasting. To remind you, during sunny weather Phil sees his shadow and gets "spooked", heading back into his den and we will see 6 more weeks of winter. If it is cloudy and Phil doesn't see his shadow, it means "Spring is here"!<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/01/history-1706641926684.jpg"> As of 7:25 a.m. ET Friday, Phil did not see his shadow, signifying spring will arrive early! Conditions were mostly cloudy and dry in Punxsutawney, although lights from the cameras and stage certainly appeared to make a shadow under Phil. Historically Punxsutawney Phil has seen his shadow 106 times, about 5 times more than times he hasn't seen his shadow. All of the lights, cameras, and people could have something to do with that ...<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/02/Screenshot 2024-02-03 103419-1706981932057.jpg">Phil isn't all that accurate, with only about a 40% accuracy rating over the last 100+ years. Of the past 10 years, Phil has only been accurate about 30% of the time, in 2020, 2016, and 2014.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/02/Screenshot 2024-02-03 103623-1706981938165.jpg">The history of Groundhog's Day started in Europe before German settlers brought the custom to Pennsylvania. The first GroundHog Day was in 1887, making this year the 137th event! Fun fact: did you know Phil is about 20lbs and 22" long?

Groundhog Day: Spring Arrives Early!

Heavy Rain Chances Return to Florida

Thanks to Humberto, Imelda has moved away fro

Post-Tropical Imelda has Passed Bermuda

Imelda is now a Post-Tropical Cyclone as it q

Tropical Storm Octave Spinning in the Pacific

Tropical Storm Octave formed earlier on Tuesd

Precipitation Chances Out West

WEST - As a trough of low pressure lingers of

Fall Color Is Peaking in Parts of the Lower 48

Grab the pumpkin spice and apple cider donuts

Humberto Merges with a Front in the Atlantic

Tropical activity in the Atlantic has increas

Cold Front Drives Severe Storms Through Thursday

A cold has been slowly progressing across the