WeatherNation Meteorologists

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<p>July 21-24 is Florida's Tropical Training Week.</p><p><a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.weather.gov/jax/FloridaTropicalTrainingWeek2025">FROM NWS JACKSONVILLE: </a>National Weather Service meteorologists across the state of Florida are teaming-up before the peak of hurricane season to review recommended tropical readiness, preparedness, response and recovery actions. That's why they are offering 3&nbsp;virtual training sessions daily that ANYONE can attend - you just need access to a mobile device or computer.&nbsp;</p><p style="text-align: start">The training is free; you just need to register in advance. Up to 1,000 people can register for each training session, and they are offering 3 training sessions each day. Please know that this information is tailored for Florida residents, as we reference resources from the Florida Division of Emergency Management. However, much of the tropical training material is relevant for all living in path of tropical cyclones. &nbsp;</p><p>FIND OUT MORE: <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.weather.gov/jax/FloridaTropicalTrainingWeek2025">https://www.weather.gov/jax/FloridaTropicalTrainingWeek2025</a></p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/PKG_TRT 3.14_NWS TROPICAL TRAINING INTERVIEW_JACKIE BROWN_NWS JACKSONVILLE_BH_071525-1752635033141.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><p></p>

Patrick Crawford

Florida NWS Offers Free Tropical Training

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Alana Cameron was born and raised in Canada in the city of Mississauga, just outside of Toronto. Alana is the oldest of 4 siblings, all close in age, and grew up playing outside with them in all types of weather. After graduating high school, Alana moved to study at the University of British Columbia in Kelowna for a year before transferring to Dalhousie University in Halifax, Nova Scotia where she completed a Bachelor of Science in Physics and Atmospheric Science. Upon completion, Alana moved back to Toronto where she completed a post-grad degree in Meteorology at York University. After her post-grad, she went on to complete another post-grad in Broadcast Journalism - TV News at Fanshawe College in London, Ontario. During her final year of studies she had the privilege of interning with the best in the business in Canada at The Weather Network. Once she finished her internship, she got the call from small-town Denison, Texas where she accepted a job as an on-air meteorologist at KTEN-TV, right in tornado alley, covering severe weather from Sherman/Denison (North Texas) to Ada (Southern Oklahoma). After the most active tornado season Oklahoma had seen in May 2019 (105 tornadoes!) Alana is excited to join WeatherNation to cover weather all across the nation. If you're interested in following her on social media she can be found @alanacameronwx!

Alana Cameron

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<p><strong>ALASKA</strong> – Around 12:38 PM AKDT on July 16, a magnitude 7.3 earthquake struck about 50 miles south of Sand Point, Alaska, at a depth of approximately 12.5 miles.</p><div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1945586410540450237" src="https://x.com/NWS_NTWC/status/1945586410540450237"></div><p>According to the <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/map/?extent=22.14671,-130.16602&amp;extent=51.67256,-59.85352"><strong>USGS,</strong></a> as of 5:00 PM AKDT, more than 20 aftershocks of magnitude 3.0 or higher had been recorded. The 7.3 quake also triggered tsunami warnings across parts of Alaska.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-16 174852-1752713322268.png"></p><p>U.S. Coast Guard personnel from Base Kodiak responded to these alerts by evacuating to higher ground and deploying two ready aircrews.</p><p>For more information, visit <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="http://tsunami.gov">tsunami.gov</a> or follow <strong>@USCGArctic</strong> and <strong>@NWS_NTWC</strong>.</p>

Rob Bradley

Alaska:Tsunami Alerts Canceled After 7.3M EarthQuake

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Tracey Anthony

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<p>It has been 10 days since the devastating floods swept through the Texas Hill Country, and our hearts remain with the communities still recovering. And before they could catch their breath more rain inundated the same region once again. <span style="color: rgb(66, 66, 66)">Over the past three days, torrential rains overwhelmed rivers, roads, and communities from July 12 to July 14.</span></p><div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1944509640995197415" src="https://x.com/WeatherNation/status/1944509640995197415"></div><p><span style="color: rgb(66, 66, 66)">Emergency services were stretched thin, and </span>water rescues<span style="color: rgb(66, 66, 66)"> were carried out across the region. In </span>San Saba County<span style="color: rgb(66, 66, 66)">, a flash flood emergency was declared, and </span>search operations along the Guadalupe River were temporarily suspended<span style="color: rgb(66, 66, 66)"> due to dangerous conditions.</span></p><div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1944736134921105772" src="https://x.com/WeatherNation/status/1944736134921105772"></div><p>The Weather Prediction Center has kept a <strong>Slight </strong>risk along the Big Bend of Texas. Localized heavy rain will be possible on top of the already saturated soils, bringing more flooding concerns.</p><h1><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Web 1-1752582449839.png">Rain Forecast</h1><p>We're forecasting a few pockets of 1-3 inches of rain accumulation.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/tomer tx rain forecast-1752603263750.jpg"></p><p><strong>Flood Watches</strong> continue for Texas for the potential of continued heavy rain. Additional watches have been issued for eastern Oklahoma and Arkansas too.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Web 4-1752582717953.png">Although this week shows a significant drying trend, there will be some very isolated rain potential, mainly during the afternoon hours.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Web 3-1752582590392.png"></p><p></p><p>Tune in to WeatherNation for live updates throughout the hour.</p>

Kevin Schneider

Flash Flooding Threat Continues in Texas

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<p><strong>ATLANTA</strong> - We've reached the middle of July. That means two things: I'm getting tired of the heat and there's only baseball to watch. The All-Star Game is set to take place on Tuesday, with the first pitch around 8:00 PM EDT. The festivities are taking place this year in Truist Park in Atlanta. It doesn't have a roof. Let's see if that's going to be an issue...</p><h1>TUESDAY</h1><p>The NWS office in Peachtree City mentioned in their Area Forecast Discussion Sunday...</p><blockquote><p><em>"I feel like a broken record writing these lately,"</em></p></blockquote><p>I feel that.</p><p>Unfortunately, that means more storm chances to pitch around on Tuesday. Once they get up and going in the afternoon, they should start to dwindle closer to gametime - I guess it's good they have a later start. If I had to guess, they'll more than likely be able to get it in unscathed. However, that many people outdoors with a thunderstorm in the vicinity makes us nervous.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-15 112118-1752600088517.png">The trend over the last 24 hours could be a positive one, however. The current thinking is that whatever does develop late this afternoon could fizzle by the time the first pitch is released. But if you're heading to any festivities prior to, watch out. </p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/2025-07-15 11-22-31-1752600223340.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>

MIDSUMMER CLASSIC: Storm Chances Threaten All-Star Festivities

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<p><strong>TEXAS</strong> - Catastrophic flooding devastated portions of the Texas Hill Country on July 4, 2025, resulting in the tragic loss of 123 lives and 161 still missing, according to FEMA.</p><h4>The following is a timeline of key events leading up to and during this deadly flash flood, compiled from the Department of Homeland Security and other official sources:</h4><div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1941987740406460582" src="https://x.com/DHSgov/status/1941987740406460582"></div><h2>Wednesday July 2</h2><p>The Texas Division of Emergency Management (TDEM) activated <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://tdem.texas.gov/press-release/7-2-25"><strong>emergency response resources</strong></a> in Central Texas in anticipation of heavy rainfall and flash flooding.</p><h2>Thursday July 3</h2><p>TDEM increased its readiness level and mobilized additional <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://tdem.texas.gov/press-release/7-3-25"><strong>emergency state response</strong></a> resources for Central and West Texas as the flood threat intensified heading into the holiday weekend.</p><p>Morning:</p><ul><li><p>The National Weather Service (NWS) in Austin/San Antonio conducted a <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=EWX&amp;issuedby=EWX&amp;product=AFD&amp;format=CI&amp;version=32&amp;glossary=1"><strong>forecast briefing</strong></a> with emergency management officials, emphasizing the risk of flash flooding.</p></li><li><p>The National Water Center issued a <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.weather.gov/owp/operations-national-fho-archive-multi?d=2025-07-03T06:55:06&amp;e=2025-07-03T06:55:06"><strong>Flood Hazard Outlook</strong></a> identifying flash flood potential for Kerrville and surrounding areas.</p></li></ul><p>1:13 PM: NWS Austin/San Antonio issued a <strong>Flood Watch</strong> for Kerr County, effective through Friday morning.</p><p>6:10 PM: Weather Prediction Center (WPC) released the first of <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/archives/metwatch/mpd_archive_days.php?mpddate=07/03/2025&amp;seldate=20250703">three Mesoscale Precipitation Discussions</a> (MPD #0580, #0581, #0582), warning of excessive rainfall and flash flood potential.</p><p><img src="https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/metwatch/images/mcd0582.gif"></p><p>6:22 PM: National Water Center issued an <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.weather.gov/owp/operations-ahd-archive-multi?d=2025-07-05T06:50:36">alert </a>for "considerable flooding risk" north and west of San Antonio, including Kerrville.</p><p><img src="https://www.weather.gov/images/owp/AHD/Archive/AHD_2025-07-05T06:50:36.png"></p><p>11:41 PM: The first <strong>Flash Flood Warning</strong> was issued for Bandera County.</p><div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1940994392094875676" src="https://x.com/NWSFlashFlood/status/1940994392094875676"></div><h2>Friday July 4</h2><p>1:14 AM:<a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://x.com/NWSFlashFlood/status/1941017778992926804"> <strong>Flash Flood Warnings</strong> </a>with "considerable damage" tags were issued for Bandera and Kerr Counties, triggering Wireless Emergency Alerts (WEAs) and NOAA Weather Radio notifications.</p><p>4:03 AM: <strong>Flash Flood Warning</strong> is upgraded to a <strong>Flash Flood Emergency </strong>for south-central Kerr County, including Hunt.</p><div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1941060338822033425" src="https://x.com/NWSFlashFlood/status/1941060338822033425"></div><p>4:35 AM: Kerr County Sheriff's Office reports flooding at the low water crossing, over three hours after the initial 1:14 AM warning.</p><p>4:35 AM: A US Geological Survey (USGS) gauge on the Guadalupe River recorded a river level of 29.5 feet.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-09 155734-1752108463877.png">5:10 AM: National Water Center <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.weather.gov/owp/operations-ahd-archive?d=2025-07-04">warned</a> of "widespread, considerable, and catastrophic flooding."</p><p><img src="https://www.weather.gov/images/owp/AHD/Archive/AHD_2025-07-04T06:15:36.png">5:34 AM: <strong>Flash Flood Emergency</strong> is issued for the Guadalupe River, signaling a "large and deadly flood wave."</p><div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1941083202749161589" src="https://x.com/NWSFlashFlood/status/1941083202749161589"></div><p>5:45 AM - A USGS gauge recorded the Guadalupe River at 34.29 feet - an extreme and life-threatening level.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-09 163021-1752108484878.png">The rest of the day brought devastation to communities throughout the region.</p><p>9:00 PM - Governor Greg Abbott issued a <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://gov.texas.gov/news/post/governor-abbott-statement-on-hill-country-flooding-"><strong>formal statement </strong></a>and signed a disaster declaration for the impacted areas.</p><div class="fb-post" data-href="https://www.facebook.com/TexasGovernor/posts/1268547011592046?ref=embed_post" data-width="500" src="https://www.facebook.com/TexasGovernor/posts/1268547011592046?ref=embed_post" style="display: flex; justify-content: center"></div><p></p><p>For more on the unfolding aftermath and how to support those affected, visit: <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.weathernationtv.com/news/ways-to-help-texas-flood-victims#google_vignette"><strong>Ways to Help Texas Flood Victims</strong>.</a></p>

Timeline: How Catastrophic Flooding Unfolded in Texas Hill Country

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<p><strong>TEXAS -</strong> The death toll has risen to 123 in Texas after devastating flooding swept through the Texas Hill Country. Of those fatalities, at least 98 are from Kerr County, including several children who were at Camp Mystic. 160 are still missing.</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/LL_TRT 1.24_INTERVIEWING PARENT ABOUT HIS CHILDREN BEING RESCUED FROM FLOODED CAMP_DROPBOX_JONATHAN PETRAMALA_LS_E070425-1751840172130.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><p><br>Rescue and recovery efforts have been ongoing since the morning of July 4th. Several relief organizations are on the ground as the long road to recovery begins. Below are some of those organizations.</p><p><strong>Minuteman Disaster Response:</strong>&nbsp;</p><p></p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/MINUTEMAN INTERVIEW FOR TEXAS ARTICLE-1751993643129.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><p>Minuteman Disaster Response is dedicated to helping those impacted by natural disasters. Minuteman specializes in assisting local emergency response units, debris removal, and more. &nbsp;</p><p>To learn more about Minuteman and how you can help their mission, you can visit their website: <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.minutemanresponse.org/"><u>https://www.minutemanresponse.org/</u></a>&nbsp;</p><p>&nbsp;<strong>Mercy Chefs:</strong>&nbsp;</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/070625_Mercy Chefs_WeatherNation-1751839894110.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><p>Mercy Chefs is a Virginia-based nonprofit specializing in disaster relief. The organization is located in Kerr County, serving hot, chef-prepared meals to victims, first responders, and volunteers impacted by catastrophic flooding. &nbsp;</p><p>Mercy Chef’s first meal went out on July 5 to first responders and search and rescue crews.</p><p>To assist with Mercy Chefs' relief efforts, you can learn more at their website: <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="http://give.mercychefs.com/texas-flood-250704"><u>http://give.mercychefs.com/texas-flood-250704</u></a>&nbsp;</p><p>&nbsp;<strong>Red Cross:</strong>&nbsp;</p><p>The American Red Cross continues its 162-year mission of assisting others in times of need by providing relief to those impacted by the Texas flooding. Your donations will help provide shelter, relief supplies, emotional support, and more.&nbsp;</p><p>Visit the Red Cross’s website to learn more about how to help: <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.redcross.org/">https://www.redcross.org/</a>&nbsp;</p><h3>Team Rubicon:</h3><div data-youtube-video=""><iframe width="640" height="480" allowfullscreen="false" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/Pt9rvQS5HyM" start="0"></iframe></div><p>The veteran-led nonprofit organization has deployed three recon teams that are helping assess the needs of those in Texas. Greyshirt volunteers are staffing a Volunteer Reception Center, where local residents can request aid or offer help.</p><p>Visit Team Rubicon's website to learn more and find out how to help: <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://teamrubiconusa.org/">https://teamrubiconusa.org/</a></p><h3>United Cajun Navy:</h3><p>A grassroots nonprofit organization that formed in the aftermath of Hurricane Katrina in 2005, the United Cajun Navy specializes in delivering life-saving rescue efforts, humanitarian aid, and logistical support in areas severely impacted by catastrophic events. The Cajun Navy has been helping with search and rescue efforts in the Kerrville area after the devastating July 4th&nbsp;flooding event, as well as providing comfort to those impacted by the disaster.&nbsp;</p><p>To learn more about the Cajun Navy's efforts and how you can support their cause, visit their website: &nbsp;<a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://unitedcajunnavy.org/">https://unitedcajunnavy.org/</a></p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/CAJUN NAVY - CHAPLIN-1752169794089.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><h3>Mission Mules:</h3><p>Mission Mules provides a unique approach to disaster response: using mule trains to delivery much needed supplies to areas cut off by disasters. The organization strives to provide immediate relief, but also enduring hope and encouragement. If you've ever heard a mule's hee-haw before, you already know the smile that it brings to people's faces. But just imagine hearing that sound as it brings food, water, and medical supplies to those that need it most in the heart of a disaster.&nbsp;</p><p>To learn more about Mission Mules and how you can help their mission, visit their website: <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://missionmules.org/">https://missionmules.org/</a></p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/MISSION MULES - 071025-1752169857916.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>

Ways To Help Texas Flood Victims

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<p><em>Image Above: Map of the U.S. selected significant climate anomalies and events in June 2025</em></p><h4><strong>CREDIT: NOAA</strong></h4><p>Summer’s arrival was marked by a widespread June heatwave; dry conditions in the Northwest contrasted with wet conditions in the central and southern U.S. A widespread late-June heatwave impacted much of the central and eastern U.S. and brought record-setting temperatures. More than 100 million people across 726 counties experienced record heat from June 22–25.</p><h2><strong>Temperature</strong></h2><p>The average temperature for the contiguous U.S. (CONUS) in June 2025 was 71.2°F, 2.8°F above the 20th-century average, and ranked seventh warmest in the 131-year record. Temperatures were above average across most of the Lower 48, with much-above-average warmth affecting large areas of the western third of the country, along with parts of the Florida Peninsula, Mid-Atlantic, Northeast and Great Lakes regions. Rhode Island saw its second-warmest June on record and its warmest for nighttime minimum temperatures, which were 5.8°F above average.</p><p>Alaska’s average temperature for June was 50.8°F, 1.6°F above the long-term average and ranking in the warmest third of the 101-year record. While parts of the southeast Panhandle were slightly cooler than average, the North Slope was notably warm at more than 3 degrees above average.</p><p>The average temperature for the CONUS during the first half of 2025 (January–June) was 49.6°F, 2.1°F above the 20th-century average, ranking in the warmest third of the 131-year record. All states recorded temperatures above their long-term averages for the six-month period, with much-above-average warmth observed across parts of the West, Southwest and portions of the East Coast. Alaska’s year-to-date average temperature was 26.8°F, 5.5°F above its long-term average, tying as the fourth-warmest January–June in the 101-year record.</p><p></p><p><em><img src="https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/sites/g/files/anmtlf171/files/inline-images/tave-anom-202506.png" alt="Map of the U.S. showing temperature departures from average for June 2025 with warmer areas in gradients of red and cooler areas in gradients of blue." title="Map of the U.S. showing temperature departures from average for June 2025 with warmer areas in gradients of red and cooler areas in gradients of blue."></em></p><p><em>Photo: June U.S. Mean Temperature Departures from Average Map</em></p><h2><strong>Precipitation</strong></h2><p>The average precipitation for the contiguous U.S. in June was 3.22 inches, 0.30 inch above the long-term average, ranking in the wettest third of the 131-year record. Much of the Southwest, the southern and central Plains, the middle and upper Mississippi Valley, parts of the Ohio Valley and Great Lakes region and areas of the Deep South recorded above-average rainfall. In contrast, drier-than-average conditions prevailed from the central West Coast through the Northwest and into the Rockies. The Northwest region experienced its third-driest June on record—and driest since 2003—with Washington and Oregon each receiving less than half an inch of rain for the month. Parts of north-central California and south-central Washington recorded no measurable rainfall for the entire month.</p><p>For the January–June period, the CONUS averaged 15.70 inches of precipitation, 0.40 inch above the long-term average, ranking in the middle third of the 131-year record. Most of the western half of the country, along with a narrow band from the central Plains through the mid-Mississippi Valley and parts of the Southeast, were drier than average. Above-average precipitation was recorded from the southern Plains through the lower Mississippi and Ohio Valleys into the Northeast, as well as in parts of the northern Plains and upper Mississippi Valley.</p><p>Alaska received 2.32 inches of precipitation in June, which was near the long-term average. Conditions were drier than average across the eastern interior and North Slope but wetter than normal in the western and southwestern parts of the state. For the first half of the year, Alaska recorded 16.58 inches of precipitation, 2.96 inches above average, marking its fifth-wettest start to the year on record.</p><p></p><p><em><img src="https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/sites/g/files/anmtlf171/files/inline-images/grid-ranks-prcp-202506.png" alt="Map of the U.S. showing precipitation percentiles for June 2025 with wetter areas in gradients of green and drier areas in gradients of brown." title="Map of the U.S. showing precipitation percentiles for June 2025 with wetter areas in gradients of green and drier areas in gradients of brown."></em></p><p><em>Photo: June 2025 U.S. Total Precipitation Percentiles</em></p><h3><strong>Drought</strong></h3><p>According to the July 1 <a target="_blank" rel="noopener" class="ext" href="https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DmData/DataTables.aspx"><u>U.S. Drought Monitor report</u></a>, about 32.4% of the contiguous U.S. was in drought, an increase of approximately 2.8% since the beginning of the month. Drought developed or intensified across much of the Northwest through the Rocky Mountains and in small areas of the Alaskan interior. Conversely, drought contracted or was reduced in intensity across parts of the Southwest and southern Texas, the central and northern Plains, the upper Mississippi Valley, and parts of Florida.</p><h2><strong>Monthly Outlook</strong></h2><p>July temperatures are expected to be above normal across the entire contiguous U.S., with the highest likelihood of warmer-than-average conditions in the Mountain West, southern Texas and throughout much of the Great Lakes and the Northeast. For rainfall, parts of the Northwest and the southern and central Plains are expected to be drier than normal, while the interior East is favored to have a wetter-than-average July. Drought is likely to persist across much of the western U.S. in July, with some further development in the Northwest, while improvement is expected across southeastern Arizona, southern New Mexico and far West Texas, where above-average rainfall is favored.</p><p>Visit the Climate Prediction Center’s <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/30day/"><u>Official 30-Day Forecasts</u></a> and <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/expert_assessment/mdo_summary.php"><u>U.S. Monthly Drought Outlook</u></a> website for more details.</p><p>Significant wildland fire potential is above normal for July across the Northwest, Hawaii and Puerto Rico. For additional information on wildland fire potential, visit the National Interagency Fire Center’s <a target="_blank" rel="noopener" class="ext" href="https://www.nifc.gov/nicc/predictive/outlooks/month1_outlook.png"><u>One-Month Wildland Fire Outlook</u></a>.</p><p>For more detailed climate information, check out NOAA's comprehensive <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/monthly-report/"><u>June 2025 U.S. Climate Report</u></a> scheduled for release on July 14, 2025. For additional information on the statistics provided here, visit the <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/climate-at-a-glance/"><u>Climate at a Glance</u></a> and <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/us-maps/"><u>National Maps</u></a> webpages.</p>

Assessing the U.S. Climate in June 2025

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<p>Heavy rainfall was tough to move late Tuesday night in the Chicagoland area. With some highly localized areas picking up 3-5 inches of rain, flash flooding was imminent.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-09 062800-1752064653285.jpg"></p><p>Showers pushed in around 9-10 PM CDT and didn't end until after midnight. By then, the efficient rain-producer left several motorists stranded as the water swamped many areas of the metro. </p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/2025-07-09 06-34-14-1752064661596.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><p>The crosshairs of the storms will slide east into Michigan. Some could produce damaging winds into this afternoon, including around the Detroit metro area. This isn't expected to be a severe weather outbreak, however, with the Storm Prediction Center highlighting this area with a MARGINAL severe outlook. </p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-09 063948-1752065063024.jpg"></p><p></p>

Chicago Inundated With Heavy Rain Overnight

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<p>Multiple <strong>Flash Flood Emergencies</strong> were issued Friday morning and again Saturday morning as heavy rainfall moved through portions of the Texas Hill Country. Several locations accumulated over a foot of rainfall in a short amount of time, including San Angelo, which recorded almost 13" of rainfall. The yearly average of rainfall for San Angelo is around 21".</p><p>A second bullseye emerged near Round Rock, TX with over 20 inches of rain in Bertram, TX.</p><div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1941655838403526721" src="https://x.com/WeatherNation/status/1941655838403526721"></div><h1>FRIDAY</h1><p>As storms ignited Friday, they were largely anchored in the same position all night. Rainfall rates of 3-4 inches per hour started to pile up. Add into that the topography of the Texas Hill Country and we had a recipe for disaster.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/tomer tx totals-1751848097770.jpg"></p><p></p><div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1941108484847886805" src="https://x.com/NWSSanAngelo/status/1941108484847886805"></div><p>All of the heavy rain that fell became focused into the Guadalupe River that runs through the area.</p><div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1941126276699619470" src="https://x.com/WeatherNation/status/1941126276699619470"></div><p></p><p></p><h1>SATURDAY</h1><p>Another nearly stationary cluster of storms developed overnight. Areas just west of Round Rock have already picked up more than 12 inches of rain since earlier this morning.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-05 162329-1751754216251.png"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/1-1751768546910.png">As rivers rise again, please heed Flash Flood Warnings and get to higher ground as soon as they're issued.</p><h1>WHAT HAPPENED?</h1><p>A mesoscale convective vortex (MCV) was spinning around the area the past few mornings. That helps generate showers and storms - it's its own low-pressure system. That spun its way through a very moist airmass. But without any upper-level winds to help push these storms anywhere, it rained and rained over the same places for extended periods of time.</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/2025-07-05 07-30-23-1751724329889.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>

Catastrophic Flooding in the Texas Hill Country

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<p style="margin: 0in; margin-bottom: .0001pt;"><span style="font-size: 13.5pt; color: #454545;">Rob grew up in South Florida, where daily afternoon storms and hurricanes piqued his interest in meteorology early on. That interest was fostered by his teachers and his father, who one time brought him onto the roof of their home to watch a funnel cloud move through the Everglades several miles away. Years of filmmaking and tv production in high school gradually pushed him toward broadcast meteorology at Florida State University, where he joined and eventually led the student run daily weather show. After graduating with a Bachelors of Science in Meteorology, he began his career at KESQ in Palm Springs, California before heading to KFSN in Fresno and WLOS in Asheville, North Carolina. He has covered a diverse array of extreme weather events, including haboobs and flash flooding in the desert, extreme snow in the Sierra, hurricanes, and Appalachian ice storms. He also enjoys telling stories and reporting about weather issues.

Connect with Rob on <a href="https://twitter.com/WxRobBradley">Twitter</a></span></p>

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<p>Hundreds of thousands of households are dealing with power outages Saturday morning, many are also dealing with significant tree damage, after a derecho ripped through North Dakota and Minnesota Friday night into Saturday morning. The derecho brought wind gusts of 70 -105 mph to the region spanning over 400 miles, producing an impressive shelf cloud along it's leading edge (video below).</p><div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1936265319775191439" src="https://x.com/WeatherNation/status/1936265319775191439"></div><h2>What is a derecho?</h2><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/Screenshot 2025-06-21 053614-1750505847380.png">A derecho is a long-lived severe wind event, with specific criteria about the length and width of the damaging wind swath. The <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.spc.noaa.gov/misc/AbtDerechos/derechofacts.htm"><strong><u>SPC has a detailed page</u></strong></a> dedicated to these destructive wind storms. Several typically occur each year, through they can vary in intensity and area. A notable <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.weathernationtv.com/news/one-year-ago-the-midwest-derecho"><strong><u>derecho ripped through Des Moines in 2020</u></strong></a>, producing hurricane force winds and widespread damage.</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/2025-06-21 05-35-48-1750505871964.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><p>All criteria appear to have been met Friday night and Saturday morning to classify this event as a derecho. Regardless, widespread wind damage has been reported with many trees and powerlines down. Several tornadoes did occur in addition to the straight-line winds.</p><h2>Reports</h2><p>Wind gusts in North Dakota and Minnesota (as well as northern South Dakota) were impressive, many over hurricane strength. A wake-low also developed behind the leading edge, producing severe strength winds (58+ mph) in some locations for over an hour!</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/Screenshot 2025-06-21 053620-1750505847379.png">Bemidji, Minnesota was hit particularly hard in the overnight hours as a intense bout of winds moved through the area, with a tornado potentially embedded in the circulation. The Bemidji Regional Airport reported a gust to 106 mph, with widespread damage reported in the area.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/Screenshot 2025-06-21 053627-1750505847378.png">The widely spanning severe winds have left hundreds of thousands of households in the dark as of Saturday morning, with some counties reporting well over 60-60% of customers without power. As a reminder, if you're going to run a generator to power anything keep it at least 25 feet away from any opening in your home, like windows and doors.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/1-1750541351436.png"></p>

Jesse Kelley

Derecho Tears Through North Dakota and Minnesota Friday

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<p><strong>JUNE 11, 2025</strong></p><p>The folks at Colorado State planned on updating the outlook today and they did - no changes. They're still expecting a ENSO neutral regime to persist through the Hurricane Season. That, with above average sea surface temperatures (but not as hot as last year) should still point to a busy season. Their next update to the outlook is scheduled for July 9, with another adjustment August 6. </p><p></p><p><strong>APRIL 3, 2025</strong></p><p><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0)">Today, meteorologists and research scientists at </span><a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://tropical.colostate.edu/forecasting.html"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0)">Colorado State University (CSU)</span></a><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0)"> have released their outlook for the 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season. Dr. Phil Klotzbach and the Tropical Meteorology Project at CSU are among the first to issue an outlook for the season. Early predictions expect this year's hurricane season to be busier than average. This year they anticipate 17 named storms, 9 of which will become hurricanes and 4 of those are expected to become major hurricanes (CAT 3 or greater).</span></p><div data-youtube-video=""><iframe width="640" height="480" allowfullscreen="false" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/NpwxsMmHDIU" start="0"></iframe></div><p>Forecast factors that contributed to their above average outlook focus on the El Nino/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and sea surface temperatures. In the coming months, a transition to ENSO neutral is expected. That usually does not give a strong single for an above or below average season. However, by the end of the summer into early fall (climatological peak of hurricane season), a potential transition to La Nina is forecast. There is not much certainty on the likelihood or intensity of that La Nina transition, though. Nonetheless, an absence of El Nino which traditionally suppresses hurricane activity is enough to warrant an above average forecast.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/04/Screenshot 2025-04-03 081623-1743689797271.png"></p><p>Sea surface temperatures in the tropical Atlantic remain above average this year. SSTs are not as warm as last year's historic levels, but remain warm enough to fuel storm development later in the season.</p><div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1907795220374188228" src="https://x.com/philklotzbach/status/1907795220374188228"></div><p></p>

Chris Tomer

CSU Updates Their Tropical Outlook

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<p>Okay. Explanation needed. Dr. Jim is the only father at WeatherNation (of humans). That's why I jar you, the reader, with his headshot. Capeesh? Alright, let's get into that forecast for Dad! Here's what we're looking at for Father's Day.</p><h1>SWEATY DADS</h1><p>Most of the country will be hot and muggy in the 80s and 90s, and the southwest will take the cake for warmest. There is one exception, that is the northeast, which is stuck in the cooler 60s.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/Web 6-1749981079865.png"></p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/Day1SVR-1749925772739.png">As a ridge of high pressure builds in the desert southwest, temperatures have started soaring. By Saturday and Sunday, areas like Phoenix will top out beyond 110°, prompting heat alerts. While this likely won't threaten any record highs for the area, it is still the hottest temperatures we've seen this year. Make sure Dad's drinking water early and often!</p><h1>TOUGH TIME LIGHTING THE GRILL</h1><p>We're monitoring a few areas of low pressure that could rain on your Father's Day parade. The High Plains to Upper Midwest could see some strong to severe thunderstorms as back-to-back surface lows slide through. Lots of Gulf moisture will be moving through the heart of the country, fueling shower and thunderstorm chances from the Front Range of the Rockies to the Mississippi valley. We're also watching a potent system moving into the Mid-Atlantic that could bring heavy rain and flooding into early next week.</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/New Baron Video 3-1749956013851.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><p></p><p>Of course, the Northeast is used to this, so they assumed this was going to happen, I'm sure! Syracuse hasn't seen a weekend yet in 2025 that hasn't had at least a trace of precipitation.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/Screenshot 2025-06-11 105535-1749660945836.png"></p><p>Tune in to WeatherNation TV for your latest forecast update - <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.weathernationtv.com/watch-us">How to Watch</a></p>

HAPPY FATHER'S DAY: Here is the Forecast

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Meteorologist Jesse Kelley is excited to join the talented staff at Weather Nation. Jesse spent most of his childhood in Birmingham, Alabama. The state of Alabama is prone to seeing various types of weather from severe thunderstorms, tornadoes, hurricanes, and winter weather. For college, Jesse attended the University of South Alabama where he received his degree in Broadcast Meteorology along with minors in Math and Geography. From Alabama, Jesse started his broadcast television working three years at KAVU-TV in Victoria. Recently, he finished a stint in Shreveport, LA. Jesse and his wife are looking forward to making the Rocky Mountains and Colorado home. If you would like to follow me, you can follow me on Twitter @JesseKelleywx and on Facebook at Meteorologist Jesse Kelley.

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<p><strong>MCS</strong> - A common summertime storm phenomenon, but what is it?&nbsp;MCS stands for <strong><em>Mesoscale Convective System, </em></strong>a term used to describe an organized cluster of thunderstorms that lasts for several hours and can span multiple states.</p><div data-youtube-video=""><iframe width="640" height="480" allowfullscreen="false" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/f2EIy0J8vy0" start="0"></iframe></div><p></p><p>During the summer, MCSs often form overnight as individual afternoon thunderstorms merge into larger storm complexes. These systems are commonly linear in structure, forming squall lines that stretch for miles. The primary threats associated with MCSs include <strong>damaging winds</strong> and <strong>torrential rainfall</strong>, though <strong>hail</strong> and even <strong>tornadoes</strong> can also occur.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/Screenshot 2025-06-04 141540-1749068154691.png"></p><p>There are different types of MCSs:</p><ul><li><p><strong>MCC (Mesoscale Convective Complex):</strong> A large, circular, and long-lived cluster of storms.</p></li><li><p><strong>Mesoscale Convective Vortex:</strong> A rarer form that can resemble a small hurricane.</p></li><li><p><strong>Derecho:</strong> An especially destructive wind-driven MCS capable of causing widespread damage across hundreds of miles.</p></li></ul><p>Understanding the risks associated with these systems is key. Always have multiple ways to receive weather alerts—especially at night, when many MCS events tend to occur.</p>

What is an MCS?

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<p><strong>JUNE 1 - </strong>Today marks the beginning of <strong>meteorological summer. </strong>Meteorologists measure seasons using three-month periods for easier record keeping, which means Meteorological Summer lasts from June 1 until August 31.<br><br><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/09/Screenshot 2024-09-02 203921-1725331171022.jpg">Astronomical summer, or the summer solstice, will happen on Friday, June 20th at 10:42 PM E.T. this year.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/05/Screenshot 2025-05-31 181808-1748737115612.png">So, welcome to summer! The weather outlook from the Climate Prediction Center shows much of the Lower 48 having higher chances of remaining warmer-than-average for June, July, and August.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/05/Screenshot 2025-05-31 175159-1748736967107.png">This does not mean it won't get chilly or cool. Short-term cold weather patterns will still be possible. But when the three months is summed up, it will likely be warmer-than-average.</p><p>The outlook for June, July, and August calls for drier-than-average weather for parts of the Rockies, northwest, and the Plains. The East Coast looks likely to be above average for precipitation.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/05/Screenshot 2025-05-31 175204-1748737011825.png"></p>

Jackie Brown

JUNE 1 - Happy Meteorological Summer

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Karissa is the Director of On-Air Operations at WeatherNation. Karissa grew up loving math and science, but really fell in love with Meteorology while attending the College of DuPage in Glen Ellyn, Illinois. After two summers of storm chasing in the central plains, she knew that it was the career path for her. Standing in front of a thunderstorm and feeling the cool outflow knock her over was an experience she will never forget. After two years at COD, she transferred to Metropolitan State University of Denver. Karissa graduated Magna Cum Laude with a Bachelors of Science in Meteorology. Her high school and college speech and meteorology professors were extremely supportive and pushed her to succeed. Before joining the WeatherNation team, she previously worked as the Morning Meteorologist at KCAU-TV in Sioux City, Iowa and at WMBD-TV in Peoria, IL. She recently was part of a National Edward R. Murrow award winning team for breaking news for their coverage of the EF-4 tornado in Washington, Illinois. In her free time, Karissa enjoys cooking and trying new foods. She is a self proclaimed 'TV Junkie' who can get into just about any show. She is a die hard Chicago sports fan who loves attending professional sporting events.

Karissa Klos

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<p>WeatherNation's "Hurricane Preparedness Week" is here from May 26- June 1. Join us as we help you get your plan together, understand the science behind tropical systems, and much more so you can be prepared. Whether you live on the coastline or inland, it is important to <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.ready.gov/hurricanes">know your risks</a> when it comes to tropical systems.&nbsp; Coastal communities are most at risk of destructive winds, dangerous storm surge, and are more likely to have to evacuate. Communities even hundreds of miles away from coastlines are still at risk, with the threat of high winds, flooding rainfall, severe weather &amp; tornadoes, and the longer-lasting threat of flooding and power outages that could occur days or weeks after a storm hits.</p><p>Between Hurricanes Beryl, Helene and Milton, here's a look back at what happened last year:</p><div data-youtube-video=""><iframe width="640" height="480" allowfullscreen="false" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/2RO-HrmdaZg" start="0"></iframe></div><h1>KNOW YOUR RISKS</h1><p>After a destructive and dangerous 2024 hurricane season, we are looking ahead to 2025. Hurricane season begins on May 15 for the Eastern Pacific Basin, and on June 1 for the Atlantic basin.</p><p><a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.weathernationtv.com/news/noaa-predicts-above-average-2025-hurricane-season"><strong>WHAT'S THE FORECAST THIS SEASON?</strong></a> Forecasters from NOAA have issued their 2025 Season Outlook for Atlantic Basin.&nbsp;Early predictions expect this year's hurricane season to be busier than average. This year they anticipate 13-19 named storms, 6-10 of which expected to become hurricanes and 3-5 of those to become major hurricanes (CAT 3 or greater).</p><p>This year is expected to be above average thanks to warm sea surface temperatures in the tropical Atlantic. Although we aren’t expecting the same extreme, record-breaking ocean heat from the last two years. While ENSO Neutral conditions are forecast to develop this summer, La Niña conditions that traditionally support tropical development <em>could</em> sneak back in by the fall. Despite uncertainty, forecasters feel that the <em>lack</em> of El Niño conditions is enough to warrant an active forecast.<span style="color: rgb(255, 0, 0)"> </span>El Niño means would mean warmer-than-normal water in the central and eastern [tropical] Pacific Ocean. That tends to create more wind shear to tear apart hurricanes in the Atlantic. Because El Niño is not expected to limit development, more hurricanes may form.</p><p>While seasonal outlooks give us some idea of what to expect, there is no way to know for certain just what the season will have in store for YOUR area.&nbsp; Seasonal outlooks cannot forecast exactly when, where, or if storm will strike. Remember, it only takes <em>one</em> to impact your area to become a "bad season".&nbsp; So, it's important to prepare before a storm threatens.</p><p>In preparation for the upcoming season, NOAA's National Hurricane Center is incorporating new tools and processes to keep the public better informed. Here's what's new this season:</p><div data-youtube-video=""><iframe width="640" height="480" allowfullscreen="false" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/-Jaz3KuoQH0" start="0"></iframe></div><p></p><p><strong>LIVE INLAND? YOU AREN'T IMMUNE TO HURRICANES!</strong> Even if you live nowhere near a coastline, impacts from tropical systems can still occur. This lesson was learned during Hurricane Helene with historic, catastrophic flooding as far north as North Carolina. Inland rain and water are the deadliest parts of Tropical Storms and the impacts can spread far away from the immediate coastline.</p><p><strong>UNDERSTANDING STORM SURGE</strong> Along the coast, storm surge is often the greatest threat to life and property from a hurricane.&nbsp;&nbsp;<a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/surge/">Storm surge</a> has come along with some of the most powerful storms in history.</p><h1>PREPARE AT HOME</h1><p><strong>GET YOUR SUPPLY KIT READY</strong> Once your know your risks, you should put together an essential hurricane supply kit. There are two types of "kits" you should put together: one if you're sheltering at your home during a storm, and one that you can grab and go should you need to evacuate. <em>Get your supplies ready to shelter at home </em><a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.fema.gov/media-library-data/1e04d512b273e2133cb865833cc0e32d/FEMA_checklist_parent_508_071513.pdf"><em>Click here for a full list of essentials from FEMA</em></a><em>&nbsp;</em></p><p><strong>Additional Helpful Tips:&nbsp;</strong></p><ul><li><p>Learn much more and get storm ready by visiting<a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.ready.gov/hurricanes"> Ready.Gov/Hurricanes</a></p></li><li><p>Make sure your home is <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://ibhs.org/hurricanereadyhome/">Hurricane Ready with IBHS</a></p><div data-youtube-video=""><iframe width="640" height="480" allowfullscreen="false" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/CtOc6QSMF5w" start="0"></iframe></div></li><li><p><a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.floodsmart.gov/">Check your insurance coverage</a>. If you are uninsured, apply BEFORE a storm threatens, as it may be too late if you wait</p><div data-youtube-video=""><iframe width="640" height="480" allowfullscreen="false" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/DAG1bDazICU" start="0"></iframe></div></li><li><p>Sign up for emergency alerts with your local county, city, or town to ensure you are receiving the most up to date information before and during a storm.</p></li><li><p>Talk through your emergency plan with your family ahead of hurricane season</p></li><li><p>Understand<a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml"> tropical weather terminology</a></p></li></ul><h1>ABOUT THE SCIENCE</h1><p>We get it. There's A LOT of jargon, phrases, and information that can make understanding tropical cyclones difficult. Understanding the basics may help when a storm threatens.</p><p><strong>WATCHES VS. WARNINGS</strong> Do you know the difference between a watch and a warning? What about all of the alerts issued during tropical season? Whenever a tropical cyclone (a tropical depression, tropical storm, or hurricane) or a subtropical storm has formed in the Atlantic or eastern North Pacific, the NOAA National Hurricane Center (NHC) issues tropical cyclone advisory products<em>&nbsp;at least</em> every 6 hours at 5 am, 11 am, 5 pm, and 11 pm EDT. A WATCH is issued when hurricane, tropical storm or storm surge conditions are expected within 48 hours. A WARNING is issued when life-threatening conditions are expected within 36 hours.</p><p><strong>WHAT IS THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE?</strong> The Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale is a 1 to 5 rating based on a hurricane's sustained wind speed, with 5 being the highest. This scale estimates potential property damage. Hurricanes reaching Category 3 and higher are considered major hurricanes because of their potential for significant loss of life and damage. Category 1 and 2 storms are still dangerous, however, and require preventative measures.&nbsp; (<a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php"><em>Source: NHC</em></a>)</p><p><strong>UNDERSTANDING THE FORECAST "CONE"</strong> Listening to forecast details can mean the difference between being prepared and caught off guard. Before a storm strikes, you'll often see a forecast "cone" to represent the expected forecast track of a system. The forecast cone <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutcone.shtml"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0)">represents the probable track of the center of a tropical cyclone</span></a><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0)">. The width of the cone is based on historical forecast error percentage and uncertainty in the forecast. In 2024, NHC released an experimental version of the cone to not just communicate the center track, but to also show the widespread nature of potential impacts. They plan to fine tune and continue to use this concurrently until it becomes the primary forecast.</span></p><div data-youtube-video=""><iframe width="640" height="480" allowfullscreen="false" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/8klF8QpFKm8" start="0"></iframe></div><p><strong>WHAT PART OF A HURRICANE IS THE MOST POWERFUL?</strong> When a hurricane threatens landfall, most often the most impacts will be felt on the "front right quadrant" in relation to the direction of movement. Impacts can and will be felt on all "sides" of a storm, but the threat of highest winds, storm surge, and indirect impacts, such as tornadoes, are often increased in the front right quadrant.</p><h1>LOOKING BACK AT HURRICANE IKE</h1><p><span style="color: rgb(255, 255, 255)">We sat down with Dr. Jim Siebert and Meteorologist Dave Holder to talk about their experiences living through Hurricane Ike in 2008. Jim and Dave go through what it was like leading up to landfall, and how this historic storm changed the came for hurricane forecasting and communication.</span></p><div data-youtube-video=""><iframe width="640" height="480" allowfullscreen="false" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/Syi3clkTk0w" start="0"></iframe></div><h1>HURRICANE TRIVIA</h1><p>Think you know everything about Hurricanes? Test your knowledge in "Weather or Not".</p><div data-youtube-video=""><iframe width="640" height="480" allowfullscreen="false" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/F6gW2fvuXoQ" start="0"></iframe></div><p>Still have questions? Be sure to watch Hurricane Prep Week on WeatherNation, or get in touch with us on <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.facebook.com/WeatherNation/">Facebook</a> or<a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://x.com/WeatherNation"> X</a>.</p>

Hurricane Prep Week 2025

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Brittany Lockley

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<p>A cold front that brought record lows to the northern Plains has pushed south and stalled out. For Friday, another frontal boundary will lift back to the north as a warm front, setting the stage for renewed severe thunderstorms through tonight.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-17 211107-1752808272967.png"></p><h1>Severe Weather Outlook</h1><h2>Forecast Timing</h2><p>Both the warm front and the next cold front wrapping back around will act as focal points for storm development. Chances for severe storms will persist through at least the first part of the weekend.</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Forecast-1752873368349.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><p>A severe risk area has been highlighted by the SPC for both Friday and again on Saturday.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-18 071948-1752844832546.png"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-18 071956-1752844832548.png">All modes of severe weather will be in the forecast. This does include increasing confidence for tornadoes over areas of the Missouri River Valley.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-18 072010-1752844855374.png">Stay with WeatherNation for the latest.</p>

Fronts Continue To Spark Severe Weather Across the Plains

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<p>Extreme heat continues to impact several areas of the lower 48 thanks to a few strong ridges of high pressure. These areas will eventually combine into one large ridge over the Central U.S. next week, bringing an extended heat wave to the region.<br><br>The end this week, these ridges are keeping areas along the Atlantic Coast and near the Mississippi River hot and humid!</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-17 061243-1752754371260.png"></p><h2>MS Valley / Ozarks</h2><p>Extreme Heat and Heat advisories are in effect across the South through Friday. For example, some heat index values could reach over 110 degrees in Arkansas, Tennessee, and Mississippi. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-18 053856-1752838779216.png"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-18 054942-1752839435070.png"></p><h1>Carolinas</h1><p>Since the cold front has not cleared the Carolinas, heat alerts remain in effect for parts of the coastal areas on Friday. Highs will be in the 90s and heat index values over 100-110 degrees.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-18 053901-1752839235155.png"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-18 055014-1752839425906.png"></p><h1>Florida</h1><p>Florida will also have dangerous heat index values thanks to plenty of sub-tropical moisture in place. While highs will mostly be in the low to mid-90s, heat index values are expected to top 105-110 for many areas.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Day1SVR-1752878922469.png"></p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-18 053923-1752839277121.png"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-18 054749-1752839277119.png"></p><h2>Looking Ahead</h2><p>Forecast trends over the next 6-10 days continue to favor above-average temperatures across much of the country, especially for the middle of the U.S. Temperatures are expected to soar into the triple digits for several locations! Stay weather-aware and take heat seriously.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/2-1752808530217.png"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-18 055122-1752839498113.png"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-18 055128-1752839504400.png"></p>

Extreme Heat Impacts for the East Coast & South

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<p>A cold front pushing through the Eastern Seaboard was responsible for dozens of reports of flash flooding on Monday, so much so that the Governor of New Jersey declared a State of Emergency for flash flooding. The subway system in New York City saw quickly rising waters.</p><div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1945122429342282186" src="https://x.com/WeatherNation/status/1945122429342282186"></div><p>Many areas broke numerous records for the day! NYC's Central Park clocked in 2.07" of rainfall in <strong>one hour</strong>. That makes it the second-highest one-hour rainfall total to ever be recorded in Central Park.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-15 061632-1752581880381.jpg"></p><h2>More Flooding is Possible: Through Sunday</h2><p>A cold front is now moving through the Northeast. Most of New England is expected to be dry on Friday. However, the Mid-Atlantic and Ohio Valley regions remain very muggy as the front stalls and the storm system rolls in. A Flood Watch has been issued from SE Ohio through the Outer Banks of North Carolina.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-18 052002-1752837643495.png">More scattered showers and storms are possible on Friday along the stalled boundary. For the upcoming weekend, the Northeast can expect more scattered showers and thunderstorms as the next system from the Midwest swings eastward, bringing the severe weather threat back to the north (to Boston) by Sunday.</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Forecast-1752872992124.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><p>Heavy rain will be possible with many of the stronger storms through the weekend.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-18 052155-1752837720481.png"></p><h2>Severe Threat</h2><p>Scattered severe storms will be possible along the frontal boundary in Virginia and NE North Carolina on Friday, with the threat returning for much of the region by Sunday. Damaging wind gusts are the primary threat, so be prepared for the potential of downed trees and powerlines.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-18 052122-1752837698341.png"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-18 052127-1752837704848.png"></p><p>More on your Eastern Regional Forecast can be found 10 past the hour on WeatherNation.</p>

Flooding Threat Remains Elevated in the East

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Taban Sharifi grew up in Southern California between Los Angeles and San Diego. She is a Certified Broadcast Meteorologist (CBM) with the American Meteorological Society (AMS). She has a B.S. in Atmospheric, Oceanic, and Environmental Sciences with a minor in Environmental Systems and Society from the University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA). Go Bruins! While in school, Taban was a meteorology intern with NBC LA. There she helped forecast daily weather for the greater Los Angeles region and created a playbook to deploy weather sensors for NBC owned-and-operated stations across the country. Her first on-air job took her to San Angelo, Texas, where she was a morning meteorologist and co-anchor. Working in West Texas gave her knowledge and experience covering severe storms. From there, she moved to Palm Springs, California. People think forecasting in California is sunshine all the time, but with temperatures in the 120’s, wildfires, damaging winds, floodings, and earthquakes, the forecasting kept her very busy! She also worked there as a general assignment reporter and told community stories. Taban is excited for the challenge and opportunity to forecast nationally with WeatherNation. She also looks forward to exploring all that Colorado has to offer!

Taban Sharifi

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<p>A fire tornado was spotted near La Sal, Utah on Saturday, July 12 (below). This is also known as a firenado or fire whirl. </p><div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1944827307769913683" src="https://x.com/WeatherNation/status/1944827307769913683"></div><p>This formed because of the Deer Creek Fire burning in Utah. The fire is over 14,000 acres and 7% contained. </p><p>The <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.weather.gov/gjt/12July2025_FireInducedTornado">National Weather Service out of Grand Junction, CO</a> has given this a preliminary EF-2 rating. They stated that the firenado was on the ground for about 12 minutes. The report put out states, "<span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0)">Many of the affected structures burned&nbsp;after the tornado occurred, but&nbsp;wind damage sustained by the remaining structures resulted in the tornado being given an&nbsp;EF-2 rating."</span></p><p><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0)">No residents or fire personnel were injured. </span></p><h2><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0)">How does a firenado happen?</span></h2><p>1. <strong>Intense Heat from a Wildfire: </strong>A large wildfire produces an enormous amount of heat, which causes the air directly above it to <strong>rapidly rise</strong>. This rising hot air creates a powerful updraft.</p><p>2. <strong>Spinning Air is Introduced: </strong>If there are <strong>strong winds</strong> or <strong>turbulent conditions</strong> nearby, they can introduce <strong>rotation</strong> into this updraft. The rotation could be from wind shear (a change in wind direction or speed with height) or from nearby topography funneling the wind.</p><p>3. <strong>Vortex Tightens and Strengthens: </strong>As the hot air continues to rise and spin, it forms a <strong>vortex</strong> — similar to a dust devil. The spinning column of air can tighten and intensify, pulling flames, smoke, ash, and burning debris upward into the air.</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/07168-1752693521959.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><p></p>

EF-2 Firenado from the Deer Creek Fire in Utah

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<p>Time has run out for notable tropical development of an unorganized low (Invest 93L) in the Gulf waters. The forecast has not changed in regards to heavy rain and flooding, which still looks likely between Texas and Alabama through Friday.</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/New Baron Video 3-1752807673412.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><h1><strong>Rainfall and Flooding Concerns</strong>&nbsp;</h1><p>Regardless of whether it develops into a tropical cyclone, the system is capable of producing heavy rainfall. <strong>Flood Watches </strong>are in effect for portions of Louisiana and Mississippi.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-17 050756-1752750483583.png">Many forecast models have the potential of 2-6"+ of rainfall over the next several days for the Gulf Coast. Isolated totals of 6-12" are not out of the question, which could lead to a localized high-end flooding risk.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/1png-1752807515471.png"></p><p>The risk of flash flooding is down a level for Friday and will drop to a Marginal risk on Saturday as the low moves north. If you come across water over the road, remember TURN AROUND AND DON'T DROWN.</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/New Baron Video 3-1752807991133.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>

Tropical System Brings Flood Risk to the Central Gulf

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<p>Keep the rain boots handy in Florida - heavy rain is expected to inundate parts of the state from the end of the weekend into the middle of the upcoming week. Rainfall totals are expected to average 3-6" in Central and South Florida, with higher totals likely for areas that see multiple heavy downpours. Some locations may end up with 7-10" of rain by the time this storm system moves out.</p><p>This system could develop into our next tropical system. Read more on the tropical discussion here:  <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.weathernationtv.com/news/medium-range-hurricane-forecast-favors-gulf-csu-updates-seasonal-forecast">Atlantic Basin Tropical Update</a><br><br><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-12 063516-1752323878845.png">A mid-level low-pressure system will approach the coast from the Atlantic by Sunday, moving over the state on Monday, creating widespread heavy rain.</p><h1>Forecast</h1><p>Strong storms are expected to fire up in the afternoons, but evening and overnight storms are possible thanks to the extra lift created by the low. Monday looks quite wet, especially in Central and South Florida.</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/2025-07-14 08-13-49-1752498076656.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><h1>Flood Outlooks</h1><p>Flood outlooks have been issued from Sunday through Wednesday, with additional heavy downpours possible after Wednesday as well. Avoid low-lying areas when heavy rain begins to fall and, if flash flood warnings are issued, seek higher ground!</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/2025-07-14 09-00-09-1752498053476.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>

Heavy Rain, Flooding Threat Returns to Florida

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<p>Friday was another busy day with severe weather and flash flooding. A Flash Flood Emergency was issued for Davenport, IA after they picked up over four inches of rain. The winds from Friday's storms were over 70 plus mph!</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-12 055745-1752321471706.png"></p><h1>Timing</h1><p>Friday's leftover storms will be the catalyst for additional shower and thunderstorm development across parts of the Ohio Valley and Great Lakes region on Saturday, as will the frontal boundary that moves into the region. The surface low could also help to spur a few supercells, capable of producing a tornado or two in eastern Michigan, primarily from the late morning through mid-afternoon.</p><h1><strong>SATURDAY</strong></h1><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/FORECAST-1752352202968.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><p>As the front continues to move, strong thunderstorms may redevelop early Saturday over the central High Plains. Behind the front, a high-pressure system ushering in cooler, drier air from western Canada will settle over the northern High Plains, bringing a temporary break from the stormy conditions. </p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/PIC 1-1752352628146.jpg">Rainfall rates will remain high, with 1-2" of rain per hour possible. This could lead to rain totals surpassing 4-5 inches in some areas that see multiple rounds of storms or slow moving storms. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-12 055618-1752321436549.png"></p>

Severe Storm Risk Pushes into the Great Lakes, Ohio Valley

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<p>Moisture is moving back into the Central and Southern tier of the Rockies and Plains states, bringing flood chances back to the forecast, including Texas this weekend.</p><p><br>A low-pressure system will ride around a ridge of high pressure, increasing wind shear in the region, which will help to organize a few severe thunderstorms with severe weather outlooks in place through Saturday.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/1-1752288995001.png"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/2-1752289019357.png"></p><h1>Flood Potential</h1><p>Heavy rain will return with thunderstorms, particularly between I-20 and I-40 where flood potential will be elevated. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/1-1752289058167.png"></p><h1>Forecast / Timing</h1><p>Saturday, we will see more scattered showers and storms closer to the cold front in SE Colorado, New Mexico, and Oklahoma.</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/New Baron Video 3-1752289521345.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><p>Tune into the central regional forecast :30 past the hour for the latest updates.</p>

Storms Return From the Front Range to Texas

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<p>The severe weather and flood threat continues for the Northeast. A slow moving front is bringing in the moisture to the east coast along with a persistent trough situated across the interior Mid-Atlantic. While the overall threat of severe weather and heavy rainfall is lower compared to earlier this week, some of the stronger and slower-moving storms could still produce localized downpours, leading to flooding in vulnerable areas.</p><p><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0)">Over the next few days, some locations can pick up between 1-3" of rain with some isolated heavier totals throughout the Northeast region.</span><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/1-1752203460642.png"></p><h1>Severe Outlooks</h1><p>By Friday, conditions across New England are expected to become more settled, reducing the likelihood of additional thunderstorms.<span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0)">&nbsp;However, on </span>Friday SPC keeps a <strong>MARGINAL</strong> risk from the Southeast back into New England.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/1-1752174842648.png"></p><p></p><h2>Timing</h2><p>Storms will happen along and ahead of the frontal boundary. Over the next few days, strong to severe storms can develop, and during peak heating is when the risk for damaging winds and large hail will be the greatest.</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/New Baron Video 3-1752203553128.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><p>Tune into WeatherNation :10 the hour for the Eastern Regional Forecast for more details.</p>

Severe Thunderstorms Expected Across the East Coast

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<p>A slow-moving monsoonal thunderstorm developed over the burn scars from last year’s South Fork and Salt wildfires west of Ruidoso. In a short period of time, 2-6" of rain fell directly over a burn scar generating a flash flood emergency.</p><div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1942924195832213932" src="https://x.com/WeatherNation/status/1942924195832213932"></div><p>The Rio Ruidoso rose explosively, jumping nearly 19 ft within minutes and cresting at a staggering 20.24 ft, approximately 5 ft above the previous record of 15.86 ft set on July 20, 2024.  This is a new record for the river.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Web 1-1752066478299.png"></p><p>Ruidoso is a tourist town but the area has been plagued with active wildfires, in past years and these scarred terrain lead to flash flooding due to <span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0)">lack off vegetation, significantly reducing soil absorption and boosting surface runoff. Flood watches remain in place for the day today as more afternoon monsoonal storms are expected to develop in the area.</span></p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Web 2-1752066541392.png"></p><p></p>

Ruidoso Flash Flooding - Record Crest for the Rio Ruidoso River

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<p><strong>WEST </strong>- <strong>Heat alerts</strong> have been issued across the western U.S.. The cause of this heat wave is an upper-level ridge building in from Mexico. This will be responsible for the intense heat in the southwest.</p><p><strong>Heat advisories</strong> (orange), <strong>extreme heat warnings </strong>(pink), and <strong>extreme heat watches</strong> (red) have been issued for portions of California, Nevada, and Arizona through Thursday. Temperatures may rise to 110-116°F in some of these locations. Too hot for the human body to handle. Unfortunately, heat is the deadliest weather phenomenon in the USA.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-09 041818-1752056317453.png">Here's a look at our forecasted temperatures in comparison to the average. Wednesday looks to be the hottest day of the week.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-09 041858-1752056388476.png"><strong>HeatRisk</strong> levels are upwards of extreme as well on Wednesday, which is the highest level of HeatRisk. Please be cautious during this heat spell.</p><h3><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-09 041849-1752056377967.png">Long Range Outlook - CPC</h3><p>The Climate Prediction Center keeps the western U.S. looking hot. These outlooks are based on the confidence of temperatures being above average, NOT how much hotter it will be.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-09 041912-1752056365131.png">For more details on this and how the heat will impact fire danger, be sure to join us on WeatherNation at :50.</p>

Dangerous Heat Building Out West

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<p>Tropical Storm Chantal formed Saturday morning and made landfall early Sunday morning with sustained winds of 50 mph. Winds have knocked down some palm fronds and lead to a foot or two of storm surge so far. Chantal turned into an inland flooding threat, especially in North Carolina.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-07 073731-1751895631663.png"></p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-07 074408-1751895856913.png"></p><p></p><h1>Forecast</h1><p>The remnants of Chantal will continue to move Northeast and eventually get picked-up by an inbound cold front and carried back out to sea. Until that happens, efficient rainfall could produce some localized areas of flooding Monday. </p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/tomer chantal futurecast-1751848909743.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><p>A narrow band of heavy rain accumulation is possible through Tuesday morning.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-07 074157-1751895727202.png"></p><p>Catch more details on the southeast during your Southeastern Regional Forecast, :10 past the hour on WeatherNation.</p>

Chantal Weakens After Making Landfall Sunday Morning

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<p>Following the prolific start to the season, the Eastern Pacific remains quite active as the National Hurricane Center is tracking two different areas of interest southwest of Mexico. Invest 96E or the orange highlighted area has a medium chance of development in the next couple of days. The chances have backed off as it appears less likely that something will come together. The region outlined in yellow is quickly falling apart with 0% chance of development.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/tomer tropics epac-1751913671695.jpg"></p><p>The spaghetti plots show 96-E remaining well south of Mexico as it churns westward. This will limit impacts to the west coast of Mexico but interests in Hawaii should keep an eye on this system for the potential of increased rain chances next week.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/tomer e pac spag-1751848680670.jpg"></p><p>This system could bring stronger currents to Mexico's coast, but if it remains weak before moving farther west impacts should be minimal.</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/tomer e pac futurecast-1751848767502.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><p>For more details on this forecast, be sure to check out the <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPEP1+shtml/020252.shtml"><strong><em>National Hurricane Center's </em></strong></a>website.</p>

Eastern Pacific Remains Active

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<p>AAA is expecting over 70 million travelers to take to the roads and skies over the Fourth of July Weekend. Unfortunately, heavy rainfall could throw a wrench into those plans, as slow-moving systems keep rain chances around.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/Screenshot 2025-06-30 073837-1751290861562.png">After a hot work week, especially out west, the temperature for the 4th of July will be near seasonal for many. Folks in the Upper-Midwest will see temperatures about 5-10 degrees above average.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-04 043305-1751625473813.png">A few spots will see some slightly warmer than normal temperatures, with a few cooler than normal!</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-03 211458-1751598907955.png">By the evening, time for fireworks, there will be a few areas of potential showers! Plan accordingly for the evening festivities. This is around 9 PM ET.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-04 043315-1751625481746.png">If you are in Florida, there will be increased chances for showers and storms, with an area of interest being monitored by the National Hurricane Center (NHC). Related Article: <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.weathernationtv.com/news/hurricane-center-monitoring-florida-for-tropical-development"><strong>Hurricane Center Monitoring Florida for Tropical Development</strong></a></p><p>Did you know this is how fireworks work? Different elements emit different wavelengths of light when heated. That results in the various colors you see when watching a fireworks show!</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/0701-1751375281844.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>

Near Seasonal Temperatures for Many Come July 4th!

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<p><strong>NORTHEAST</strong> -A shortwave trough will swing through the Great Lakes and into the Northeast on Thursday, bringing the threat of afternoon thunderstorms along an advancing cold front. Warm and humid air ahead of the boundary will help fuel the risk for damaging wind gusts and isolated hail.</p><p>The SPC has issued a <strong>SLIGHT</strong> (level 2 out of 5) risk for severe storms in these areas.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/PIC 1-1751573415086.jpg"></p><p>Storms look to start during the day in New York State, but the frontal boundary doesn't move towards the I-95 corridor and clear until later into the evening/nighttime frame.</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/2025-07-03 05-06-29-1751540825848.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><p>This next frontal boundary is coming just a couple of days after significant flash flooding happened in the northeast, so the flooding threat where we have already seen rain may be more sensitive to flash flooding through the end of the week.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-03 042835-1751538519921.jpg"></p>

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