CSU Updates Their Tropical Outlook

news image
Special Stories
18 Jun 2025 12:00 AM

JUNE 11, 2025

The folks at Colorado State planned on updating the outlook today and they did - no changes. They're still expecting a ENSO neutral regime to persist through the Hurricane Season. That, with above average sea surface temperatures (but not as hot as last year) should still point to a busy season. Their next update to the outlook is scheduled for July 9, with another adjustment August 6.

APRIL 3, 2025

Today, meteorologists and research scientists at Colorado State University (CSU) have released their outlook for the 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season. Dr. Phil Klotzbach and the Tropical Meteorology Project at CSU are among the first to issue an outlook for the season. Early predictions expect this year's hurricane season to be busier than average. This year they anticipate 17 named storms, 9 of which will become hurricanes and 4 of those are expected to become major hurricanes (CAT 3 or greater).

Forecast factors that contributed to their above average outlook focus on the El Nino/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and sea surface temperatures. In the coming months, a transition to ENSO neutral is expected. That usually does not give a strong single for an above or below average season. However, by the end of the summer into early fall (climatological peak of hurricane season), a potential transition to La Nina is forecast. There is not much certainty on the likelihood or intensity of that La Nina transition, though. Nonetheless, an absence of El Nino which traditionally suppresses hurricane activity is enough to warrant an above average forecast.

Sea surface temperatures in the tropical Atlantic remain above average this year. SSTs are not as warm as last year's historic levels, but remain warm enough to fuel storm development later in the season.

All Weather News
More
Tropics: Winds Fuel Fire Concerns in Hawaii, Quiet in the Atlantic

Tropics: Winds Fuel Fire Concerns in Hawaii, Quiet in the Atlantic

While the Atlantic Basin remains quiet, an im

2 Aug 2025 3:30 AM
Relief Across the Country After Cold Front Passes Through

Relief Across the Country After Cold Front Passes Through

Cooler air has arrived! Well, for much of the

2 Aug 2025 3:25 AM
Canadian Wildfire Smoke Triggers Air Quality Alerts Across Upper Midwest

Canadian Wildfire Smoke Triggers Air Quality Alerts Across Upper Midwest

Air Quality Alerts are in effect across a bro

2 Aug 2025 3:20 AM
Cold Front Brought Significant Flooding to I-95

Cold Front Brought Significant Flooding to I-95

NORTHEAST - Record high temperatures broke in

1 Aug 2025 3:00 AM
Tsunami Impacts Hawaii, Alaska, West Coast After Russia Earthquake

Tsunami Impacts Hawaii, Alaska, West Coast After Russia Earthquake

At 7:24 pm ET on Tuesday, July 29th, a magnit

31 Jul 2025 1:35 AM
Storms Wrapping Up In The Plains

Storms Wrapping Up In The Plains

The plains have had an active summer with sev

31 Jul 2025 1:00 AM
Millions of Americans Under Heat Alerts

Millions of Americans Under Heat Alerts

Unusual and intense heat and humidity have se

30 Jul 2025 4:30 PM