Meteorologist Jesse Kelley is excited to join the talented staff at Weather Nation. Jesse spent most of his childhood in Birmingham, Alabama. The state of Alabama is prone to seeing various types of weather from severe thunderstorms, tornadoes, hurricanes, and winter weather. For college, Jesse attended the University of South Alabama where he received his degree in Broadcast Meteorology along with minors in Math and Geography. From Alabama, Jesse started his broadcast television working three years at KAVU-TV in Victoria. Recently, he finished a stint in Shreveport, LA. Jesse and his wife are looking forward to making the Rocky Mountains and Colorado home. If you would like to follow me, you can follow me on Twitter @JesseKelleywx and on Facebook at Meteorologist Jesse Kelley.

Jesse Kelley

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Earlier on Friday, Tropical Depression Three formed in the Western Atlantic off the coast of Florida and Georgia. TD3 is expected to be a short lived storm making a landfall in South Carolina this weekend! This could be our next named storm and the name would be Chantal! Tropical Storm Watches have been issued for parts of coastal North and South Carolina!<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/1-1751683473259.png"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/2-1751667227419.png"><h1>Forecast</h1>As TD3 slowly moves northward, you can expect more scattered showers and storms for the rest of the holiday weekend! The rain coverage will diminish some for Florida as rain chances increase for the Carolinas starting this weekend into early next week. The main impacts of this system remains the same with heavy rain and gusty winds.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/New Baron Video 3-1751683557956.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/1-1751667661578.png">Catch more details on the southeast during your Southeastern Regional Forecast, :10 past the hour on WeatherNation.

Tropical Depression Three Forms in the Atlantic

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Taban Sharifi grew up in Southern California between Los Angeles and San Diego. She is a Certified Broadcast Meteorologist (CBM) with the American Meteorological Society (AMS). She has a B.S. in Atmospheric, Oceanic, and Environmental Sciences with a minor in Environmental Systems and Society from the University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA). Go Bruins! While in school, Taban was a meteorology intern with NBC LA. There she helped forecast daily weather for the greater Los Angeles region and created a playbook to deploy weather sensors for NBC owned-and-operated stations across the country. Her first on-air job took her to San Angelo, Texas, where she was a morning meteorologist and co-anchor. Working in West Texas gave her knowledge and experience covering severe storms. From there, she moved to Palm Springs, California. People think forecasting in California is sunshine all the time, but with temperatures in the 120’s, wildfires, damaging winds, floodings, and earthquakes, the forecasting kept her very busy! She also worked there as a general assignment reporter and told community stories. Taban is excited for the challenge and opportunity to forecast nationally with WeatherNation. She also looks forward to exploring all that Colorado has to offer!

Taban Sharifi

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Multiple Flash Flood Emergencies were issued Friday morning as heavy rainfall moved through portions of the Texas Hill Country. Several locations accumulated over a foot of rainfall in a short amount of time, including San Angelo, which recorded almost 13" of rainfall. The yearly average of rainfall for San Angelo is around 21".<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/1-1751682972637.png"><div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1941108484847886805" src="https://x.com/NWSSanAngelo/status/1941108484847886805"></div>Flash flooding was also occurring along the Guadalupe River near Kerrville.<div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1941126276699619470" src="https://x.com/WeatherNation/status/1941126276699619470"></div>The water rose extremely rapidly, with river gauges along the Guadalupe showing a nearly 30-foot rise within an hour! This water will continue to flow down the Llano, Guadalupe, and other rivers, creeks, and streams over the coming hours. For example, the Guadalupe near Spring Branch last recorded about 1.5' of water, but is forecasted to see a quick rise with a rest at nearly 36 ft! This is an extremely dangerous situation!<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/1-1751683190443.png">Some additional rain will be possible into the rest of the weekend. Still be on the lookout for flooding. "Turn around, don't drown."<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/1-1751683237786.png">

Catastrophic Flooding in the Texas Hill Country Friday

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Following Flossie, the Eastern Pacific remains quite active as we now have two areas of interest south of Mexico. Invest 96E or the red highlighted area has a high chance of development in the next couple of days.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/1-1751683778576.png"> The spaghetti plots show this system remaining well south of Mexico as it churns westward! Some of the forecast shows this next wave will stay south of Mexico However, there could still be some indirect impacts for Mexico in the form of more rain and rough surf!<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/1-1751683889399.png"><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/New Baron Video 3-1751683957400.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>For more details on this forecast, be sure to check out the <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPEP1+shtml/020252.shtml">National Hurricane Center's </a>website.

Eastern Pacific Remains Active

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Rob grew up in South Florida, where daily afternoon storms and hurricanes piqued his interest in meteorology early on. That interest was fostered by his teachers and his father, who one time brought him onto the roof of their home to watch a funnel cloud move through the Everglades several miles away. Years of filmmaking and tv production in high school gradually pushed him toward broadcast meteorology at Florida State University, where he joined and eventually led the student run daily weather show. After graduating with a Bachelors of Science in Meteorology, he began his career at KESQ in Palm Springs, California before heading to KFSN in Fresno and WLOS in Asheville, North Carolina. He has covered a diverse array of extreme weather events, including haboobs and flash flooding in the desert, extreme snow in the Sierra, hurricanes, and Appalachian ice storms. He also enjoys telling stories and reporting about weather issues.

Connect with Rob on <a href="https://twitter.com/WxRobBradley">Twitter</a>

Rob Bradley

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NORTHERN PLAINS - A frontal system is moving into the Midwest from the Rockies, spurring showers and thunderstorms. Some of the storms are likely to be severe, with damaging winds already impacting the Dakotas early Friday morning with gusts topping 90 mph! This system is likely to impact your 4th of July festivities with severe weather hazards in the forecast.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-04 060951-1751631003526.png"><h2>Severe Weather Outlooks</h2>Earlier, the SPC issued a SLIGHT (level 2 out of 5) risk as the frontal boundary moves east. Scattered to widespread afternoon thunderstorms are likely along this frontal boundary, with an isolated tornado possible.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-04 163145-1751668311333.png"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-04 053742-1751630239586.png">The risk on Saturday moves east with a MARGINAL (1 out of 5) outlook issued from Lake Superior south to Kansas City. Wind impacts appear to be the primary hazard.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-04 163236-1751668362189.png"><h2>Timing</h2>This evening, storm coverage was becoming more widespread across the Northern Plains into the Upper Midwest. If you have outdoor 4th of July celebrations planned tonight, this is a forecast worth monitoring closely. Make sure you have multiple ways to receive weather alerts. Thunderstorm chances will stick around for Saturday too as another cold front moves into the Upper Midwest.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/uppermwstorms-1751668479300.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><h2>Rainfall Forecast</h2>While exact totals remain uncertain, localized downpours of 3 inches or more are possible where storms stall or train. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-04 163451-1751668506231.png">Stay safe this holiday week/weekend, and be sure to check back for the latest updates on storm timing and severity.

Dave Holder

Severe Storms in the Midwest Could Dampen Holiday Plans

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AAA is expecting over 70 million travelers to take to the roads and skies over the Fourth of July Weekend. Unfortunately, heavy rainfall could throw a wrench into those plans, as slow-moving systems keep rain chances around.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/Screenshot 2025-06-30 073837-1751290861562.png">After a hot work week, especially out west, the temperature for the 4th of July will be near seasonal for many. Folks in the Upper-Midwest will see temperatures about 5-10 degrees above average.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-04 043305-1751625473813.png">A few spots will see some slightly warmer than normal temperatures, with a few cooler than normal!<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-03 211458-1751598907955.png">By the evening, time for fireworks, there will be a few areas of potential showers! Plan accordingly for the evening festivities. This is around 9 PM ET.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-04 043315-1751625481746.png">If you are in Florida, there will be increased chances for showers and storms, with an area of interest being monitored by the National Hurricane Center (NHC). Related Article: <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.weathernationtv.com/news/hurricane-center-monitoring-florida-for-tropical-development">Hurricane Center Monitoring Florida for Tropical Development</a>Did you know this is how fireworks work? Different elements emit different wavelengths of light when heated. That results in the various colors you see when watching a fireworks show!<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/0701-1751375281844.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>

Near Seasonal Temperatures for Many Come July 4th!

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Alana Cameron was born and raised in Canada in the city of Mississauga, just outside of Toronto. Alana is the oldest of 4 siblings, all close in age, and grew up playing outside with them in all types of weather. After graduating high school, Alana moved to study at the University of British Columbia in Kelowna for a year before transferring to Dalhousie University in Halifax, Nova Scotia where she completed a Bachelor of Science in Physics and Atmospheric Science. Upon completion, Alana moved back to Toronto where she completed a post-grad degree in Meteorology at York University. After her post-grad, she went on to complete another post-grad in Broadcast Journalism - TV News at Fanshawe College in London, Ontario. During her final year of studies she had the privilege of interning with the best in the business in Canada at The Weather Network. Once she finished her internship, she got the call from small-town Denison, Texas where she accepted a job as an on-air meteorologist at KTEN-TV, right in tornado alley, covering severe weather from Sherman/Denison (North Texas) to Ada (Southern Oklahoma). After the most active tornado season Oklahoma had seen in May 2019 (105 tornadoes!) Alana is excited to join WeatherNation to cover weather all across the nation. If you're interested in following her on social media she can be found @alanacameronwx!

Alana Cameron

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NORTHEAST -A shortwave trough will swing through the Great Lakes and into the Northeast on Thursday, bringing the threat of afternoon thunderstorms along an advancing cold front. Warm and humid air ahead of the boundary will help fuel the risk for damaging wind gusts and isolated hail.The SPC has issued a SLIGHT (level 2 out of 5) risk for severe storms in these areas.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/PIC 1-1751573415086.jpg">Storms look to start during the day in New York State, but the frontal boundary doesn't move towards the I-95 corridor and clear until later into the evening/nighttime frame.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/2025-07-03 05-06-29-1751540825848.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>This next frontal boundary is coming just a couple of days after significant flash flooding happened in the northeast, so the flooding threat where we have already seen rain may be more sensitive to flash flooding through the end of the week.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-03 042835-1751538519921.jpg">

Patrick Crawford

Northeast Severe Threat on Thursday

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NORTHWEST - Today, portions of Montana are under heat advisories until this evening for temperatures that could reach the century mark. Please know the signs of heat exhaustion or heat stroke if you live in these areas.<div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1940370908499136862" src="https://x.com/NWSGlasgow/status/1940370908499136862"></div>With hot temperatures in the forecast across these areas, there is also the risk of scattered severe thunderstorms. The Storm Prediction Center has issued a SLIGHT (level 2 out of 5) risk for severe storms across portions of Montana through tonight. Damaging winds appear to be the main hazards.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-02 112106-1751476889436.png">The timing of these storms favors the peak of afternoon heating. But the help of an upper-level shortwave can bring these storms during "off hours" too. This frontal boundary eventually moves on to disturb the north-central U.S. in time for the holiday. More details on that are here: <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.weathernationtv.com/news/rounds-of-severe-for-plains">Rounds of Severe For Plains.</a><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/New Baron Video 3-1751482808855.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>Behind this system, temperatures drop down to more comfortable numbers for the holiday.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-02 112142-1751477085378.png">Long-range outlooks out west look to favor above average temperatures, so be sure to join us for the latest on that on WeatherNation live on television.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-02 111153-1751477115181.png">

Chris Tomer

Northwest Heat Met With Thunderstorm Risk

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Over the past week, portions of California have seen beneficial rain and snow with snowfall totals from the weekend system upwards of 4 feet in some cases, check out the two-day totals across California:

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As a result the Sierra Snowpack is currently sitting at 223% of the average for the state! At this time last year, the snowpack was only about 22% of the average. This is absolutely INCREDIBLE for the snowpack and water resources. Much of the season is still ahead of us, but so far we're off to a good start.

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In addition to the heavy snow we also saw heavy rainfall and gusty winds, especially in southern California. Flood alerts were in place for many area burn scars. All is quiet for now - our next system doesn't look to arrive until the weekend. Enjoy the quiet time.

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Get the latest Western Regional Forecast at :50 past the hour!

Sierra Snowfall - 223% Above Average Thanks to Last Snowstorm

Tropical Depression Three Forms in the Atlantic

Earlier on Friday, Tropical Depression Three

Catastrophic Flooding in the Texas Hill Country Friday

Multiple Flash Flood Emergencies were issued

Eastern Pacific Remains Active

Following Flossie, the Eastern Pacific remain

Severe Storms in the Midwest Could Dampen Holiday Plans

NORTHERN PLAINS - A frontal system is moving

Near Seasonal Temperatures for Many Come July 4th!

AAA is expecting over 70 million travelers to

Northeast Severe Threat on Thursday

NORTHEAST -A shortwave trough will swing thro

Northwest Heat Met With Thunderstorm Risk

NORTHWEST - Today, portions of Montana are un