WeatherNation Meteorologists

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<p>An upper-level low is bringing cooler air to the Northeast and helping to transport in plenty of wildfire smoke too. This is thanks to counter-clockwise air flow around the area of low pressure, putting much of the Great Lakes and Northeast under northerly flow. Many cities in the northern U.S. are dealing with hazy skies that will continue this week. Additionally, a surface low-pressure system will keep showers around for the Northeast over the next few days. </p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/06/low setup ne-1686069188309.jpg"></p><h2>Smoke</h2><p>With our upper-level ridging in the central U.S. and troughing in the northeast, smokey air will continue to travel down from Canada into the Great Lakes regions. Air quality alerts have been issued (by state health departments) but regardless of if you are under one of those alerts or not, the smoke will be widespread throughout the region. Forecast models show a dense plume of smoke heading for areas like western New York on Wednesday while we clear out a bit of the haze for the Midwest on Wednesday. Some of our worst air quality Tuesday afternoon was in northern New England, closer to the proximity of the fires and that will be the case again on Wednesday. </p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/06/06-06_rnc_aqi-1686076374102.jpg">For the last several days, the Great Lakes region has been seeing the bulk of the air quality concerns. Over the next few days, there will be a shift of our upper level winds (thanks to that area of low pressure), and the Northeast, Mid-Atlantic and even as far south as the Carolinas will experience the worst of the smoke.</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/06/06-06_12z hrrr smoke-1686076425637.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><p>In addition to the wildfire smoke from Canada, northern Michigan along with much of central and eastern Pennsylvania and New Jersey have their own fire threats - fire weather alerts have been issued due to dry and windy conditions expected over the next few days. There won't be enough moisture for the cold front dropping south to taper the fire threat today in the mid-Atlantic or around Michigan, and instead, we expect winds to gust between 20-30 mph. </p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/06/Screenshot 2023-06-06 081115-1686060681279.png"></p><h2>Rainfall</h2><p>The same cold front producing gusty winds and the fire danger threat will also bring a few showers to the immediate coastline in New England back towards the Capitol Region of New York. By no means do these storms look to be widespread, but they will bring much-needed rainfall to the region. Some of the storms today could be on the stronger side, with the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) highlighting the potential for damaging winds. Storms look to be a bit more meaningful and widespread later in the period on Thursday when the area of low pressure starts to move back toward the west. </p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/06/06-06_rne_spc outlook-1686076486077.jpg"></p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/06/06-06_rne_fcst 12z-1686076542929.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><h2>Temperatures</h2><p>Highs today will actually be at or above normal for cities across the Northeast as the upper level low providing cooler air backs off the influence slightly. That doesn't last long for coastal communities, as highs drop again on Wednesday through the end of the work week.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/06/Screenshot 2023-06-06 081302-1686060788449.png">For more on temperature trend, join WeatherNation for the latest top weather headlines, always streaming 24/7.</p>

Low Pressure Brings Smoke, Showers & Cool Air to the Northeast

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<div>Lucy is originally from the Boston area but has spent the last four years forecasting and living in Colorado! She stayed in the northeast for her education, graduating Summa Cum Laude from SUNY Oswego with a B.S. in Meteorology. Just a few days after graduation, she made the cross country move to Colorado Springs, CO to begin her career at KKTV, the CBS affiliate. Lucy has covered historic blizzards, tornadoes, windstorms, the largest wildfires in Colorado state history and dust storms ... they truly "get it all" in Colorado! Lucy is excited to forecast on a national level and continue her passion of explaining the science behind the weather!</div>
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Lucy Bergemann

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<p>The multi-day flood threat continues in the Great Plains from Denver to Amarillo as a constant stream of moisture works in from the Gulf of Mexico and the Pacific. This moisture then hits the Rockies, producing daily thunderstorms, some of which will be severe. The ground in this area is overly saturated, meaning additional moisture will be difficult to absorb and easier to rise.</p><h2>Flood Threat</h2><p>The Weather Prediction Center (WPC) has highlighted the risk for excessive rainfall Tuesday and Wednesday, from WY through southern TX with the marginal risk (lowest threat level) and a <strong>SLIGHT</strong> risk of flooding through NM and CO. Any thunderstorm that develops could quickly put down 1-2" of rainfall, overwhelming soils and creating flood concerns.</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/06/06063-1686076985862.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><p>Indications are for anywhere from 1-3" of rainfall over the next three days. While this may not seem like a lot of rain for other parts of the country, this much rainfall in a short period of time in the Great Plains can cause major issues. The other thing we will be watching will be for rainfall over recent area burn scars, especially in New Mexico where rainfall could cause mudslides and debris flow.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/06/Screenshot 2023-06-06 124441-1686077086243.png"></p><h2>Severe Weather Concerns</h2><p>In addition to the flood threat we also have the risk of severe storms, developing along the dryline on both Tuesday and Wednesday. There is a <strong>MARGINAL</strong> (level 1 out of 5) threat for most of New Mexico and the Texas Panhandle both days. Primary threats are damaging winds and hail. Storms don't look to be as intense compared to last week's severe weather, but they will be widespread, meaning the flood concern will be elevated.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/06/spc tx today-1686069747666.jpg"></p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/06/spc tx wed-1686053359193.jpg">Showers and storms develop in the afternoon and evening hours, using the terrain and the dryline to develop, moving into the Plains as the evening progresses. Some of these storms will linger into the overnight hours, pushing into central Texas as MCS's or Mesoscale Convective Systems, producing heavy rain and lightning. More storms develop in the hills on Wednesday with similar threats. Storms will be widespread at times, bringing torrential rainfall to already saturated soils.</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/06/06064-1686077156925.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><p>For more on the flood risk and severe weather concerns, join WeatherNation for your central and western regional forecasts, always :30 and :50 past the hour, respectively.</p>

Flood Threat from Colorado to Central Texas this Week

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<p>South Carolina and western Georgia are in for some stronger thunderstorms today with westerly flow in the upper levels of the atmosphere meeting low-level moisture. The combination of these features will help bring in a few stronger thunderstorms during the afternoon and evening hours.</p><h2>Tuesday</h2><p>Our primary risk through this evening will be the potential for damaging winds gusts, although hail will be possible in these areas. The Storm Prediction Center has issued a <strong>MARGINAL</strong> (level 1 out of 5) risk for severe thunderstorms. Storms are likely to remain fairly isolated.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/06/06-06_rse_tue spc-1686076691223.jpg"></p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/06/06-06_east tue-1686076752237.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><h2>Wednesday - Thursday</h2><p>Wednesday's severe weather risk is isolated to coastal South Carolina and Georgia. An incoming cold front Wednesday afternoon will create more widespread showers and storms. The threats remain damaging wind and hail with the potential for a few isolated strong wind gusts. </p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/06/06-06_rse_wed spc-1686076767125.jpg">We see showers and storms continue from Wednesday into Thursday morning along a cold front draped around the I-20 corridor. That same front then pushes south into southern Georgia and northern Florida throughout the day, prompting more storms for the area before it starts to clear the coast late Thursday night. All modes of severe weather are possible on Thursday.</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/06/2023-06-06 05-53-25-1686052897961.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><p>As a result of the severe weather potential with the incoming front, the SPC has highlighted a large area of Georgia and eastern Alabama with the threat of severe weather on Thursday.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/06/06-06_rse_thu spc-1686076775194.jpg">You can get the latest details on this top weather story along with the Southeast regional forecast, at :10 past the hour on WeatherNation!</p>

Daily Thunderstorms for the Southeastern U.S.

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<p>An area of low pressure "cutoff" from the main jet stream will sit over the Southwest through the end of this week, providing daily storm chances, cooler temperatures and even the potential for snow in the Sierra Nevada of California. While not unusual to see snow in the high country in the summer, it speaks to how impressive this snow season has been in California. Check out where our numbers stand ... over 400% of what we typically see in early June in the southern Sierra. This speaks to how prolific our winter season was in California that all of our Sierra regions are running above average still. All of this moisture will continue to melt and lead to high running rivers, creeks and streams, so be mindful if you are hiking or traveling near waterways.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/06/sierra snowpack-1686069963104.jpg">The upper level low-pressure system will keep the west unsettled and cooler, wrapping in Pacific moisture. When this moisture hits the higher elevations where temperatures are cool, we will likely see snowflakes fly! For the foothills and lower elevations, showers will mainly be heavy rain and lightning makers. We will be concerned about flash flooding over recent area burn scars and the risk for storms to spark new wildfires. If you see smoke, report it.</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/06/06-06_rse_12z-1686076853986.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><p>Check out the snow potential in the high country! A couple of inches of wet snowfall for the central Sierra! Rainfall totals will be on the order of half an inch, which again could create flood concerns so stay weather aware.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/06/06-06_West fcst-1686076896099.jpg">While temperatures may be "hot" compared to other regions of the country, the Colorado River Basin and Southwest are below average this week. Spots like Yuma and Las Vegas should be closing in on 100 and this week we will be in the 80s and 90s under cloud cover. Temps tick up by Friday for the interior Southwest as the low migrates back towards the coast, while staying consistently cool for much of California.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/06/departure from avg-1686070083150.jpg"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/06/06-06_rsw_fcst highs-1686076932270.jpg">For more on the Southwest forecast, join us for your Western Regional Forecast, always :50 past the hour.</p>

Cutoff Low Produces Cool & Wet Weather in the West

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<p>An area of high pressure currently over the central U.S. will "retrograde" this week, meaning it will move opposite the typical flow of east to west. This will push moisture into the Pacific Northwest where temperatures are currrently running 10-20° above average. The increase in moisture will not only drop temperatures back a bit thanks to cloud cover, but also fire off a few showers and storms, some of which could be severe. Just to the south of this ridge is a cut-off area of low pressure in the Southwest, which will keep the region cool &amp; unsettled too. For more on the cut-off low and impacts on the pattern in the region, <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.weathernationtv.com/news/cutoff-low-brings-daily-storm-chances-to-the-southwest"><strong><em><u>click here</u></em></strong></a>.</p><h2>Temperatures</h2><p>Highs today and Wednesday will be the warmest throughout the week with widespread 80s and 90s! As moisture and storm coverage increases Thursday and Friday, expect temperatures to drop back into the 70s and 80s. It will still be above average, but not to the same extent as the beginning of this week.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/06/06-06_rnw_high vs avg-1686077007099.jpg"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/06/06-06_rnmw_wed to fri-1686077011011.jpg"></p><h2>Severe Weather Threat</h2><p>The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has highlighted the potential for severe weather over the next three days. The upper level pattern combined with the topography will enhance lift and the damaging wind potential. Today the severe threat is concentrated in northern Nevada and California. By Wednesday the threat migrates into the Snake River Valley. On Thursday the threat is localized to western Montana, northern Idaho and eastern Washington.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/06/06-06_rnw_next 3 days-1686077037462.jpg">Thunderstorms develop in the heat of the day over the higher terrain, some of which will be severe. Most, however, will be heavy rainstorms with lightning as well. Expect daily showers and storms that mostly develop over the higher terrain, and while we may only get a quick 0.5" of rain, it can overwhelm the ground. While most storms won't likely reach severe criteria (58 mph winds or 1 inch hail), they will still be capable of producing gusty winds, small hail, and the threat of frequent lightning. Remember, "When thunder roars, head indoors". If you have outdoor plans, the mornings will definitely be your best chance of staying dry.</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/06/06-06_rnw_fcst 12z-1686077088359.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><p>For the latest Flash Flood Warnings, download the WeatherNation app. Warnings will always be scrolling at the bottom of the screen. Forecast rainfall totals could exceed 1-4" in localized spots over the next several days with the largest threat of flooding over Central Montana. We will also be watching recent area burn scars for the risk of flash flooding, debris flow and mudslides.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/06/06-06_rnw_qpc 5 days-1686077118549.jpg">For more information and updates with this system, tune into WeatherNation for :50 past the hour for our Western Regional Forecast.</p>

Temp Swings & Storm Chances in the Northwest

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Kit grew up in the Piedmont of North Carolina outside of Charlotte, spending most of his childhood in Belmont, an old mill town on the Catawba River now grown into a bustling suburb. He had a passion for mathematics and science through grade school, having ambitions to become an architect, engineer, theoretical/astrophysicist, or geologist, but eventually choosing to pursue Meteorology. He went to the University of North Carolina at Charlotte to obtain his degree, taking all electives on atmospheric sensing, tropical, and mesoscale meteorology for a full, in-depth understanding of the atmosphere (though he maintains on every hike, he should have taken more geology classes!) He interned at WCNC in Charlotte, learning the craft of presenting off-script and how to tell a weather story. After Graduation, he worked in the Quad Cities at WHBF-TV and KLJB-TV, the CBS/Fox affiliates. From there, he moved to Grand Island, Nebraska at KSNB-TV, the NBC affiliate for Central Nebraska. The active winters and severe seasons kept him busy, experiencing a wide range of wild weather. He remembers the most impactful event in March of 2019, when a massive snowmelt, heavy rain, and blizzard all struck the state in 36 hours. Kit later moved to the Denver area taking a job as a Producer with WeatherNation. He was brought on as a full-time on-air meteorologist in June of 2022 and can now be seen with the rest of the team on WeatherNation! You can follow him on Facebook and Twitter @KitCwx.

Kit Thomas

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<p>The Northern Plains have been quite rainy over the last few weeks, while parts of the Upper Midwest have been rather dry. Seen above, the last 30 days for much of the western plains have seen above and well above average precipitation. Meanwhile, places like Wisconsin, Central Minnesota, and Iowa have been a bit lower than normal. Compare the Drought Monitor between Early March and the last assessment from May 30th. Drought has expanded across much of the Midwest, while improving across parts of the Northern Plains!</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/06/March - Current Drought Monitor comparison-1686078796392.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><p>Current forecasts for today bring the chance for rain the next couple days. Some of this could lead to some isolated flash flooding, though this will just be if any one particular storm drops an excess of rain in a short time. This is why we have a Marginal Excessive Rain Outlook from the WPC.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/06/WPC Tue-1686079076064.png">Heading into Wednesday, similar areas, but extending down into Missouri, could see some isolated strong winds and large hail. The SPC has a marginal severe risk for the afternoon already in place.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/06/SPC Wed-1686079140780.png">Going through the forecast, most of these storms are anticipated to be daytime-driven, diminishing intensity late at night.</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/06/RNC Bams-1686079584313.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><p>The fronts in the vicinity will act as a focusing mechanism to help storms get started in the afternoon. Colder air above the surface will keep an unstable pattern in place for these storms to take on severe characteristics.</p><p>While the rain will be scattered, there may be some spots which pick up a couple inches of rain at best. Much of this rain will fall on areas which are quite in need of a drink as the growing season has begun.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/06/RNC Total Rain-1686079820245.png">To see current conditions in your area, download the WeatherNation app, and scroll to the right to find our live radar. You can also watch us right there in the app 24/7, and get live storm information through the stream.</p>

Plains & Upper Midwest Rain Continues

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<p>Hurricane Season is underway in the Atlantic and we have our eyes on potential development in the Northeast Atlantic with a low, but non-zero, threat of development over the next week. We've already had our first named storm of the season - Arlene - named the first day of the Atlantic Hurricane Season. This was our second storm of the season, with a subtropical low from January registering as our first tropical system of 2023. The next name up on the list is Bret if this system in the Atlantic gets organized. The placement of this area of low pressure is a bit unusual for tropical development - we typically see June storms form in the Caribbean and move into the Gulf of Mexico. Not to say development elsewhere in the Basin is rare, its just climatologically not favored.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/06/june-1685991554952.jpg">As a reminder, both NOAA and forecasters at Colorado State University are calling for a near normal season, balancing the impact of warmer than average sea surface temperatures and the El Nino conditions expected to develop by the peak of hurricane season. They will play tug of war with the potential for storm development this year.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/06/NOAA-1685991570866.jpg">Stay with WeatherNation for the latest in the tropics throughout hurricane season which runs through late November.</p>

Atlantic Hurricane Season: Watching the Tropics

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An area of low pressure moving south of Michigan this morning will be providing the chance for rain, but as colder air starts to move in there will be a change over to heavy snow.  Some snowfall amounts could exceed 6 inches near Detroit.
<h2>Alerts</h2>
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Winter weather advisories and even a few winter storm warnings for parts of Michigan, Ohio and Indiana for the rest of Thursday.  There is a chance that a few more counties could be added to the alerts map as we start to see the change over to winter weather.
<h2>Forecast</h2>
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By around noon there will be a changeover from rain to snow over parts of Southern Michigan and Northern Ohio.  The snow chances will continue through the afternoon and early evening before moving farther to the east and out of the region.
<h2>Snowfall Forecast</h2>
The heaviest snowfall is lining up over Southeast Michigan and that includes the Detroit metro area where 4 to 6 inches of snowfall will be possible by Thursday evening.

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This heavy snow will then push east into New York and drop some heavy snow for that region by Friday morning.

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<a href="https://twitter.com/MeteorologistPC"><strong>Meteorologist Patrick Crawford</strong></a>

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Heavy Snow Chances for Southern Michigan Thursday

Alerts

Forecast

Snowfall Forecast

Low Pressure Brings Smoke, Showers & Cool Air to the Northeast

An upper-level low is bringing cooler air to

Flood Threat from Colorado to Central Texas this Week

The multi-day flood threat continues in the G

Daily Thunderstorms for the Southeastern U.S.

South Carolina and western Georgia are in for

Cutoff Low Produces Cool & Wet Weather in the West

An area of low pressure "cutoff" from the mai

Temp Swings & Storm Chances in the Northwest

An area of high pressure currently over the c

Plains & Upper Midwest Rain Continues

The Northern Plains have been quite rainy ove

Atlantic Hurricane Season: Watching the Tropics

Hurricane Season is underway in the Atlantic