The Midwest has been hammered by severe weather this week, including multiple tornadoes and a derecho! Another round of storms is expected Saturday, with high-end severe weather potential, including several strong tornadoes.
A low pressure system moving through the Great Plains will tap into plentiful warmth and moisture, with high-end energy giving the potential for massive hail and hurricane force wind gusts.
Wind and hail threats are expected to be the most widespread hazards and could be significant (below), but several tornadoes are also possible, including an intense tornado or two (hatched region above).
Morning storms could cause some wind and hail damage before a new round of storms blossoms in the afternoon. Some of the strongest storms could be happening close to sunset or after, so please have multiple ways to get severe weather alerts.
Intense precipitation rates are expected in Saturdays storms, producing rainfall rates of 1-2" per hour. Soils in these areas are already saturated from storms earlier in the week, which will allow for flooding to develop more quickly.
The WPC has issued a MODERATE (level 3 out of 4) excessive rainfall outlook for parts of Missouri and Kansas, meaning numerous flash flood incidents are expected. Flash flooding could be significant in these areas, meaning water could be high enough to enter homes and businesses.
