WeatherNation Meteorologists

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<h3>Melissa made landfall on Tuesday, October 28th, around 1:00 PM ET near New Hope, Jamaica, as a Category 5 hurricane, the 3rd strongest Hurricane ever recorded in the Atlantic Basin, with a central pressure dropping to 892 mb. Maximum sustained winds are estimated at 185 mph.</h3><h3>Hurricane Melissa made its second landfall in eastern Cuba early Wednesday near the city of Chivirico as a Category 3 storm. It is moving swiftly to the NE, headed for the Bahamas.</h3><div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1983511639082017185" src="https://x.com/WeatherNation/status/1983511639082017185"></div><h3>KEY MESSAGES:</h3><ul><li>Catastrophic and life-threatening flash flooding caused major damage in Jamaica, Haiti, the Dominican Republic, and Cuba. Residents urged stay sheltered unless given the go-ahead by local authorities.</li><li>Life-threatening storm surge, flooding and landslides still possible in Cuba</li><li>Southeast Bahamas and Turks and Caicos brace for hurricane conditions, dangerous storm surge and heavy rainfall. Seek shelter!</li><li>Hurricane Warning issued for Bermuda, with conditions deteriorating on Thursday and Thursday night</li></ul><div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1983196616640299223" src="https://x.com/WeatherNation/status/1983196616640299223"></div>Hurricane Melissa has now exited Cuba and is moving into the Bahamas as a Category 2 storm.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/Screenshot 2025-10-29 091916-1761751725602.png">Melissa continues to pick up speed, but is still expected to cause catastrophic and life-threatening rainfall and mudslides. T<a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT3+shtml/281753.shtml?">he latest from NHC forecasts</a> 5-10" of rainfall in the Southeast Bahamas, 1-3" in the Turks and Caicos, an additional 2-4" in Jamaica, and 4-6" in Hispaniola.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/Screenshot 2025-10-29 093139-1761751909511.png">Hurricane Melissa is expected to move through the Bahamas as a Category 2. The tightly wound inner structure of Melissa has been broken apart by the terrain of Jamaica and Cuba. This means it will be geographically larger, with its Tropical Storm force winds over a larger area. It will continue northeast with a faster forward speed towards Bermuda as a trough in the southeast U.S. picks it up. Warm sea surface temperatures and limited shear will allow Melissa to stay at Category 2 strength as it approaches Bermuda on Thursday.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/Screenshot 2025-10-29 093203-1761751936609.png">Hurricane warnings (in red) are in effect for Cuba and the Bahamas, with a few tropical storm warnings (in orange) also in effect for portions of Haiti and the Turks and Caicos. All preparations to protect life and property in these areas should be rushed to completion. Hurricane Warnings have also been issued for Bermuda.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/Screenshot 2025-10-29 093523-1761752132748.png">Tune into WeatherNation for the top weather headlines for more on the tropics.

Administrator

Catastrophic Melissa Makes Landfall in Jamaica, Cuba

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Alana Cameron was born and raised in Canada in the city of Mississauga, just outside of Toronto. Alana is the oldest of 4 siblings, all close in age, and grew up playing outside with them in all types of weather. After graduating high school, Alana moved to study at the University of British Columbia in Kelowna for a year before transferring to Dalhousie University in Halifax, Nova Scotia where she completed a Bachelor of Science in Physics and Atmospheric Science. Upon completion, Alana moved back to Toronto where she completed a post-grad degree in Meteorology at York University. After her post-grad, she went on to complete another post-grad in Broadcast Journalism - TV News at Fanshawe College in London, Ontario. During her final year of studies she had the privilege of interning with the best in the business in Canada at The Weather Network. Once she finished her internship, she got the call from small-town Denison, Texas where she accepted a job as an on-air meteorologist at KTEN-TV, right in tornado alley, covering severe weather from Sherman/Denison (North Texas) to Ada (Southern Oklahoma). After the most active tornado season Oklahoma had seen in May 2019 (105 tornadoes!) Alana is excited to join WeatherNation to cover weather all across the nation. If you're interested in following her on social media she can be found @alanacameronwx!

Alana Cameron

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Monday in Texas brought us record-breaking heat, and Tuesday, more records could fall. This high heat has been fuel for strong thunderstorms Tuesday in the south.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/web1-1761745423728.png">So what's causing this active weather aside from hot temperatures? An upper-level trough has been swinging across the country from the north-central U.S. to the Ozarks and into the Middle Atlantic and northeast tomorrow and Thursday. This upper level trough has been accompanied by a surface front. With this trough moving through, the winds behind the system will bring in high winds.Wind alerts have been issued through Wednesday across the central U.S. Gusts up to 50 mph.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/web1-1761745560374.png">Here's a look at some of the forecasted wind gusts across the Plains and into the Gulf Coast.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/2025-10-29 09-47-14-1761745665456.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>With strong winds, ongoing drought, and low relative humidity, there is critical fire danger across south Texas on Wednesday. There is also a red flag warning for these regions too. So be sure to avoid outdoor burning on Wednesday.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/Screenshot 2025-10-28 164957-1761693672891.png"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/Screenshot 2025-10-28 164953-1761693678203.png">Check in on this region during :30 past the hours.

Adrian Hernandez

Strong Winds, Temperature Changes, and Severe Storms

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LOS ANGELES - On Tuesday, temperatures in LA rose to record territory with a temperatures of 97 degrees, this beats out the old record for October 28th of 94 in 1931. What's causing this heat? The Santa Ana winds have returned. In addition to LA, Oxnard and Idyllwild also broke record highs on Tuesday afternoon.<h2><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/Screenshot 2025-10-28 201221-1761703950133.png">Santa Ana Winds</h2>Whenever we have high pressure systems out in the west coast, the possibility of a Santa Ana winds setup becomes likely. The NWS in Los Angeles warns critical fire danger is likely on Wednesday because of low humidity, gusty winds and high heat.<div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1983224741319065651" src="https://x.com/NWSLosAngeles/status/1983224741319065651"></div><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/2025-10-28 04-47-51-1761648488737.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video> During this phenomenon, winds head westward due to high pressures' clockwise motion. These winds will pass over the dry, desert region of the southwest and head west through the mountain passages in Southern California. During their descent, the air compresses, causing their temperatures to rise.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/2025-10-28 04-53-29-1761648822406.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/Web1-1761648886403.png">These winds are expected to bring well above-average temperatures for Southern California. In some spots, we can expect temperatures that are close to 15 degrees above average. This puts several cities in the high 80s in late October!<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/web2-1761745222117.png">As a result, the National Weather Service has issued multiple heat advisories and red flag warnings across LA county and the surrounding areas.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/Web1-1761649090884.png">This heat will also come with the potential to break some additional records. Some of these forecast temperatures have Long Beach feeling like summer when most people are sharpening their skis to hit the slopes!<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/Web2-1761649222971.png">Stay tuned to WeatherNation where we'll keep tracking these temperatures in Southern Cali throughout this week.

Santa Ana Setup Bringing the Heat into Southern California

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An upper-level trough in the jet stream will be responsible for wet weather across the Plains, Midwest, and Ozarks through Wednesday morning. By Wednesday and into Thursday, this low will move through the Midsouth, into the Mid-Atlantic, and through the Northeast.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/2025-10-29 09-33-27-1761744834379.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>The Weather Prediction Center has issued excessive rainfall outlooks starting on Wednesday. For portions of the Ohio River Valley, the excessive rainfall outlook is at a level one, MARGINAL, risk for flash flooding as the low moves through.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/Screenshot 2025-10-28 200841-1761703735227.png">On Thursday, areas such as New York City will be included in the excessive rainfall outlook. This is also a MARGINAL (level 1 out of 4) risk for flash flooding.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/Screenshot 2025-10-28 162956-1761690730125.png">Although this system moves through the Plains first, the heaviest totals are likely to occur as we start to tap into more Gulf and Atlantic moisture. Forecast models bring the heaviest rainfall into portions of Kentucky, West Virginia, Virginia, and North Carolina before moving into portions of New England on Thursday.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/web1'-1761745033168.png">Be sure to join of live on WeatherNation for more details!

Rain for the Plains, Midwest, and Northeast

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WEST - A series of atmospheric rivers has been responsible for wet, windy, and snowy weather in the northwestern U.S. This moisture continues to push inland through Wednesday. Winter weather advisories are in place through Wednesday.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/Screenshot 2025-10-28 202120-1761704508982.png">Snowfall and rainfall totals will not be as heavy as they were this past weekend and into the early work week, but some areas should look for impacts as you head out on the roads.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/Screenshot 2025-10-28 202117-1761704514070.png">Another potential atmospheric river could bring wet weather for our weekend, so be sure to join on WeatherNation for the latest. There are still some uncertainty on this next weekend wave that we need to consider but we do know that it will be moving in on Friday, and bringing with it gusty winds and heavy rain.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/Screenshot 2025-10-27 160312-1761602766804.png"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/Web 12-1761662438764.png">Be sure to join us at:50 past the hour for more details during your west regional forecast.

Brittany Lockley

Northwest Parade of Systems

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Tracey Anthony

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Slow-moving train thunderstorms produced extreme rainfall across portions of Central Florida on Sunday, triggering a flash-flood emergency in Lake County. The area recorded nearly 18" of rain in under 5 hours.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/Screenshot 2025-10-27 155504-1761602110229.png"><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/2025-10-27 09-47-59-1761573805964.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>A few other spots along Florida's east coast experienced the heavy downpours, even breaking daily records.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/Web 2-1761573435765.png">A stalled-out front was the culprit of the training showers. Winds were also clocked at up to 60 mph.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/2025-10-27 09-48-34-1761573835838.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>Another round of showers and storms is possible as the cold front associated with this system works through.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/Web5-1761646352045.png">

Flash Flood Emergency Triggered Sunday in Florida

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Kevin Schneider

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I will never forget the time it snowed in southwest Missouri on Halloween. Going from house to house for as long as we could stand it before piling back in the car because we were so cold. It doesn't snow that early in Springfield, or any other part of the country for that matter this early into Fall. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/Screenshot 2025-10-27 111421-1761585271271.png">So let's see if Mother Nature is feeling in the mood to traumatize more youth this upcoming weekend. <h1>TROUBLE SPOTS</h1><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/Screenshot 2025-10-27 111540-1761585429674.png">"Trouble" means a lot of different things for people on Halloween. Trouble, to us, is going to mean rain. Not much worse than spending all of that time and energy into a costume just to get rained on. While you might see some rain icons in the forecast in the northeast, there's a strong possibility we kick the rain out by the afternoon/evening, when it matters. We're more concerned with the Northwest like Seattle, where the rain might be both consistent and heavy at times. Coldest spot might be in the Upper Midwest, but any lingering cloud cover should help keep temps from freezing<h1>PICK OF THE NATION</h1><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/Screenshot 2025-10-27 111630-1761585733352.png">When. Do we ever. See 3 straight days of a rain-free forecast in SOUTH FLORIDA?? We have to go with Miami for that reason. But if you came up short in this madeup competition, take some solace that most everybody is looking good to go this far in advance, which is a great sign.

FORECAST: Halloween Night Shaping Up Okay For Many

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Over the weekend, heavy rainfall inundated parts of Texas.  Between September 21st and 23rd, some cities in the Lone Star State received over 6 inches of rain.  In the city of Hutto, near Austin, some rain gauges recorded nearly 10 inches!  Widespread flooding was a major concern.

<img class="alignnone wp-image-97568 size-large" src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2018/09/huttuhoh-728x408.jpg" alt="September Soaker in San Antonio" width="728" height="408" />

In San Antonio, nearly 2 inches of rain fell on Saturday.  While that daily total is not impressive, it added to an already substantial monthly total.  Through September 24th, 16.82 inches of rain fell at the city's weather observation site.  In fact, September 2018 is now the wettest September on record in San Antonio.  Records have been kept since 1885.

https://twitter.com/NWSSanAntonio/status/1044179656604299264

Not only is September 2018 the wettest September in San Antonio's history, it is the third wettest month of all time.  Only October 1998 (18.07 inches) and July 2002 (16.92 inches) have had more rain.  Looking ahead, the forecast for the rest of the month includes the chance for showers and thunderstorms.

<img class="alignnone wp-image-97565 size-large" src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2018/09/texas_3-728x408.jpg" alt="September Soaker in San Antonio" width="728" height="408" />

<img class="alignnone wp-image-97564 size-large" src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2018/09/texas_4-728x408.jpg" alt="September Soaker in San Antonio" width="728" height="408" />

It is entirely possible that San Antonio may pick up the 1.26 inches of rain needed to make September 2018 the wettest month of all time.

<img class="alignnone wp-image-97562 size-large" src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2018/09/texas_6-728x408.jpg" alt="September Soaker in San Antonio" width="728" height="408" />

Be sure to follow <a href="https://media.weathernationtv.com/">WeatherNation</a> on <a href="http://www.twitter.com/WeatherNation">Twitter</a> and <a href="http://www.facebook.com/WeatherNation">Facebook</a> over the next few days to find out.

- <a href="http://www.facebook.com/MeteorologistJoeAstolfi">Meteorologist Joe Astolfi</a>