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<div>Lucy is originally from the Boston area but has spent the last four years forecasting and living in Colorado! She stayed in the northeast for her education, graduating Summa Cum Laude from SUNY Oswego with a B.S. in Meteorology. Just a few days after graduation, she made the cross country move to Colorado Springs, CO to begin her career at KKTV, the CBS affiliate. Lucy has covered historic blizzards, tornadoes, windstorms, the largest wildfires in Colorado state history and dust storms ... they truly "get it all" in Colorado! Lucy is excited to forecast on a national level and continue her passion of explaining the science behind the weather!</div>
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Lucy Bergemann

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<p>A surface trough will be the focus for showers and storms today and tonight for the Midwest including some big cities like Chicago and Indianapolis. A few isolated tornadoes can't be ruled out for parts of Illinois and Indiana. Today's set-up will favor more of a hail and wind there, but some rotation will be possible also (above). The severe threat carries into Wednesday too with similar threats.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/09/severe outlook -1695754034772.jpg">The daytime heating should be a player in the severe threat today. Once we reach the peak heating in the afternoon, storms should be turning severe and although the threat is isolated for severe, storms will be widespread. A pretty nasty line of storms looks possible Wednesday afternoon and evening, especially through southern Kentucky and Tennessee. We will have to watch model guidance for this possibility, especially as storms form on Wednesday afternoon.</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/09/2023-09-26 07-36-23-1695735535369.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><p>This same system will keep moving East and on Wednesday severe storms should build around the Ohio River Valley. The main risk with this set-up will be damaging winds and large hail and storms are likely late in the day into early Thursday morning. </p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/09/spc wednesday-1695754044000.jpg">For more on this top weather headline be sure to join us live for the latest details. And if you're starting to see the foliage turn in these spots be sure to tag us on X, Facebook, and Instagram @weathernation for a chance for your weather to be shared on national television!</p>

Tornado Threat for Chicago Today

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<p>Huge hail fell in Texas on Sunday night, hitting Round Rock, a suburb on the north side of Austin. Baseball and golf ball sized hail destroyed car windows and buildings (above). This comes after a After a very hot, dry last few months, Texas is finally getting rain, and severe storms as a front dips south. Baseball-sized hail fell in Round Rock (just north of Austin) Sunday evening and destroyed cars (above)! Check out the tornado-warned storm that moved through Commerce, Texas late Sunday afternoon/evening (below).</p><blockquote><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/09/VO_092423_RSC_COMMERCE, TX_COOL TIME LAPSE APPROACHING THE ROTATING TORNADO WARNED STORM_TW_@ONLYNADERS_DW_E092423-1695610708228.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video></blockquote><p>While a few severe storms produced quarter size hail and winds up to 60 mph Monday, it was a much less stormy day compared to Sunday. The tail end of the front will also fire up storms on Tuesday, especially along the higher terrain of New Mexico. Isolated storms will be capable of quarter-size hail and damaging winds, with heavy rain a hazard in all storms.</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/09/2023-09-26 08-54-54-1695740252306.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><p>Be sure to move any valuable property to safety before the storms arrive, because some thunderstorms may bring flooding rain and damaging wind and/or hail. Have multiple ways to get weather warnings and know where to go in the event of severe weather!</p>

After Baseball Hail in Texas Destroys Cars, Threat Shifts West

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<p>We are now down to one tropical wave and one named storm in the Atlantic: Philippe (pronounced: <em>fee - LEEP</em>). Tropical Storm Philippe is moving west at 12 mph and is forecast to maintain its strength as a tropical storm over open waters passing north of the Leeward and Windward islands. The extended forecast shows the likelihood of the remnants of Philippe sitting north of Puerto Rico and Hispaniola, which could bring heavy rain and gusty winds to the islands. </p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/09/phillipe-1695737251447.jpg">We are also watching an area of low pressure between the Cabo Verde Islands and eastern Caribbean. Gradual development is likely and we could see a tropical depression form over the next few days. This wave is moving west - northwest and there is model consensus that it will remain over the open waters of the Atlantic. Since the National Hurricane Center is investigating this wave, spaghetti plots have been released on this potential storm. Invest 91L is the identifier of this system.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/09/91L-1695737249458.jpg">We have about 30% of the Atlantic hurricane season left. The rest of September and October can be busy months, tropically speaking because of warm sea surface temperatures this time of the season.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/09/09-25_atl-1695696450973.jpg"></p>

Tropics: Philippe in the Atlantic, Another Wave to Watch

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<p>Right now much of the fall foliage is seen in the Rockies where cooler air is starting to make an influence. We want to avoid a quick freeze though, as that could cause the leaves to wilt and die before they reach their true potential! Colors should start to explode in the coming days across Colorado when the Aspens turn. In addition, cooler air moving into the Northwest should create further color across the Cascades!</p><p>Have the leaves started changing where you live? We are now into Meteorological Fall, with the Autumnal Equinox just around the corner. We will continue to notice the changing leaves in the coming weeks.</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/09/PKG_092920_TRT 1.52_WHEN LEAVES CHANGE_ROB BRADLEY_CM_E092920-1694870877324.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><p>But why and how do leaves change color? It is due to Chlorophyll in the leaves decaying into the cooler weather of the season. We've still been quite warm so the changeover has been slow for many.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/09/why they change-1694871127699.jpg">In fact, the majority of the country (outside of mountains over 8k feet) hasn't dropped below freezing or close to it yet this fall - we are roughly two weeks behind schedule for the Rockies, Bitterroots, and Cascades which could be contributing to the slow to develop colors. The colder air is arriving though, which should speed up the color changes.</p><div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1704911375175393467" src="https://twitter.com/WeatherNation/status/1704911375175393467"></div><p>Have fall foliage photos to share? Tag us on social media @weathernation</p>

Fall Colors in Full Effect for the Rockies

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<p><strong>WEST COAST: </strong>An early-season atmospheric river has been bringing in rainy days to the west coast of Washington, Oregon, and California. </p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/09/VO_0925-2623_PACIFIC OCEAN_ATMOSPHERIC RIVER SWIRLING OUT IN THE PACIFIC_TW_@CIRA_CSU_DO_E092623-1695735940086.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><p>In fact, on the atmospheric river scale, this event is forecast to become an AR4. These forecasts are released by the <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://cw3e.ucsd.edu/iwv-and-ivt-forecasts/">Center for Western Weather and Water Extremes</a> from the Scripps Institution of Oceanography at UC San Diego. The AR Scale can be complicated to understand, but the bottom line is that it is based on the duration of the event and the amount of water these systems hold.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/09/09-25_ar scale-1695668238161.jpg">For inland communities this will be on the order of an AR1-2. The scale is used to determine the impact from the water of rain. We've already seen rainfall totals on the order of 5"+ with more on the way into the middle of the week. Due to the drought conditions in the PNW, we anticipate minimal river or creek flooding as the waterways are relatively low and can handle in the influx of moisture. Cooler air with the next front will even produce some high elevation snowfall!</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/09/09-25_west acc 18z-1695688775809.jpg"> Additional pushes of moisture coming onshore from the Pacific will bring more rounds of rain into mid-week. Tuesday's heavy rain risk is primarily into Washington and Oregon, while California doesn't get much rain until later in the week.</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/09/9-25 RNW rain-1695696468618.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><p>Isolated areas of flooding are possible in spots that are prone to flood, and near burn scars from previous fires. Never drive over flooded roadways!</p>

Atmospheric River for Coastal Washington, Oregon & California

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Patrick Crawford has always been a huge weather buff! He grew up in Plano, Texas, and it was there that he experienced what Mother Nature was capable of doing. He would always turn on the television to see what local meteorologists were saying about the weather. That's when he realized he wanted to be a meteorologist.

Patrick graduated from Northern Illinois University (’04) with a degree in Meteorology and a double minor in Mathematics and Geography. Broadcast Meteorology has been great to him and he has been able to work in television markets all across the country. Some of his stops have included New Orleans, Green Bay and even Yuma, Arizona. He is so excited to be part of the WeatherNation team.

He has been awarded the prestigious CBM (Certified Broadcast Meteorologist) weather seal from the American Meteorological Society.

Feel free to catch up with Patrick Crawford on his <a href="https://www.facebook.com/MeteorologistPC/">Facebook</a> and on <a href="https://twitter.com/MeteorologistPC">Twitter</a> pages.

Patrick Crawford

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<p>Over the next few days, the State of Florida will be very active with scattered storms and heavy rain. Some parts of the Sunshine State could see over 5 inches of rain in the next 2 days. The severe risk will be on the lower end, but never the less showers and storms will bring big downpours, low visibility and water buildup on the roads and interstates.</p><p>Strong southerly flow is really pumping in the moisture across Florida and this set-up is ideal for a heavy rain event. Not everyone in Florida will see huge rainfall numbers, but there are many parts that are under the risk for flooding. This model shows the consistent showers and storms moving across Florida.</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/09/FORECAST-1695728303172.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><p>Try not to curse the rain too much - we do need the moisture especially on the West Coast where we have extreme drought conditions. </p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/09/drought-1695733210667.jpg"></p><p>More updates are on the way on-air and online throughout the day.</p>

Heavy Rain for Florida the Next Few Days

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Taban Sharifi grew up in Southern California between Los Angeles and San Diego. She is a Certified Broadcast Meteorologist (CBM) with the American Meteorological Society (AMS). She has a B.S. in Atmospheric, Oceanic, and Environmental Sciences with a minor in Environmental Systems and Society from the University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA). Go Bruins! While in school, Taban was a meteorology intern with NBC LA. There she helped forecast daily weather for the greater Los Angeles region and created a playbook to deploy weather sensors for NBC owned-and-operated stations across the country. Her first on-air job took her to San Angelo, Texas, where she was a morning meteorologist and co-anchor. Working in West Texas gave her knowledge and experience covering severe storms. From there, she moved to Palm Springs, California. People think forecasting in California is sunshine all the time, but with temperatures in the 120’s, wildfires, damaging winds, floodings, and earthquakes, the forecasting kept her very busy! She also worked there as a general assignment reporter and told community stories. Taban is excited for the challenge and opportunity to forecast nationally with WeatherNation. She also looks forward to exploring all that Colorado has to offer!

Taban Sharifi

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<p>Ophelia made landfall around 6:15 a.m. ET on Saturday, near Emerald Isle, North Carolina as a strong tropical storm. Maximum sustained winds reached 70 mph, with a minimum pressure of 981 mb. Even though Ophelia has now weakened into a Post-Tropical Cyclone, it will continue to bring gusty winds, storm surge, high surf, and heavy rain to the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast through the rest of this weekend. Power outages have been isolated in some communities, but utility crews have been fast-acting in getting power restored.</p><div class="fb-post" data-href="https://www.facebook.com/WeatherNation/videos/1001927184348846" data-width="500" src="https://www.facebook.com/WeatherNation/videos/1001927184348846" style="display: flex; justify-content: center"></div><p>The heaviest rain will favor Virginia, Maryland, Delaware, Pennsylvania, and New Jersey going forward into Sunday. Ophelia will slowly nudge up the I-95 corridor, and continue to weaken as it moves north. Even as a remnant low, it will bring rain and wind impacts Sunday and Monday to the Northeast.</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/09/0924-1695577066510.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><h2>Flood Threat</h2><p>Heavy rainfall could lead to flooding, especially in areas that are prone to gathering high water. This includes coastal communities along with inland areas. Upwards of 6" of rain already fell since Ophelia's impacts began and an additional 1-2" of rain is possible through Monday morning as Ophelia makes its way up the Eastern Seaboard. Localized heavier amounts of up to 3 inches may be possible. Heavy rain in the urban corridors of the Northeast could lead to flash flooding, especially in areas of New England that have been soggy over the last few weeks.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/09/Screenshot 2023-09-24 113817-1695577103492.png">Coastal flood alerts have been issued through the Mid-Atlantic coast from New Jersey to Virginia for the push of seawater moving on shore due to Ophelia's wind field. This is where we expect freshwater rainfall flooding and the rise of rivers and oceans to create flooding on low-lying areas.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/09/Screenshot 2023-09-24 113838-1695577123655.png">The Weather Prediction center has issued a marginal and slight risk for heavy rain as this system moves north. Please do not drive through flooded roadways and limit travel.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/09/ophelia-1695562731437.jpg"></p><h2>Wind</h2><p>Winds will gust in the range of 20- 35 mph for coastal communities and 10-20 mph for inland areas. The wind will stir up the ocean and onshore flooding will create issues for barrier islands and east-facing beaches.</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/09/09241-1695577183538.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><p></p><p>Continue to monitor the latest weather hazards, including any alerts, with regard to Ophelia. Be safe venturing out into the conditions this weekend!</p>

Ophelia Makes Landfall in North Carolina, Now Post-Tropical

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Summer of 1993, New England Dragway. That's when and where Steve knew he wanted to become a meteorologist. More than 20 years later he is extremely fortunate and blessed to be able to live his childhood dream. As a lover of math and science, Steve had a consistent interest in weather in elementary, middle, and high school before discovering you can major in meteorology. He attended Lyndon State College in Vermont where he received a bachelor's in meteorology-broadcasting and associate's in television news. He has worked as a meteorologist and reporter in Winchester, VA, Burlington, VT, and most recently in West Palm Beach, FL. He's recognized by the American Meteorological Society with the Certification of Broadcast Meteorologists.

Steven Glazier

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Congratulations to two ski resorts in Colorado for opening this Columbus Day weekend.

Midday Friday, Keystone Resort in Colorado announced it would start its lift operations Saturday morning, October 12. The mountain's representatives said it is going to be the earliest opening date in 20+ years.

https://twitter.com/KeystoneMtn/status/1182712895357874176

Shortly thereafter, nearby Arapahoe Basin announced they were opening today (Friday).

https://twitter.com/Arapahoe_Basin/status/1182743811090313216

Arapahoe Basin opened for the 2019-2020 ski season around 3:30 p.m. local time Friday. Here's what it looked like:

<img class="size-full wp-image-113864" src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2019/10/moderate.jpg" alt="" width="1920" height="1080" /> Credit: Arapahoe Basin/Ian Zinner

<img class="size-full wp-image-113866" src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2019/10/D5ecreZUEAIfJPK.jpg" alt="" width="1920" height="1080" /> Credit: Arapahoe Basin/Ian Zinner

According to Arapahoe Basin reps, Friday's opening came just 99 days after the resort closed out the 2018-2019 season and that's the shortest time between seasons!

Back to nearby Keystone Resort, here's what it looked like Friday night:

https://twitter.com/KeystoneMtn/status/1182840489084538882

Clear, calm and chilly weather will greet skiers and riders on Saturday morning. Temperatures will be in the teens for the opening of the lifts! Sunshine will warm the mountains up to the 40's by the afternoon which will feel excellent.

<img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-113867" src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2019/10/ARNING.jpg" alt="" width="1920" height="1080" /><img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-113869" src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2019/10/a1-1.jpg" alt="" width="1920" height="1080" />

The outlook for Colorado is dry through the holiday weekend with cool nights and warm afternoons. The next snow event could come in as early as Thursday-Friday of this week.

Cover picture credit: Keystone Mountain

First Ski Resorts Open In North America

Tornado Threat for Chicago Today

A surface trough will be the focus for shower

After Baseball Hail in Texas Destroys Cars, Threat Shifts West

Huge hail fell in Texas on Sunday night, hitt

Tropics: Philippe in the Atlantic, Another Wave to Watch

We are now down to one tropical wave and one

Fall Colors in Full Effect for the Rockies

Right now much of the fall foliage is seen in

Atmospheric River for Coastal Washington, Oregon & California

WEST COAST: An early-season atmospheric river

Heavy Rain for Florida the Next Few Days

Over the next few days, the State of Florida

Ophelia Makes Landfall in North Carolina, Now Post-Tropical

Ophelia made landfall around 6:15 a.m. ET on