Meteorologist Jesse Kelley is excited to join the talented staff at Weather Nation. Jesse spent most of his childhood in Birmingham, Alabama. The state of Alabama is prone to seeing various types of weather from severe thunderstorms, tornadoes, hurricanes, and winter weather. For college, Jesse attended the University of South Alabama where he received his degree in Broadcast Meteorology along with minors in Math and Geography. From Alabama, Jesse started his broadcast television working three years at KAVU-TV in Victoria. Recently, he finished a stint in Shreveport, LA. Jesse and his wife are looking forward to making the Rocky Mountains and Colorado home. If you would like to follow me, you can follow me on Twitter @JesseKelleywx and on Facebook at Meteorologist Jesse Kelley.

Jesse Kelley

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The calendar has now turned to month of November and that means the beginning of the wet season for cities like Seattle and Portland. An atmospheric river setup is likely for the West Coast for the next several days. So for a refresher, what is an atmospheric river? An atmospheric river is a large plume of moisture being transported from deep tropical Pacific moisture northward to the West Coast.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/11/BARON 5-1793935449125.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>Over the next few days, several lows forming near Alaska are sliding south and slamming into SW Canada and NW Washington State. Through Monday, the Olympia Peninsula and Northern Washington are expected to see rainfall totals between 3-6 inches. The Portland Metro will see up to an inch with most of the moisture missing them to the north. The Cascades will see some heavier snow this weekend too!<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/11/1-1794105459344.png"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/11/pic5-1794092555342.png"><h1>LONG TERM WEST</h1>Long-range models are hinting at some of these Pacific waves finally diving south into California and for the Four Corners by the end of next week. The Weather Prediction Center's 6-10 Day Outlook is showing very deep green over the western third of the country. Heavy rain, snow, and strong winds could be a possibility as we move into the middle of November.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/11/1-1794020568559.png"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/11/2-1794020590072.png">This is a developing story, and we will be here following the latest for you on WeatherNation!

Jackie Brown

Atmospheric River Setup for the Northwest

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WeatherNation Meteorologists

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Hurricane season isn’t over yet. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is monitoring twp areas of interest across the Atlantic and Pacific, and the newest tropical storm in the Central Pacific.<h2>Pacific: Pena Continues East in the Pacific</h2>Tropical Storm Pena formed on Friday Southeast of Hawaii. This is the fifth named storm in the Central Pacific Basin this season, which beats the previous record for named systems in a season (3). This storm will stay south of Hawaii, with limited impacts to the island chain. Increased winds and waves are expected through the weekend but that should be it for impacts. <h2><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/11/Screenshot 2026-11-08 071013-1794147025598.png">Atlantic: Staying Quiet</h2>Not a lot doing in the Atlantic Basin. What was Invest 94-L is no longer being monitored for tropical development. The Atlantic hurricane season comes to a close at the end of the month. Although tropical activity typically decreases as fall progresses, the Atlantic hurricane season officially continues through November 30. The Eastern Pacific hurricane season also runs through November 30. For now, neither disturbance has developed into a tropical cyclone, but the Pacific system has the greater potential for organization this week.WeatherNation will continue monitoring both areas of interest and provide updates as new information becomes available from the National Hurricane Center.

Kevin Schneider

Tropics Update: Pena Spinning in the Pacific

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Tracey Anthony

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A strong trough of low pressure moving through Mexico will draw abundant Gulf moisture into parts of Texas through Monday, leading to heavy downpours that will likely lead to flash flooding. Severe storms can't be ruled out either, as the low provides plenty of wind shear and the Storm Prediction Center has issued a Marginal Severe Outlook for Sunday. Damaging wind, is the primary concern. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/11/WEB 1-1794146761654.png"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/11/pic6-1794091279398.png"><h1>Rain &amp; Flood Potential</h1>Forecast models are showing potential high-end rainfall totals, which would mean higher impacts if they are correct. The Baron Model is likely overdoing how widespread the heavy rain will be, however, bullseyes of 9-12" of rain (like the model shows in southern Texas) can't be ruled out.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/11/Screenshot 2026-11-07 042028-1794050580547.png">The ECMWF (Euro) model also shows higher end potential for the rainfall, with 6-10" of accumulation south of San Antonio. Prepare for significant flash flooding if you live or plan to travel to these areas, just in case the heaviest rain falls near you.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/11/Screenshot 2026-11-07 042015-1794050580548.png">The WPC has issued multiple excessive rain (flood) outlooks through Monday, with Sunday's outlook increased to a level 2 (slight) risk. A slight risk indicates scattered flash flooding is expected, with a significant flood event possible. This outlook could be upgraded.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/11/pic6-1794090601325.png"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/11/pic5-1794090953381.png">The time is now to prepare for flooding! Keep important documents in areas that will remain dry during a flood on your property, clear gutters and drainage areas, and make sure you're aware of the status of your flood insurance.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/11/Screenshot 2026-11-07 042235-1794050590106.png">

Texas Flood Threat Building Sunday

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Brittany Lockley

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The same system that has produced unsettled weather across much of the country is still impacting the East Coast, bringing a surge of moisture into New England. The front will be exiting the Northeast Saturday morning. However, it brought rainfall totals over 6 inches in Massachusetts. The heaviest rain will be moving out, but an area of low pressure will still bring chilly rain to the Northeast into Sunday morning.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/11/Screenshot 2026-11-07 113420-1794076472352.png">The heaviest rainfall, according to our in-house forecast models, remains over portions of CT, RI, and MA. There could also be some snow chances with the colder air getting wrapped up into the system.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/11/Screenshot 2026-11-07 113507-1794076517572.png">For more on your Eastern Regional Forecast, tune in to WeatherNation :10 past the hour.

Patrick Crawford

Heavy Rain Brings Flooding Concerns to Northeast as Storm System Moves East

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Rob grew up in South Florida, where daily afternoon storms and hurricanes piqued his interest in meteorology early on. That interest was fostered by his teachers and his father, who one time brought him onto the roof of their home to watch a funnel cloud move through the Everglades several miles away. Years of filmmaking and tv production in high school gradually pushed him toward broadcast meteorology at Florida State University, where he joined and eventually led the student run daily weather show. After graduating with a Bachelors of Science in Meteorology, he began his career at KESQ in Palm Springs, California before heading to KFSN in Fresno and WLOS in Asheville, North Carolina. He has covered a diverse array of extreme weather events, including haboobs and flash flooding in the desert, extreme snow in the Sierra, hurricanes, and Appalachian ice storms. He also enjoys telling stories and reporting about weather issues.

Connect with Rob on <a href="https://twitter.com/WxRobBradley">Twitter</a>

Rob Bradley

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Residences along the Ocoee (TN) and Toccoa (GA) River have had to leave their homes early Thursday morning as heavy caused catastrophic flooding overnight into the morning hours. Up to 10 inches of rain fell in parts of Northern Georgia Wednesday evening, leading to a surge of water in the Ocoee, hitting a record height of over 18 feet. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/11/Screenshot 2026-11-05 073059-1793889084159.png">Residents along the river are being evacuated and the red cross has opened a shelter. The flooding will likely continue to shift down stream with major impacts.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/11/Screenshot 2026-11-05 073047-1793889084161.png">More than 11 inches of rain fell in the Blue Ridge Mountains of Northern Georgia late Wednesday into early Thursday, flooding several areas before running off into the Toccoa/Ocoee.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/11/Screenshot 2026-11-05 074333-1793889818485.png">

Flash Flood Emergency For Parts of Georgia and Tennessee

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Florida has seen heavy rainfall and lots of flooding over the last few days. In fact, Melbourne, FL saw its wettest day EVER on record with 11.51" on Monday. Watch the storms train over many of the same areas Monday morning:<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/11/2026-11-03 07-33-35-1793720142845.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>Monday beat out the old record of 10.23" in 2017 with Irma making landfall! We will see things taper off, but there will still be some localized areas of heavy rainfall for Tuesday. Any area that saw the catastrophic flooding Monday will be very sensitive to any additional rain today.<div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="2117632897909735452" src="https://x.com/WeatherNation/status/2117632897909735452?a=EuxY1xZfhVig7RAXyus&amp;s=20"></div>In total, many parts of Florida have seen over 20" of rain since Sunday. Picking this up in 48-72 hours time was the main reason for the heavy flooding we've been seeing.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/11/Screenshot 2026-11-04 062641-1793791669426.png">Overall, we've already seen totals well over that. In fact, in Brevard County, a flash flood emergency was issued on Monday morning (since has expired). These exceedingly rare advisories are especially dangerous. If one is ever issued in your area, you need to seek higher ground immediately.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/11/Screenshot 2026-11-02 104349-1793634469029.png">Thankfully, coverage is likely to be more isolated across most of Florida through tonight.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/11/11041-1793818717680.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>Check in with us on WeatherNation at :10 past the hour for your full eastern U.S. breakdown!

Torrential Downpours Batter the Sunshine State

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Taban Sharifi grew up in Southern California between Los Angeles and San Diego. She is a Certified Broadcast Meteorologist (CBM) with the American Meteorological Society (AMS). She has a B.S. in Atmospheric, Oceanic, and Environmental Sciences with a minor in Environmental Systems and Society from the University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA). Go Bruins! While in school, Taban was a meteorology intern with NBC LA. There she helped forecast daily weather for the greater Los Angeles region and created a playbook to deploy weather sensors for NBC owned-and-operated stations across the country. Her first on-air job took her to San Angelo, Texas, where she was a morning meteorologist and co-anchor. Working in West Texas gave her knowledge and experience covering severe storms. From there, she moved to Palm Springs, California. People think forecasting in California is sunshine all the time, but with temperatures in the 120’s, wildfires, damaging winds, floodings, and earthquakes, the forecasting kept her very busy! She also worked there as a general assignment reporter and told community stories. Taban is excited for the challenge and opportunity to forecast nationally with WeatherNation. She also looks forward to exploring all that Colorado has to offer!

Taban Sharifi

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The Southwest is getting active once again with chances of flash flooding and river flooding. Friday, Las Vegas experienced some strong storms resulting in flooding and large hail falling across downtown. This was only the first of three low pressure system moving through the region this weekend, with the final two expected to deliver even heavier rain and mountain snow.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/10/VO_103026_RSW_HENDERSON, NV_GREAT VIDEO OF FLOODING WITH CAR STUCK_FB_MS_E103026-1793411988779.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>Down south, heavy rain coming down in short periods of time created scenes like these. Unfortunately, folks having to be rescued from the floodwaters.<div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="2116621232905101602" src="https://x.com/WeatherNation/status/2116621232905101602"></div>Through Sunday, the worst of it struck. WPC had issued a MODERATE (level 3 out of 4) risk for flash flooding. It definitely materialized, as we got a TON of flood reports over the last 24 hours across the Southwest.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/11/Screenshot 2026-11-02 050841-1793621537970.png">This heavy rain led to more shocking video out of the region, as the water was rushing through areas near Payson, AZ!<div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="2117084682307391508" src="https://x.com/WeatherNation/status/2117084682307391508"></div>A PDS Flood Warning was even issued in southwest Colorado with expected river levels. While receding, we still saw a record-breaking crest at the San Juan River.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/11/Screenshot 2026-11-02 045235-1793620396759.png">Cities across Arizona saw a quarter of their yearly rainfall in just one day! 48-hour totals took some of the cities above 7 inches which is an absurd amount of rain to pick up in the Southwest!<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/11/Screenshot 2026-11-02 050517-1793621275056.png">Stay tuned to WeatherNation, we've got you covered on all the impacts out west.

Recapping the Significant Flooding in the Southwest

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Areas along the Gulf Coast will need to be weather alert today for the potential of rotating thunderstorms.  Here is the very latest.
<h1>Severe Outlook</h1>
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<img class="alignnone wp-image-98862 size-full" src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2018/10/7day1-7.jpg" alt="" width="1920" height="1080" />

The Storm Prediction Center has a Marginal risk of severe weather for areas along the Gulf Coast.  This includes Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama and the Florida panhandle.  Today's severe storms will be isolated, so not everyone will see a tornado.  This is all do to an area of low pressure moving out of the western Gulf of Mexico.
<h1>Forecast</h1>
Here is the latest timing for today's storm chances.

<img class="alignnone wp-image-98863 size-full" src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2018/10/7day2-13.jpg" alt="" width="1920" height="1080" />

<img class="alignnone wp-image-98864 size-full" src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2018/10/7day3-12.jpg" alt="" width="1920" height="1080" />

<img class="alignnone wp-image-98865 size-full" src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2018/10/7day4-11.jpg" alt="" width="1920" height="1080" />

<img class="alignnone wp-image-98866 size-full" src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2018/10/AMS_SEAL-3.jpg" alt="" width="1920" height="1080" />

Showers and storms will be moving through these areas all morning and well into the afternoon.  This will be when the greatest threats for tornadoes arrives too.

Stay tuned to WeatherNation for more updates on today's severe weather chances.

Tornado Risk for the Gulf Coast Thursday

Severe Outlook

Forecast

Atmospheric River Setup for the Northwest

The calendar has now turned to month of Novem

Tropics Update: Pena Spinning in the Pacific

Hurricane season isn’t over yet. The National

Texas Flood Threat Building Sunday

A strong trough of low pressure moving throug

Heavy Rain Brings Flooding Concerns to Northeast as Storm System Moves East

The same system that has produced unsettled w

Flash Flood Emergency For Parts of Georgia and Tennessee

Residences along the Ocoee (TN) and Toccoa (G

Torrential Downpours Batter the Sunshine State

Florida has seen heavy rainfall and lots of f

Recapping the Significant Flooding in the Southwest

The Southwest is getting active once again wi